Football & Sports Betting Thread 2019/2020

[Pagh Wraith]

I don't think West Ham should be 9/1 at home to beat Liverpool. They were 3/1 to beat Tottenham and 6/1 to beat Chelsea. I'd like to know if Arnautovic is playing but I'm pretty sure I'll stake something on the home side.

I'm intrigued by the Frosinone v Lazio tie. Hosts have given themselves some hope after a 4-0 win at Bologna, only their second three points of the season. They are five points from safety with a game in hand. Their next three games after this are Sampdoria, Juventus and Roma so it is going to get any easier and they sure surely have to gamble for all three points tonight. Lazio are coming off an unlucky last minute defeat against Juve and are only one point off 6th and four points off 4th. They have four "winable" fixtures coming up with this one the easiest on paper. They are without Milinkovic-Savic but Frosinone are also short in midfield and defense. This should become very stretched with both teams going for the win.

 

[Berbaclass]

Going for Jong PSV @ 2.50 to beat Oss.

 

[Pagh Wraith]

Cagliari v Atalanta, Atalanta -1, 175€ @ 2.07
Rayo Vallecano v Leganes, Rayo -0.25, 150€ @ 2.31
St. Pauli v Union Berlin, Under 2.25, 150€ @ 2.11
Frosinone v Lazio, Over 2.5 (2H), 150€ @ 1.93
West Ham v Liverpool, West Ham 1.5, 150€ @ 2.07

Arnautovic is out but I still like West Ham given the line-ups.

 

[IrishGlen]

Just put a bit of cash on the Clasico so that qualified me for a free bet. It’s only a fiver (funny because I’ve heard people getting 50 quid bonuses with Bet 365) so I’ll go for something really ambitious tonight - BTTS, West Ham to win, over 30 booking points, over 7.5 corners, West Ham to win the corners and a goal in each half. It’s extremely unlikely but it’s 200/1 so potentially pays a grand!

Looking ahead, a 5 fold of Real & Barcelona to draw, Atlético to beat Real, City to beat Chelsea, us to beat Fulham and Leicester to beat Spurs pays €1,300 off a tenner! I really don’t think Real will be beat twice in the same week by their main rivals despite feeling that Barca and Atlético are superior to them and Leicester to beat Spurs @ 9/2 is too good to turn down IMO - Spurs aren’t exactly goals galore at the moment and they’ve been quite lucky in recent matches. If Leicester survive their leaky first 15 minutes and moreover if they get the first goal, I don’t think the result will be in doubt.

Bit disappointed that we’re 13/20 to beat Fulham whereas we were 23/20 to beat Leicester, maybe it’s just me but I would imagine Fulham to be more difficult to navigate - Mitrovic will be difficult to play against especially aerially, they massively need points, we’ll probably have to rotate 3/4 players, etc!

 

[Ayush_reddevil]

West ham double chance at 3.3 is really interesting tonight. I understand Liverpool are very strong but 3.3 for a home team in the PL is huge

 

[Havak]

May bite us in the arse but I do strongly fancy West Ham for some reason tonight.

 

[Berbaclass]

Didn’t realise Barella is out for Cagliari. More confident with my Atalanta bet now.

 

[Pagh Wraith]

Put a little on West Ham for the straight win as well. Just for fun.

 

[Tommy]

I went £10 on both teams to score & West Ham to win @ 11/1, and a £5 cover bet for a scoring draw at 11/2.

I either make a bit of money, or we win. Sounds good to me.

 

[Tommy]

I went £10 on both teams to score & West Ham to win @ 11/1, and a £5 cover bet for a scoring draw at 11/2.

I either make a bit of money, or we win. Sounds good to me.

Both teams already scored Wee.

 

[Scorpy]

Palermo @ 1.80 seems decent right now. Absolutely battering Foggia, 15 shots to 1 so far.

 

[haram]

Palermo @ 1.80 seems decent right now. Absolutely battering Foggia, 15 shots to 1 so far.

BET365 says 17 shots to 1, 40 dangerous attacks to 5

 

[Berbaclass]

Going for Jong PSV @ 2.50 to beat Oss.

Nice win, 3-1 to PSV. In control from minute one and Oss were pretty fortunate to go ahead.

 

[Scorpy]

BET365 says 17 shots to 1, 40 dangerous attacks to 5

And it ends 0-0 as expected.

 

[Ayush_reddevil]

West ham double chance at 3.3 is really interesting tonight. I understand Liverpool are very strong but 3.3 for a home team in the PL is huge

I did say that it seemed too high . West Ham should have won but nice money this

 

[Havak]

Put all your money on Man City to beat Everton on Wednesday now. Absolute banker.

 

[haram]

Had money on Arsenal u23. They're 3-0 up and the game gets abandoned. Had my stake refunded. fecking cnuts.

 

[Spiersey]

Had money on Arsenal u23. They're 3-0 up and the game gets abandoned. Had my stake refunded. fecking cnuts.

Was on that as well, very frustrating.


Anyone seen any outright odds for Asian champions league anywhere?

 

[Jagga7]

Rangers ML vs Kings @1.76

 

[haram]

Are we really 1.61 to beat Fulham? They have got a bit better and we do have a CL game midweek I guess.

 

[Ronaldo's Mum Eh?]

Rangers ML vs Kings @1.76

The way the kings scored in OT was fecking disgrace bro.

 

[Jagga7]

The way the kings scored in OT was fecking disgrace bro.

That was game was a piss take. Lunqvist let in some soft ass goal with 50 seconds left to take the game in OT in the first place.

 

[Red Star One]

Are we really 1.61 to beat Fulham? They have got a bit better and we do have a CL game midweek I guess.

I also spotted that, but I feel that even if we rotate slightly I can't see us not winning there. Putting some money on us winning and a bit on AH -1 I guess. Same thing with City tomorrow - two bets, one money line and one -1 AH

 

[Withnail]

I also spotted that, but I feel that even if we rotate slightly I can't see us not winning there. Putting some money on us winning and a bit on AH -1 I guess. Same thing with City tomorrow - two bets, one money line and one -1 AH

United to win with less than 4.5 goals scored is 2.0 on betfair which seems high.

 

[Spiersey]

Will start appearing on more sites today and tomorrow but Arsenal women is a great bet at 2.3 to beat United women. Should be around 1.4/5

 

[Pagh Wraith]

Will start appearing on more sites today and tomorrow but Arsenal women is a great bet at 2.3 to beat United women. Should be around 1.4/5

Thanks. Even without any knowledge about the two teams, the home team being 2.3 versus lower-league opposition is eye-catching. Do you have an explantion as to how these outlandish prices come about?

 

[Red Star One]

Will start appearing on more sites today and tomorrow but Arsenal women is a great bet at 2.3 to beat United women. Should be around 1.4/5

Still not available on my site, but looking forward to it.

 

[Spiersey]

Thanks. Even without any knowledge about the two teams, the home team being 2.3 versus lower-league opposition is eye-catching. Do you have an explantion as to how these outlandish prices come about?

Just priced by people with no idea about it and over compensate due to Uniteds league form. Huge gulf between the two leagues, United are about mid table/bottom half side in WSL in my opinion. Bookies are always wary in general of making a dominant 2nd tier side a huge price. They aren't close to Chelsea, Arsenal, City. The players they have aren't anything special in WSL. Probably formed slightly from United beating West Ham 3-1 but scoreline was a bit generous to United.

Biggest price Arsenal have been at home this season was the 1.8 v Chelsea, generally they are 1.3 max, sometimes as short as 1.03

 

[Pagh Wraith]

Wolves v Shrewsbury, Wolves -2, 175€ @ 2.17
QPR v Portsmouth, QPR -0.5, 150€ @ 2.08
Dortmund v Bremen, Dortmund -1, 150€ @ 2.11
Duisburg v Paderborn, Duisburg 0.25, 150€ @ 2.2
Marseille v Bordeaux, Bordeaux 0.25, 150€ @ 2.06

 

[Jagga7]

Bet on a random one in the Isthmian League Premier Division. Dorking ML vs Margate @1.7. Dorking are top of the league and Dorking are 18th, have been told it's a banker, but I expect to lose after a comment like that.

 

[Ronaldo's Mum Eh?]

Question - is betting a team to win ML and -0.5 Asian handicap not the same thing?

The team winning money line has to win by a goal so why are the odds different?

 

[Pagh Wraith]

Question - is betting a team to win ML and -0.5 Asian handicap not the same thing?

The team winning money line has to win by a goal so why are the odds different?

That was explained in detail a few pages back. Can't be bothered to find it right now but it shouldn't be more than two weeks ago.

 

[Spiersey]

On Wolves -1.25 from 1-1 in play.

 

[Spiersey]

Also on The Strongest over 6.5 team corners at 10/11 with PaddyPower and Betfair, should be around 1/3. Took over 10/11/12 as well and also over 10 second half at 100/1 etc.

 

[MsNuno]

Boro, Brentford and wolves to win going swimmingly so far

 

[Carlsen19]

Also on The Strongest over 6.5 team corners at 10/11 with PaddyPower and Betfair, should be around 1/3. Took over 10/11/12 as well and also over 10 second half at 100/1 etc.

2+ goals and 10+ corners for The Strongest is 9/2 with sky bet. What d'yer reckon to that?

 

[Spiersey]

2+ goals and 10+ corners for The Strongest is 9/2 with sky bet. What d'yer reckon to that?

It's not great, can get 7/1 for over 10.5 corners alone on Betfair and I'd rather be on that. Don't rate Strongest much this year, which is why corners should be good. Escobar retired and is now their manager and he would probably still be their best player. Games at 3800m altitude and it'll be domination, unsure they have the quality to win comfortably but definitely will have the pressure to get a lot of corners, unless they somehow score a couple of goals really early.

 

[Jagga7]

Question - is betting a team to win ML and -0.5 Asian handicap not the same thing?

The team winning money line has to win by a goal so why are the odds different?

Yeh it's the same thing. On the Asian handicap the other team would be +0.5 so it eliminates the draw so the odd's are slightly different.

 

[MC89]

Been told to look out for a horse on Saturday in the bumper race at Newbury - Ask For Glory, (by Fame and Glory) trained by Paul Nicholls think it’s around 7/4 the now,won by 13l last time and its 2-2 so far, think STD will be up on it


Thursday (Meydan, Dubai) - 2 fancies of mine, Walking Thunder and North America, both should win I think, the way they won last time out ( very easily) but saying that if was picking one, would go Walking Thunder.

 

[Ronaldo's Mum Eh?]

Yeh it's the same thing. On the Asian handicap the other team would be +0.5 so it eliminates the draw so the odd's are slightly different.

So it's better to take the -0.5 AH if you're backing the favourite as opposed to the ML.
Case in point, the Dorking game. Was 1.66 ML and 1.7 AH (-0.5)