Football & Sports Betting Thread 2019/2020

[André Dominguez]

A DNB for Famalicão against Sporting is not a bad pick: both teams are in a rough patch, but Sporting away form this year has been pretty piss poor.

On basket:
Rytas at home vs Galatasaray has a fair chance @2.05

 

[Spiersey]

Small on Atletico u19s +0.75 @1.9 in Uefa Youth League. Atletico are basically a reincarnation of the mens team, very solid defensively, which is basically unheard of at u19s level. Gave Rangers near enough 0 chances (Rangers are really good, they're elite level at that generation, despite being a year younger than everyone) Ajax are very good, huge talents on paper, I thought they'd win the comp at the start of the season, but their performances do not match their ability at all, overrated side now. Their defence is shocking, Jong Ajax conceded 7 a couple weeks ago, few of the defence involved here. No Brobbey, Timber ( one of them) or Salah-Eddine today but Hansen and Unuvar both in annoyingly. Ajax have the better attack but not by much, Riqueleme is unbelievable for Atletico, huge talent. He should be good for a goal or an assist. Banking on a great defence being better than a great attack. Probably will be a stressful watch as think Atletico will just sit deep but hopeful they can do damage on the counter.

 

[Red Star One]

I'm left with two reasonable size bets on Chelsea tonight against Liverpool - got Chelsea @2.5, it fell for last days to @2.1 and now back to @2.5. Any idea what line up we expect from Liverpool? Should I just cash it out if they field a solid XI?

 

[Spiersey]

Small on Atletico u19s +0.75 @1.9 in Uefa Youth League. Atletico are basically a reincarnation of the mens team, very solid defensively, which is basically unheard of at u19s level. Gave Rangers near enough 0 chances (Rangers are really good, they're elite level at that generation, despite being a year younger than everyone) Ajax are very good, huge talents on paper, I thought they'd win the comp at the start of the season, but their performances do not match their ability at all, overrated side now. Their defence is shocking, Jong Ajax conceded 7 a couple weeks ago, few of the defence involved here. No Brobbey, Timber ( one of them) or Salah-Eddine today but Hansen and Unuvar both in annoyingly. Ajax have the better attack but not by much, Riqueleme is unbelievable for Atletico, huge talent. He should be good for a goal or an assist. Banking on a great defence being better than a great attack. Probably will be a stressful watch as think Atletico will just sit deep but hopeful they can do damage on the counter.

Game played as expected so far, Atletico just parked bus and Ajax can’t break them down. It’s 3-1 chances to Atletico, had a header cleared off line and 2 huge counter chances blown. Atletico look like they’re coached by Simeone, quite incredible how well drilled they are for a youth side.

Game is streamed on ajax YouTube but need a Dutch vpn.

 

[André Dominguez]

Game played as expected so far, Atletico just parked bus and Ajax can’t break them down. It’s 3-1 chances to Atletico, had a header cleared off line and 2 huge counter chances blown. Atletico look like they’re coached by Simeone, quite incredible how well drilled they are for a youth side.

Game is streamed on ajax YouTube but need a Dutch vpn.

Unless Ajax can create more pass and move on the second half or Atletico team fitness levels break, I can actually see Atletico nicking a goal.

 

[Spiersey]

Unless Ajax can create more pass and move on the second half or Atletico team fitness levels break, I can actually see Atletico nicking a goal.

Yeah I think Atletico score, should definitely have scored first half, hopefully similar performance this half. If the stream was widely available, prices would be 50/50. People have bet Ajax off the Rball stats.

 

[Spiersey]

Laid Benfica U19s at 1.05.

They’ll most likely win but it’s looking likely to go 3-2 currently and if it does benfica will crumble. It’s a weird competition, as soon as a team comes back they just bottle it.

 

[Spiersey]

Laid Benfica U19s at 1.05.

They’ll most likely win but it’s looking likely to go 3-2 currently and if it does benfica will crumble. It’s a weird competition, as soon as a team comes back they just bottle it.

Lost after 5 seconds from the biggest keeper howler ever

 

[André Dominguez]

Yeah I think Atletico score, should definitely have scored first half, hopefully similar performance this half. If the stream was widely available, prices would be 50/50. People have bet Ajax off the Rball stats.

Was focused on some tasks at work didn't followed 2nd half. Another tip that worked like charms (I picked Atl+0.5 btw)

 

[André Dominguez]

Laid Benfica U19s at 1.05.

They’ll most likely win but it’s looking likely to go 3-2 currently and if it does benfica will crumble. It’s a weird competition, as soon as a team comes back they just bottle it.

Sorry, wasn't paying atention. Could had warned you that Benfica U19 when reaches playoffs they start giving more game time to U19 players that are part of the main squad and the Benfica B squad (who plays at Championship division level).

Nuno Tavares is already a main squad player, Tiago Dantas is one of the most promising u19 players atm, and Morato is one of the best CB's if Liga Pro (Championship equivalent)

 

[Spiersey]

Sorry, wasn't paying atention. Could had warned you that Benfica U19 when reaches playoffs they start giving more game time to U19 players that are part of the main squad and the Benfica B squad (who plays at Championship division level).

Nuno Tavares is already a main squad player, Tiago Dantas is one of the most promising u19 players atm, and Morato is one of the best CB's if Liga Pro (Championship equivalent)

I'm on benfica pre game don't worry, the lay was value with how the game was going though. Tavares a huge talent. think this would have been a close game if Pool had their proper team, missing 5/6 players.

Was focused on some tasks at work didn't followed 2nd half. Another tip that worked like charms (I picked Atl+0.5 btw)

2nd half played out same as the first, seriously good performance from Atletico, gave them no chances.

 

[André Dominguez]

Small live punt for CSKA to recover 1Q

 

[André Dominguez]

That was fast. From 15-20 to 20-20 in less than 2 minutes. Let's see if they can get ahead.

 

[André Dominguez]

23-21 1Q. Done.

 

[Spiersey]

Pool Chelsea will settled at 50/50 prices I think, seems fair. Traded out my initial bets for tiny profit.

 

[Spiersey]

On midtjylland u19s +0.5 tomorrow at 1.8. Can't really decide on fair line, but +0.5 is wrong. I make midtjylland favourites, probably around 55/45 game I think. Red star got a decent home bias but ability wise they are pretty average. I think 2.3ish is fair for win, but shorter may be correct. Spurs and bayern were 1.4 away in groups and Olympiakos were 0 asians away. Olympiakos are really poor, Midtylland are a lot better than them but think Red Star improved a little bit from that game.

 

[André Dominguez]

A DNB for Famalicão against Sporting is not a bad pick: both teams are in a rough patch, but Sporting away form this year has been pretty piss poor.

On basket:
Rytas at home vs Galatasaray has a fair chance @2.05

Double win!

And many thanks for the Chelsea Pool tip: waited for the lineups and went on Chelsea.

 

[ROFLUTION]

On midtjylland u19s +0.5 tomorrow at 1.8. Can't really decide on fair line, but +0.5 is wrong. I make midtjylland favourites, probably around 55/45 game I think. Red star got a decent home bias but ability wise they are pretty average. I think 2.3ish is fair for win, but shorter may be correct. Spurs and bayern were 1.4 away in groups and Olympiakos were 0 asians away. Olympiakos are really poor, Midtylland are a lot better than them but think Red Star improved a little bit from that game.

Cheers, on +0.5 @ 1.97 - sounds value

 

[Danny Roberts]

Backed Chelsea last night. Nice, double win!

 

[Danny Roberts]

Backing Rory for another top five this week. He's not getting over the line enough which is keeping the top 5 odds decent but still on an incredible run, playing in Florida where he lives at a tournament where his recent record is T4,1,T6. 2.5 and up is available so I'm in again.

 

[André Dominguez]

Backing Rory for another top five this week. He's not getting over the line enough which is keeping the top 5 odds decent but still on an incredible run, playing in Florida where he lives at a tournament where his recent record is T4,1,T6. 2.5 and up is available so I'm in again.

can't see why not

 

[André Dominguez]

On Euroleague match Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Anadolu:

Anadolu is doing a close to perfect regular season, sitting at 1st place and already qualified for the playoffs. Maccabi Tel Aviv seems reborn from ashes after some poor seasons in the Euroleague where they didn't even reach the playoffs and is doing a very solid season, specially at home where they are the best home team this season.
Now, bare in mind that Anadolu team plays a more expansive basketball and usually wraps the game with dominance. Maccabi plays a different style, with a more reactive basket that tries to entangle the opponent and usually wins with relatively close results, even against weaker opponents.

I do think there's decent value to back Maccabi for the win. A bit risky because they have some injured players that removes some quality depth for their roster and the main reason why their odd is @2.10 at home.

 

[ROFLUTION]

On midtjylland u19s +0.5 tomorrow at 1.8. Can't really decide on fair line, but +0.5 is wrong. I make midtjylland favourites, probably around 55/45 game I think. Red star got a decent home bias but ability wise they are pretty average. I think 2.3ish is fair for win, but shorter may be correct. Spurs and bayern were 1.4 away in groups and Olympiakos were 0 asians away. Olympiakos are really poor, Midtylland are a lot better than them but think Red Star improved a little bit from that game.

Money in the bank! Cheers!

 

[André Dominguez]

On midtjylland u19s +0.5 tomorrow at 1.8. Can't really decide on fair line, but +0.5 is wrong. I make midtjylland favourites, probably around 55/45 game I think. Red star got a decent home bias but ability wise they are pretty average. I think 2.3ish is fair for win, but shorter may be correct. Spurs and bayern were 1.4 away in groups and Olympiakos were 0 asians away. Olympiakos are really poor, Midtylland are a lot better than them but think Red Star improved a little bit from that game.

Somebody raise a statue for this man!

 

[muller]

On Euroleague match Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Anadolu:

Anadolu is doing a close to perfect regular season, sitting at 1st place and already qualified for the playoffs. Maccabi Tel Aviv seems reborn from ashes after some poor seasons in the Euroleague where they didn't even reach the playoffs and is doing a very solid season, specially at home where they are the best home team this season.
Now, bare in mind that Anadolu team plays a more expansive basketball and usually wraps the game with dominance. Maccabi plays a different style, with a more reactive basket that tries to entangle the opponent and usually wins with relatively close results, even against weaker opponents.

I do think there's decent value to back Maccabi for the win. A bit risky because they have some injured players that removes some quality depth for their roster and the main reason why their odd is @2.10 at home.

Holy shit that was tense. Good call mate!

 

[weizxx]

On Euroleague match Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Anadolu:

Anadolu is doing a close to perfect regular season, sitting at 1st place and already qualified for the playoffs. Maccabi Tel Aviv seems reborn from ashes after some poor seasons in the Euroleague where they didn't even reach the playoffs and is doing a very solid season, specially at home where they are the best home team this season.
Now, bare in mind that Anadolu team plays a more expansive basketball and usually wraps the game with dominance. Maccabi plays a different style, with a more reactive basket that tries to entangle the opponent and usually wins with relatively close results, even against weaker opponents.

I do think there's decent value to back Maccabi for the win. A bit risky because they have some injured players that removes some quality depth for their roster and the main reason why their odd is @2.10 at home.

A statue for you too

 

[André Dominguez]

Holy shit that was tense. Good call mate!

Euroleague games between top 10 teams are always very competitive. Even the lower 10 can give you a good run for the money.

A statue for you too

Ehehe I don't deserve it, at least while my hit rate is at 46%. @Spiersey hit rate is very impressive, which is around 60-65%.

 

[André Dominguez]

Not seing much market opportunities today, so gonna take a punt with a simple Acca with Pesaro & Inter Movistar to win and BTTS on Rosenborg - Odd @2.80

 

[André Dominguez]

Taking a simple punt on over 3.5 RBK - Odd game. A smaller one at o4.5, just to increase the bankroll a bit (or decrease).

 

[muller]

Taking a simple punt on over 3.5 RBK - Odd game. A smaller one at o4.5, just to increase the bankroll a bit (or decrease).

I've gone RBK and BTTS @3 pre game.

 

[André Dominguez]

I've gone RBK and BTTS @3 pre game.

Nice odd. I was tempted on going on RBK because the odd was very solid, but I'm always cautious on going on WLD markets on friendly games.

13' and not a goal yet. Starting to think we jinxed it

 

[muller]

Nice odd. I was tempted on going on RBK because the odd was very solid, but I'm always cautious on going on WLD markets on friendly games.

13' and not a goal yet. Starting to think we jinxed it

Haha, think so. Only update from the game is one on twitter from an RBK fan that just said "why are we walking? Whats the point in this game?". Sounds interesting.. Haha

 

[André Dominguez]

Haha, think so. Only update from the game is one on twitter from an RBK fan that just said "why are we walking? Whats the point in this game?". Sounds interesting.. Haha

Pre-season end games: how not to enjoy them. Let's hope hope players enter RvN mode: "goals are like ketchup..."

Edit: 1-0 49' Get int!

 

[muller]

2-0 at 52'! Starting to wish i'd gone for a no on BTTS..!

Edit: 2-1 at 54.. this game.. haha

Further Edit : 3-1 at 59.. Wow.

 

[André Dominguez]

3-1at 60' Over 3.5 done at least

 

[André Dominguez]

4 goals in 11 minutes: how crazy is that?

 

[muller]

4 goals in 11 minutes: how crazy is that?

Why couldn't that happen in the first half? I cashed out now anyway, put £10 on and just cashed out for £29.20. Waste of 80p, however with it being a friendly I didn't want to take any chances!

Good luck with the over mate!

 

[André Dominguez]

Why couldn't that happen in the first half? I cashed out now anyway, put £10 on and just cashed out for £29.20. Waste of 80p, however with it being a friendly I didn't want to take any chances!

Good luck with the over mate!

You did well, tbh. Hindsight makes things look easier, and in betting it's always better safe than sorry. I had lots of basketball games where I could cash out with profit at HT winning by 25+ points margin (end of 2nd quarter), and then the they somehow manage to loose the game. Story of my life

Thanks mate. The over 3.5 is done, the 4.5 is a small punt, not too worried. But at least the BTTS is done and didn't ruin my acca for now.

 

[André Dominguez]

Backing Rory for another top five this week. He's not getting over the line enough which is keeping the top 5 odds decent but still on an incredible run, playing in Florida where he lives at a tournament where his recent record is T4,1,T6. 2.5 and up is available so I'm in again.

Started well. He's sitting on top.

 

[André Dominguez]

Inter Movistar won the match. Let's hope Pesaro doesnt' bottle it