VorZakone
What would Kenny G do?
- Joined
- May 9, 2013
- Messages
- 35,478
I think the DNR/LNR is so destroyed at this point that the Ukrainians would be better off leaving them to the Russians who probably won't invest in those regions anyway. Best thing Ukraine could do is become a prosperous country and show the DNR/LNR population what they're missing out on (as there does seem to be a heavy pro-Russian sentiment there).I think he notes that Russia is struggling but that the consequence of struggling in Kyiv is a drain of Ukrainian military focus from the Donbas, which is likely to be Russia's primary area of entrenchment. His point, as I understand it, is that the US/NATO probably don't see any (realistic) settlement as a good settlement. Other than that, the primary takeaway is that a settlement will revolve around two key issues. The status of the Donbas and Crimea as well as Ukraine's neutrality which Ukraine wants guaranteed by China/Turkey (for Russian benefit, I think, to make it less partisan) but also the US/UK/NATO. This part could be difficult as how many countries are going to give that guarantee (the UK has outright refused it)?
I think Crimea is gone for the Ukrainians, period. The Russians won't give that up.