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If anything pushes it through, this will.IMO completely logical and obvious path going forward, one that US “deescalatory” admin wing couldn’t see coming because of their stupidity. Should have given Ukraine everything when they were asking at the beginning of the invasion, this would have been long finished.
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Or, the question isn't will we see it, the question is when we'll see it.
If it does happen, would it be announced publicly or do you expect that it will be carried out in 'silence'?Or, the question isn't will we see it, the question is when we'll see it.
The most realistic prediction is that we'll see it later this summer or in the early autumn like the last time. It probably won't happen in the upcoming months for the simple reason that there's a regular conscription campaign that starts at the 1st of April and finishes in the middle of June and the military bureaucracy likely doesn't have the capacity to process both things simultaneously.
That's the rational prediction though and these don't always work out in Russia, especially with the number of daily losses being that high.
It won't be in silence since the silent mobilization is still, technically, happening. If they try to mobilize a 200-300k people it's going to be huge news, they'll have to say something.If it does happen, would it be announced publicly or do you expect that it will be carried out in 'silence'?
Alright, thanks.It won't be in silence since the silent mobilization is still, technically, happening. If they try to mobilize a 200-300k people it's going to be huge news, they'll have to say something.
It really seems to be a bit of a nuanced issue. Yes, crude oil price should be unaffected or even lower, if Russia can't process it anymore and has to sell it. Oil products however could become more expensive, as Russia was exporting quite a bit of (mostly) Diesel.Tweet
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Its a limited strategy in the end, since Putin can simply retaliate with sending more missiles into Kiev and the other big cities.Tweet
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He does that anyway, and has been for over 2 years.Its a limited strategy in the end, since Putin can simply retaliate with sending more missiles into Kiev and the other big cities.
Holy feck.Sevastopol this evening.
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What I don't get is why if these missiles are in range of Polish air defences they don't intercept them. Is it in case they mistakenly shoot down a fighter or something? Or more because they might shoot down a Ukrainian AA missile or something?Tweet
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39 seconds is a very short period of time. If the cruise missile flew along the border it might not have been possible to shoot it down inside polish airspace within that time frame.What I don't get is why if these missiles are in range of Polish air defences they don't intercept them. Is it in case they mistakenly shoot down a fighter or something? Or more because they might shoot down a Ukrainian AA missile or something?
And what about shooting it down pre-emptively on the Ukrainian side?39 seconds is a very short period of time. If the cruise missile flew along the border it might not have been possible to shoot it down inside polish airspace within that time frame.
Both US and Polish fighter jets where scrambeled and if the missile would have kept on flying inside Polish airspace I'm sure they would have neutralized it.
What if they accidentally hit a Ukrainian city? Mistakes can happen.And what about shooting it down pre-emptively on the Ukrainian side?
Thats one option, another one and a much better one if you ask me is that we give Ukraine the necessary weapon systems so they can shoot them down themself.And what about shooting it down pre-emptively on the Ukrainian side?
Pretty sure this wasn't the first time a piece of Russian ordinance. There was at least another instance in 2023 and possibly something landing in Romania or nearby earlier.And what about shooting it down pre-emptively on the Ukrainian side?
But I thought they want peace talks.
This war would have never happened, if Johnson didn't visit Ukraine in its first months.But I thought they want peace talks.
Sure.This war would have never happened, if Johnson didn't visit Ukraine in its first months.
https://apnews.com/article/france-ukraine-ammunition-howitzers-af44ababeef42de98170660cc1753b77France will soon be able to deliver 78 Caesar howitzers to Ukraine and will boost its supply of shells to meet Kyiv’s urgent needs for ammunition to fight Russia’s full-scale invasion, the defense minister said Tuesday.
Unless and until the Ukrainians have enough resources and guts to launch an air assault (think helicopter-airborne troops here) behind enemy lines to wreak proper havoc and open up corridors for the ground forces, we cannot expect a change any time soon.Front lines haven’t really moved in like a year now?
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Yes?Are there any major differences between Putin and the Nazis?
You ok bro ?Are there any major differences between Putin and the Nazis? Russians believe that he is only person capable of governing Russia, because he killed or jailed all the opposition. He lies all the time. He blames "the West" for a war he started. Ukraine did nothing to provoke Russia, as Poland did nothing in 1939 to provoke Germany.
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