If it was so obvious that Isreali response would be this horrific, egregious and destructive before October, then I really have to question Hamas even more.
Israel has never killed this many civilians, has never destroyed at this scale and has never acted this much in the face of the international community. That's why it is such big news. It is atypical, and therefore imo impossible to have predicted.
I believe I posted on here on like 7th or 8th of October that the retribution would be awful, but I genuinely thought it would be a weekend of intense action and maybe 2 or 3k killed. At most. I never could have imagined something like this playing out, I honestly didn't think the Israeli's would allow the far-right elements to succeed in their dreams. Clearly I was wrong.
2 or 3k killed would be a 1:2 ratio. Israel always kills in a minimum 1:10 ratio.
A weekend is also impossible. It took them one weekend just to drive Hamas out of Israel. Their previous major bombings of Gaza have all lasted a month or more, usually timed around US elections (2009, 2012, 2014, etc). Obviously this time would be more.
I don't understand this line: " I honestly didn't think the Israeli's would allow the far-right elements to succeed in their dreams."
This government's actions in Gaza represent the centre of Israeli Jewish opinion. It matches the far-right, yes, but the country has been largely united in supporting the war effort. Bibi himself is by definition not a far-right figure, even if he has a few in his cabinet, his party is the centre-right of Israeli politics.
I had no doubt that Israel would get to about 15-20k deaths. Every US president would wholeheartedly support that. It's the continued support beyond these 10X thresholds that seems to be new - but is consistent with Biden's longstanding views towards this conflict. Of course, it's not totally "new" - the founding of Israel included the permanent cleansing of 750k people including the killing of 15k, so they have a lot of room for expansion in one aspect of their current operation.
Based on all this, and the very open statements from Biden and the Israeli govt, I am quite mystified at what you thought in October (at the end of which the death toll was already about 9000.