We should keep ETH. We have already achieved what's required—9 points above our requirement. And with 7 games in hand.
The race to not qualify for Europe (previously: Our last seven fixtures in the league this season)
- Thread starter Bastian
- Start date
With the bald/ball-less wonder? I doubt it.
Bournemouth away - Loss
Sheffield at home - Win
Burnley at home - Win
Palace away - Draw
Arsenal at home - Loss
Brighton away - Draw
Newcastle at home - Win
Sheffield at home - Win
Burnley at home - Win
Palace away - Draw
Arsenal at home - Loss
Brighton away - Draw
Newcastle at home - Win
Bournemouth away - Loss
Sheffield at home - Win
Burnley at home - Win
Palace away - Draw
Arsenal at home - Win
Brighton away - Loss
Newcastle at home (TBD) - Win
Sheffield at home - Win
Burnley at home - Win
Palace away - Draw
Arsenal at home - Win
Brighton away - Loss
Newcastle at home (TBD) - Win
I know .. its not pretty is it.. its just feck it thats how I feel season has been rubbish
11 pts max. Probably less.
Reckon we'll win the next four to give us some hope of 5th,then lose the last two
Bournemouth away - Draw
Sheffield at home - Win
Burnley at home - Win
Palace away - Loss
Arsenal at home - Loss
Brighton away - Draw
Newcastle at home (TBD) - Loss
Sheffield at home - Win
Burnley at home - Win
Palace away - Loss
Arsenal at home - Loss
Brighton away - Draw
Newcastle at home (TBD) - Loss
Hopeful/Deluded/Optimistic spin on things. Villa are 11 points ahead of us with one more game played. Given how Top 4 chasing teams, particularly those involved in Europe, end their seasons, it's not unthinkable that Villa will drop 8-9 points in their last 6 games. Similarly, Spurs have some massively difficult fixtures. It's improbable that they will loose 4 out of 7 but looking at their fixtures, it's not beyond the realms of possibility. Of course, what is more unthinkable is that we'll win all our games. I know that these types of analyses don't ever work out, but I live in hope so let's give it a closer look. Red being a defeat and yellow a draw in the table.
That's 14 points dropped for Spurs and 10 points dropped for Villa taking them to 67 points and 68 points respectively. Naturally, putting together a 7 game winning run for us is next to impossible for this side but if we have to do it, these are the games for it. Had we not dropped the 5 points vs Brentford and Chelsea, we would've been in a really strong position right now. But I want and hope that the team can take advantage of the next few games before Arsenal and continue to put pressure on Spurs and Villa since they have significantly more difficult run of fixtures than us.
| Spurs (4th, 60 pts, 31 played) | Villa (5th, 60 pts, 32 played) | United (6th, 49 points, 31 played) |
| Newcastle (A) | Arsenal (A) | Bournemouth (A) |
| Arsenal (H) | Bournemouth (H) | Sheffield United (H) |
| Chelsea (A) | Chelsea (H) | Burnley (H) |
| Man City (H) | Newcastle (H) | |
| Liverpool (A) | Brighton (A) | Crystal Palace (A) |
| Burnley (H) | Liverpool (H) | Arsenal (H) |
| Sheffield United (A) | Palace (A) | Brighton (A) |
That's 14 points dropped for Spurs and 10 points dropped for Villa taking them to 67 points and 68 points respectively. Naturally, putting together a 7 game winning run for us is next to impossible for this side but if we have to do it, these are the games for it. Had we not dropped the 5 points vs Brentford and Chelsea, we would've been in a really strong position right now. But I want and hope that the team can take advantage of the next few games before Arsenal and continue to put pressure on Spurs and Villa since they have significantly more difficult run of fixtures than us.
Bournemouth away 2-1 Loss
Sheffield at home 1-0 win
Burnley at home 1-0 win
Palace away 2-1 loss
Arsenal at home 1-3 loss
Brighton away 0-1 loss
Newcastle at home (TBD) 0-1 loss
Season ends with -5 GD.
Sheffield at home 1-0 win
Burnley at home 1-0 win
Palace away 2-1 loss
Arsenal at home 1-3 loss
Brighton away 0-1 loss
Newcastle at home (TBD) 0-1 loss
Season ends with -5 GD.
Bournemouth Loss
Sheffield Win
Burnley Win
Palace Draw
Arsenal Loss
Brighton Loss
Newcastle Win
59 points 7th
Sheffield Win
Burnley Win
Palace Draw
Arsenal Loss
Brighton Loss
Newcastle Win
59 points 7th
You would be far more sensible doing a race for 6th/7th and include West Ham, Newcastle, Chelsea and Brighton?
I think we’ll get revenge for Bournemouth and draw with Newcastle plus finally beat Brighton so I’m going 4 wins 2 draws 1defeat and 63 points which should just scape in 6th!
Think 14 points from 7 games is a big ask for this lot
Bournemouth Loss
Coventry Loss
Sheffield Win
Burnley Draw
Palace Draw
Arsenal Loss
Brighton Loss
Newcastle Draw
Coventry Loss
Sheffield Win
Burnley Draw
Palace Draw
Arsenal Loss
Brighton Loss
Newcastle Draw
Agree with recommendations. But we still have a cup to play for.
Bournemouth away - Draw
Sheffield at home - Win
Burnley at home - Win
Palace away - Draw
Arsenal at home - Loss
Brighton away - Loss
Newcastle at home (TBD) - Draw
8/21 pts
Sheffield at home - Win
Burnley at home - Win
Palace away - Draw
Arsenal at home - Loss
Brighton away - Loss
Newcastle at home (TBD) - Draw
8/21 pts
That’s 9 points pal which would mean we’ve equalled our 58 points lowest ever in the PL.
They’ll almost play without pressure now and we are better than all these teams apart from Arsenal, we also have 4 home games and 3 away, that’s the bare minimum but in line with our season it’s probably 3 Wins 1 draw 3 defeats which is 10 finishing on 59 points.
Where's the fun in that?!
People are mad to try and predict these things.
Knowing this team, we'll lose to Bournemouth and Palace etc...and beat Arsenal - handing Liverpool the title and sealing our Europa Conference League spot in the process
Bournemouth away - draw
Sheffield at home - win
Burnley at home - win
Palace away - win
Arsenal at home - draw
Brighton away - draw
Newcastle at home (TBD) - draw
That's 13 points out of possible 21, which would mean we end the season with 62 points. Could possibly beat Newcastle, but lose to Bournemouth and draw/lose at Palace. But 11-13 points out of 21 seems realistic.
It's decent set of games we've got left but asking this team to win 7 in row is really too much. Since Ferguson's retirement, our best winning runs were made of 6 wins in a row: November-December 2014, March-April 2015, December-January 2016/17, December-January 2018/19. So it's been more than 5 years since we won 6 in a row and you'd have to go back to Fergie's last season when we won 7 consecutive games in the league. If we do win last 7 games and reach Fa Cup final (and even win it), then surely they'd keep ten Hag.
Edit: actually just realised that my prediction means no defeats in last 7. That's unrealistic to happen as well. Surely (at least) one of Bournemouth/Arsenal/Brighton will be losses.
Sheffield at home - win
Burnley at home - win
Palace away - win
Arsenal at home - draw
Brighton away - draw
Newcastle at home (TBD) - draw
That's 13 points out of possible 21, which would mean we end the season with 62 points. Could possibly beat Newcastle, but lose to Bournemouth and draw/lose at Palace. But 11-13 points out of 21 seems realistic.
It's decent set of games we've got left but asking this team to win 7 in row is really too much. Since Ferguson's retirement, our best winning runs were made of 6 wins in a row: November-December 2014, March-April 2015, December-January 2016/17, December-January 2018/19. So it's been more than 5 years since we won 6 in a row and you'd have to go back to Fergie's last season when we won 7 consecutive games in the league. If we do win last 7 games and reach Fa Cup final (and even win it), then surely they'd keep ten Hag.
Edit: actually just realised that my prediction means no defeats in last 7. That's unrealistic to happen as well. Surely (at least) one of Bournemouth/Arsenal/Brighton will be losses.
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We're only favourites to win 2 out of those 7 games.
I really want to beat Newcastle, feels like we haven't for ages tne annoying feckers.
Other then that, I think we'll beat Bournemouth, Sheffield Utd and Burnley, not beat Palace, Arsenal will beat us and we'll either draw or lose to Brighton in a meaningless game.
Other then that, I think we'll beat Bournemouth, Sheffield Utd and Burnley, not beat Palace, Arsenal will beat us and we'll either draw or lose to Brighton in a meaningless game.
Last time we beat them in the league was on Ronaldo's return, September 2021. Could be important game in terms of finishing 6th as well. Newcastle and Chelsea (and West Ham) have a decent chance to take take position over us if we continue to drop many points.
How fecking embarrassing will that be, the wealthiest club on planet playing in a league that used to be friendlies.
We are winning the FA Cup anyway, our remaining league games matter little, asides from resting players v Arsenal for the greater good.
We will finish 6th pretty much regardless.
We will finish 6th pretty much regardless.
I’m giving us 11 points and finishing 7th.
Absolutely yes.
I reckon around 9 more points.
I know it’s a long shot but if we got 12 pts from the next 4 games then that will give us a bit of hope. Villa and spurs have a difficult run in.
I’d say we’re Fav in 3. Should win at least 3 of them. Probably not the ones you’d expect though, we’ll probably lose to Sheff Utd and beat Arsenal
Will we get above our worst season tally of 48 from the season ragnick took charge?
West Ham and Chelsea still with a great opportunity to secure privileged Europa/Conference football next season (leaving aside the scenario if Chelsea/United win the FA Cup). Chelsea on +3 GD 6 points behind us but two games in hand (which for them probably means 1 point). West Ham -4 GD 2 points behind, but they're out of Europe (in all but name) so could stage a late assault on the European places.