He's gonna win the Champions League now, isn't he?
I'm in no doubt whatsoever that winner of RM and Bayern will go on to win the title.
I can picture all teams apart from Dortmund winning it. The odds reflect that as well.
Madrid 2.50 favorites
PSG 3.50
Bayern 3.60
Dortmund 10.01
Madrid: Ancelotti and this Madrid side can put in very, very organized performances and knock anyone out, even if they're the second best team over a two-legged tie. We saw that in basically every KO game they had in 2022 (PSG, Chelsea and City were all better, as well as Liverpool in the final), and this time against City as well. They've added basically only Bellingham for this season, but he's kinda became their talisman. Might get laughed at for this, but they've beaten City the way we've beaten them several times under Ole, just with better players, better organisation, and absolutely lethal chance conversion rates. This is not a pejorative comment from me, as it's the best way to overcome Pep's City in a one-off game or a two-legged knockout tie.
With Bayern, I feel there's some similarities. They're not as good as they used to be, and I don't think they're the best team in the world. I'd say City, Arsenal, Madrid, and Leverkusen are better this season, and Bayern are in that next tier below with Internazionale, PSG and possibly Barca, but it's difficult to judge. However, much like Madrid, they can put in some very organized and well-drilled performances under Tuchel, and Kane definitely makes them significantly stronger than they were without him last season.
With PSG, I feel like they're not guaranteed not to mess up vs Dortmund, but if they go through, Luis Enrique is a very good, experienced coach who can set them up in a CL final to give them the best chance of winning, and Mbappé will be very, very motivated to basically finally make his and Qatar's dream come true by winning his home town their first CL title 13 years after the takeover, in what is very likely his last game for the club. If he wins the CL, he will 100% leave. There will be nothing left to achieve in Paris and Ligue 1 is way too much of a joke for him to stay there and keep winning every season until he retires. No real opponent for PSG long-term and the league is generally way weaker than La Liga or the Premier League. If he doesn't, I feel like it's still 99% he leaves, but there will be a sour taste in his mouth that their biggest goal wasn't achieved during his 7 years there.
With City out of the picture, I don't care who wins it anymore, though.