Jeremy Corbyn - Not Not Labour Party(?), not a Communist (BBC)

Drifter

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Depends if you want a realistic chance of winning an election or not. Has anyone ever won with the press unanimously against them? I mean, no one has won an election without the backing of The Sun since 1974, and that's just one paper.

To dismiss the importance of the press seems a bit crazy to me. They make a real difference.
Seriously feel you overestimate papers nowadays.
 

MikeUpNorth

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Seriously feel you overestimate papers nowadays.
They've basically pulled us out of the EU singlehandedly with their crazy 'reporting' of Brussels over the years. It was a fringe, slightly looney, idea to leave the EU, until the right-wing press basically ran a never-ending campaign against the EU for the past decade or so.

I don't think it's possible to win an election if the press are completely against you. A solid media strategy ('spin' in other words) is essential in modern politics.
 
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Classical Mechanic

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The age of the internet has actually made newspapers far more powerful than they have ever been. The Daily Mail never had a readership of more than 2.5 million in the age of the printed press. That they now have 225 million unique monthly visitors to their website tells you all that you need to know.
 

DenisIrwin

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How does it all fit together? The Mirror bought MEN from the Guardian, right? But the Guardian is itself still independent?
 

Smores

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This whole story about a Corbyn aide (facilities manager)'breaking' into an office of someone who resigned a month a go now is just absurd.

Is that really something that needs taking to the media like this MP did? It says something when the tory leadership campaign is run in a more civilised and less petty manner.

I look forward to tomorrow's peice on how Corbyns PA ate the last sandwich that someone else had called dibs on.
 

Drifter

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I think you seriously underestimate them. The Daily Mail is the most visited English language newspaper website in the world! They have 225 million unique visitors each month!
The majority of visitors are American. And that's for the celebrity gossip.
 

Ubik

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What a surprise, it was Karie Murphy.
 

Classical Mechanic

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The majority of visitors are American. And that's for the celebrity gossip.
The number of UK visitors is still massive and gives them far more reach than they had pre internet. People may well go on for celebrity gossip but it makes them far more likely to click on other stories and come to rely on the paper as a news source.
 

ThierryHenry

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How does it all fit together? The Mirror bought MEN from the Guardian, right? But the Guardian is itself still independent?
The Guardian is independent, yeah. They've chosen their Red Tory Anti-Corbyn narrative all on their own.
 

berbatrick

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Seriously feel you overestimate papers nowadays.
The defining image of the 2015 election was someone eating a sandwich. Britain left Europe against the wishes of all but one major party and every expert.
 

DenisIrwin

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There are probably quite a few empty offices - or offices that should be empty. Maybe someone should round up some of the homeless people from Milton Keynes who's tents were destroyed by the local council and put them up until things are sorted out and the MPs get back to doing what they should.
 

DenisIrwin

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I have to say I'm disappointed in the Guardian. Worse, the BBC! That's an institution, or corporation, that I have praised glowingly many, many times. They do such a fantastic job, on the whole. Their treatment of Corbyn shows they're slipping, and slipping badly. I would certainly expect them to report more accurately and fairly than they did.

 

Dobba

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I still can't believe the rebellion picked Angela Eagle and Owen Smith :lol:

Part of me almost wants the abstainers to succeed just to see the PLP rally around those two charisma vacuums and claim that they're now more electable.
 

hubbuh

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I have to say I'm disappointed in the Guardian. Worse, the BBC! That's an institution, or corporation, that I have praised glowingly many, many times. They do such a fantastic job, on the whole. Their treatment of Corbyn shows they're slipping, and slipping badly. I would certainly expect them to report more accurately and fairly than they did.

What's this taken from?
 

Ubik

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I quite like his new logo, looks a bit like a gas company's but better than Owen Smith's 70s typeface.
 

Drifter

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I have to say I'm disappointed in the Guardian. Worse, the BBC! That's an institution, or corporation, that I have praised glowingly many, many times. They do such a fantastic job, on the whole. Their treatment of Corbyn shows they're slipping, and slipping badly. I would certainly expect them to report more accurately and fairly than they did.

BBC are under political pressure to be biased against Labour and Corbyn.
 

hubbuh

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I found it somewhere surfing thru twitterland. Why?

Edit: Found it...

Was interested to know the context of the story and the narrative they were attempting to create.

It's increasingly becoming par for the course with the Beeb.
 

ThierryHenry

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I'm sceptical about this but... Have seen a few things on twitter that suggest the rebel MPs will force annual leadership elections until JC goes or they get deselected. Obviously, that would hand the Tories the GE. I hope it's bs.

Edit: Oh hell! It was reported on Thursday and I missed it... http://www.independent.co.uk/news/u...r-of-attrition-to-force-him-out-a7149086.html
Corbyn has repeatedly endorsed this idea. I'm not sure it's a very good one, however.
 

ThierryHenry

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Source? It would seem stupid.
http://labourlist.org/2016/07/jeremy-corbyn-on-annual-leadership-challenges-in-his-own-words/
On the topic of leadership contests, we spoke about his view that a leader should face re-election every one or two years, which he had mentioned in an early leadership hustings on the BBC.

In our chat, I asked Corbyn for his views on the best system for doing this. He cited the 1988 challenge Tony Benn made against Neil Kinnock as a potential model – which will be of interest to those who claim it as a precedent for an incumbent leader needing nominations to be on the ballot. He also noted that after the Collins Review, “the Parliamentary Labour Party’s role in all this is limited to being the gatekeepers of the campaign”.

He added that “I don’t necessarily have the last word on all this”, and argued that “you could do it lots of ways”.

Ahead of this afternoon’s crunch NEC meeting, here is the transcript of our conversation about leadership contests:

CP: At the Newsnight debate back in June, I think it was, you said that you would like to see a Labour leader face re-election every year or two years, to improve the democracy of the party and the labour movement. What do you think is the best system for doing that? Would that be through conference?

JC: There used to be originally a system where the Labour leader was theoretically elected every year, but it was hardly ever challenged.

CP: I think that was through conference wasn’t it?

JC: No, it was a wider election, because from… [Corbyn ally and Momentum founder] Jon Lansman I’m sure would know the answer to this question, is he still there or has he gone?

CP: I can’t see him, actually.

JC: I’m sure he would know the answer. [To third party walking past] Is Jon still around?

Other person: John McDonnell?

JC: Jon Lansman.

Other person: Lansman, he’s downstairs on the stall.

JC: We have a question for him.

CP: I can chase him up later.

JC: No we’ll get him to come up, he’ll know the answer straightaway.

As far as I recall it, it was an annual election after the party changes in the early ‘80s, and that’s how there was a challenge to Kinnock in ’88 by Benn and Heffer.

Then after the election of Blair in ’94, ’93 sorry, ’93, the system was then changed. I don’t see why the party should be denied the right to elect people to senior office.

CP: Wouldn’t it be very expensive…?

JC: Well…

CP: Send us bankrupt?

JC: [Pause] Yeah, but there is a democratic issue involved, you could do it lots of ways. I just feel the leadership of the party and the Parliamentary Labour Party should be more accountable to the party and the movement as a whole. I don’t necessarily have the last word on all this, but I just feel there has to be a principle of accountability about what goes on.

Other socialist parties in Europe don’t have such hang ups about this. The SDP in Germany doesn’t, the French Socialist Party doesn’t, Die Linke in Germany has quite open election processes. There’s quite a lot. I just think there’s an issue of accountability.

The difference in this campaign, and this is the interesting point about it, it’s a wider franchise, it involves very much larger numbers of people than any other previous election, and the Parliamentary Labour Party’s role in all this is limited to being the gatekeepers of the campaign. Now I realise that gate was barely opened in my case, but y’know…

CP: Just open enough to get through!

JC: [Laughs] It was open enough to squeeze through, so we got through.

So I just think the principles of accountability and greater democracy in our party are important.
 

DenisIrwin

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Both Corbyn and Smith are in safe Labour seats.

Corbyn, in Islington North, increased his share of the vote for Labour in each of the two most recent elections, getting 54.5% in 2010 and 60.2% in 2015, up from 51.2% in 2005, but well short of his (and Labour's) best results for the electorate in history of a staggering 69.3% of the vote in 1997.

Smith, in Pontypridd, got 38.8% in 2010 and 41.1% in 2015. The electorate has always voted Labour. Never in history have Labour had a lower %age of the vote than in those two elections.

Smith is running because Labour under Corbyn is deemed by the PLP to be "unelectable", yet he won more votes in the leadership contest than anyone in the history of the party.
 

Cheesy

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Both Corbyn and Smith are in safe Labour seats.

Corbyn, in Islington North, increased his share of the vote for Labour in each of the two most recent elections, getting 54.5% in 2010 and 60.2% in 2015, up from 51.2% in 2005, but well short of his (and Labour's) best results for the electorate in history of a staggering 69.3% of the vote in 1997.

Smith, in Pontypridd, got 38.8% in 2010 and 41.1% in 2015. The electorate has always voted Labour. Never in history have Labour had a lower %age of the vote than in those two elections.

Smith is running because Labour under Corbyn is deemed by the PLP to be "unelectable", yet he won more votes in the leadership contest than anyone in the history of the party.
Membership's only a small portion of the overall electorate, though. Being electable to members doesn't necessarily translate to the wider public. Still though, the party has continually and relentlessly tried to sabotage any chance Corbyn's had of being electable. Kind of a self-fulfilling prophecy.
 

Ubik

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Both Corbyn and Smith are in safe Labour seats.

Corbyn, in Islington North, increased his share of the vote for Labour in each of the two most recent elections, getting 54.5% in 2010 and 60.2% in 2015, up from 51.2% in 2005, but well short of his (and Labour's) best results for the electorate in history of a staggering 69.3% of the vote in 1997.

Smith, in Pontypridd, got 38.8% in 2010 and 41.1% in 2015. The electorate has always voted Labour. Never in history have Labour had a lower %age of the vote than in those two elections.

Smith is running because Labour under Corbyn is deemed by the PLP to be "unelectable", yet he won more votes in the leadership contest than anyone in the history of the party.
Even ignoring the absurd logic, it's not even true. Go have a look at the dreaded Blair's election in '94.

In share of the vote terms, it's worse than Smith and Kinnock (twice). And prior to Kinnock, it was only MPs that elected the leader.

But yeah, All Hail Corbo and all that.
 

DenisIrwin

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Even ignoring the absurd logic, it's not even true. Go have a look at the dreaded Blair's election in '94.

In share of the vote terms, it's worse than Smith and Kinnock (twice). And prior to Kinnock, it was only MPs that elected the leader.

But yeah, All Hail Corbo and all that.
Sigh. I'll ignore the "ignoring the absurd logic" dig. I'll have to be more careful with this sort of thing though, and you're right to pick me up on it. Blair did get more votes in '94 as there were vastly more trades union member votes.

It is difficult to directly compare the results from 1994 with 2015. Different times, different demographics, different rules. There were a lot more union members at the dawn of New Labour (around 780k in 1994) than in their wake (70k in 2015) and he only had two opponents (as Brown had made a pact to step aside) while Corbyn had three. Also, the rules were different, with the massive number of union members' votes being afforded the same weight as the meagre number of PLP votes in 1994.

What is relatively similar in the two elections is what was called the "Constituency Labour Party" in 1994 and split between "Party Members" and "Registered Supporters" in 2015.

Blair got 100,313 votes from the Constituency Labour Party (which were afforded equal status with votes from the Affiliates and PLP).

Corbyn got 121,751 from Party Members and another 88,449 from Registered Supporters.

Had there been 780,000 union members eligible to vote for Corbyn I think it's reasonable to assume he would have got something like the 57.61% he got when there were only 70k.

Edit: Oh yeah... In case you missed it, my point was that Corbyn has shown much more ability to win votes than Smith has to date, in any measurable way.
 

ThierryHenry

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Edit: Oh yeah... In case you missed it, my point was that Corbyn has shown much more ability to win votes than Smith has to date, in any measurable way.
Have you been to Islington? Inanimate carbon rod would win an election if it ran as a Labour MP.

You can't compare national electability by how well an MP's done in their own seat - the country's too diverse and divided for that.
 

DenisIrwin

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Have you been to Islington? Inanimate carbon rod would win an election if it ran as a Labour MP.

You can't compare national electability by how well an MP's done in their own seat - the country's too diverse and divided for that.
The only measures we have to compare are where they've won votes previously. It's not much, but it's all we have to go on. Corbyn has done well. Smith has, in each of the two elections he stood in, got the lowest votes ever recorded in his constituency.
 

Shamwow

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The only measures we have to compare are where they've won votes previously. It's not much, but it's all we have to go on. Corbyn has done well. Smith has, in each of the two elections he stood in, got the lowest votes ever recorded in his constituency.
Smith ran in 2005 as well but lost (different constituency though). He was known as "Oily Smith" in that campaign, apparently because he seemed a bit of a shifty one.
 

Ubik

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The only measures we have to compare are where they've won votes previously. It's not much, but it's all we have to go on. Corbyn has done well. Smith has, in each of the two elections he stood in, got the lowest votes ever recorded in his constituency.
In that case we should get Stella Creasy in as leader post haste, she got an even higher level of support in 2015 than the MP in the '97 landslide.

Of course, she's also one of those rightwingers.
 

Dobba

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I missed Owen Smith claiming he's going to have an ethical foreign policy. :lol:

Yes he said the Iraq war was "a noble endeavour" and last week voted in favour of reloading Britain's nuclear holocaust launchers but he's going to be ethical starting...now...no wait...now.