sugar_kane
Full Member
- Joined
- Jun 6, 2013
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First of all, this is not a post about style of football or coaching ability, simply statistics and results.
A lot has been made of our win percentage and results under Solskjaer since him being made permanent which is admittedly poor right now (39%)
However as the below will show this is skewed massively by the period between the win in Paris and the end of last season which was an absolute train wreck and as freakish a set of results as his 82% win percentage in his stint as caretaker.
To track progress since he became manager I had a quick look at the progress of win percentage by splitting his games into chunks of 20 (yeah it's arbitrary, so is judging his results as caretaker completely separately from his results as permanent manager as many often seem inclined to do)*
games 1 to 20 - 75% win rate
games 21 to 40 - 20% win rate (!)
games 41 to 60 - 55% win rate
games 61 to 68 - 50% win rate
so the above basically shows that something freakishly bad happened games 21 to 40 (fatigue perhaps, emotional hangover from Paris, too much deadwood in the squad, bit of a shaky start to this season) but since then we seemed to have stabilised at a win rate which is roughly what you would expect from a United manager (54%)
In the context of the horrible luck with injuries we've had and reliance on what is still a fairly weak/young squad, that's not bad.
*quote from serial ABU Jonathan Wilson a few weeks ago:
That brings us to the present situation. Since he was given the job on a permanent basis in March, no United manager since Bamlett – not Frank O’Farrell, not Wilf McGuinness, not even the hapless Scott Duncan – has a worse win percentage than Ole Gunnar Solskjær’s 36.67%.
Quotes like the above would imply since Ole got the job permanently we've been winning 1 in 3 games on a consistent basis but as mentioned this is massively skewed by the crazily huge dip we had just after he was confirmed as manager and the shaky start we had this season which has since levelled out into a more consistent pattern of results.
Admittedly we're talking small sample sizes but to me there seems to be a clear pattern and evidence of progress and stabilisation.
A lot has been made of our win percentage and results under Solskjaer since him being made permanent which is admittedly poor right now (39%)
However as the below will show this is skewed massively by the period between the win in Paris and the end of last season which was an absolute train wreck and as freakish a set of results as his 82% win percentage in his stint as caretaker.
To track progress since he became manager I had a quick look at the progress of win percentage by splitting his games into chunks of 20 (yeah it's arbitrary, so is judging his results as caretaker completely separately from his results as permanent manager as many often seem inclined to do)*
games 1 to 20 - 75% win rate
games 21 to 40 - 20% win rate (!)
games 41 to 60 - 55% win rate
games 61 to 68 - 50% win rate
so the above basically shows that something freakishly bad happened games 21 to 40 (fatigue perhaps, emotional hangover from Paris, too much deadwood in the squad, bit of a shaky start to this season) but since then we seemed to have stabilised at a win rate which is roughly what you would expect from a United manager (54%)
In the context of the horrible luck with injuries we've had and reliance on what is still a fairly weak/young squad, that's not bad.
*quote from serial ABU Jonathan Wilson a few weeks ago:
That brings us to the present situation. Since he was given the job on a permanent basis in March, no United manager since Bamlett – not Frank O’Farrell, not Wilf McGuinness, not even the hapless Scott Duncan – has a worse win percentage than Ole Gunnar Solskjær’s 36.67%.
Quotes like the above would imply since Ole got the job permanently we've been winning 1 in 3 games on a consistent basis but as mentioned this is massively skewed by the crazily huge dip we had just after he was confirmed as manager and the shaky start we had this season which has since levelled out into a more consistent pattern of results.
Admittedly we're talking small sample sizes but to me there seems to be a clear pattern and evidence of progress and stabilisation.