SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

MikeUpNorth

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Could this pandemic be the turning point where over the next few years China surpasses the US as the world's foremost power? All depends on how the US handles it I guess.
 

Don't Kill Bill

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Reading about this on the BBC. It looks likely to be a more serious outbreak than first thought as it is probably human to human transmitted. This is apparently the seventh corona virus in humans and genetically most like SARS.

Hopefully it dies out quickly but I think this is most likely the kind of news you get at the start of the apocalypse.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-51148303
I was going to leave it until the 18th to get a full two month review but the next few days doesn't seem likely to change anything.

This is going to be the worst epidemic we have lived through and I don't think we are going to be the same people afterwards. Its going to go on for ages and everyone is going to know someone close who dies from Corvid-19.

Sucks to be right on this.
 

Paxi

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Not to mention we have tens of millions of people genuinely believing that quarantining people after they're symptomatic is going to stop the spread of the virus.
That's actually insane. Do those in charge have a problem with following scientific evidence from rest of the world? It's negligence at this point.
 

Skills

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The point he makes about obesity is quite interesting and should definitely have the US on high-alert.
 

Rhyme Animal

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Oh Man, I've been holding off going to the gym since this escalated because it seems like a prime spot for superspreaders but now i'm thinking I should go...not that im obese but being fit and active seems like a good state to be in.

I'll go for a swim and a sauna that seems like a safer option :nervous:
Exercise outside if possible matey - light jog outside etc.
 

17Larsson

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No she can't. The nurse can report her to the PRTB. Still, though, can you imagine having to deal with that shit when you're already having to deal with the stress of your job putting you in harms way every day?!
They won't be kicking these nurses and doctors out of the hospital room when they're lying on a bed needing their expertise.
Scumbags.

Doctors and nurses are the most important people in the country right now
 

BusbyMalone

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Pretty sure that generally its possible if the virus mutates pretty much (my in law and brother are both doctors so going off of them here). We can't be sure how many times the virus has mutated already though, and if it will keep changing or what else. But theoretically it's definitely possible to get reinfected.
Yeah the stuff that I've been reading and listening to both said that it wasn't an impossibility, per se. I think it was more to do with the fact that nobody knows 100%, so many professionals were speaking about alternatives and saying that just because you do test positive twice it doesn't necessarily suggest that you've been reinfected. More likely that it was just lingering in the body and the person that was being tested had a false negative test.

Consensus being (amongst the experts i've been reading and listing to) is that it's unlikely, but not impossible.
 

Paxi

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The elderly nurse youtube guy that keeps getting posted on here had an episode all about it.
Yeah I did watch it but I can't remember it now if I'm honest. I've been diagnosed with fibromyalgia and get brain fog as result or so my gp tells me, so I really feel like I've got severe cognitive problems sometimes and hence I really struggle with some stuff, but that's for another thread.
 

Skills

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Just in theory, how would a nationwide lockdown work? We've got mortgages and rents to pay, and general living costs. I guess, the living costs (outside of bills + food) get driven down in the event of a lockdown but what about mortgages and rent?

How has it worked in China?
 

André Dominguez

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Not to mention we have tens of millions of people genuinely believing that quarantining people after they're symptomatic is going to stop the spread of the virus.
Every country made that mistake and also doesn't help that politicians joined the bandwagon on that speech. If it wasn't for the italian health professionals exposing how out of control the situation is (and bare in mind that the Lombardia region is one of the best places in the world in health services) that also helped on triggering this decision.
 

Pogue Mahone

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Yeah the stuff that I've been reading and listening to both said that it wasn't an impossibility, per se. I think it was more to do with the fact that nobody knows 100%, so many professionals were speaking about alternatives and saying that just because you do test positive twice it doesn't necessarily suggest that you've been reinfected. More likely that it was just lingering in the body and the person that was being tested had a false negative test.

Consensus being (amongst the experts i've been reading and listing to) is that it's unlikely, but not impossible.
By all accounts, false negatives are relatively common.
 

Skills

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Every country made that mistake and also doesn't help that politicians joined the bandwagon on that speech. If it wasn't for the italian health professionals exposing how out of control the situation is (and bare in mind that the Lombardia region is one of the best places in the world in health services) that also helped on triggering this decision.
*promoted the bandwagon
 

Arruda

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I've arranged things with my family to guarantee that I will be living alone if/when I have to go to the hospital and work.
 

CassiusClaymore

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Could this pandemic be the turning point where over the next few years China surpasses the US as the world's foremost power? All depends on how the US handles it I guess.
I was thinking about this earlier today and if it goes ballistic in America as predicted, you could imagine the likes of Trump politicising it as a biological weapon from China and uses it as a means to war.
 

arnie_ni

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Just in theory, how would a nationwide lockdown work? We've got mortgages and rents to pay, and general living costs. I guess, the living costs (outside of bills + food) get driven down in the event of a lockdown but what about mortgages and rent?

How has it worked in China?
Italy have waived mortgage payments for a while not sure about rent
 

11101

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Another 2000 cases in Italy today. It's hard to be sure as that includes a number of cases from yesterday that were not able to be confirmed until today, apparently 600 or so.
 
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Bosws87

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I was going to leave it until the 18th to get a full two month review but the next few days doesn't seem likely to change anything.

This is going to be the worst epidemic we have lived through and I don't think we are going to be the same people afterwards. Its going to go on for ages and everyone is going to know someone close who dies from Corvid-19.

Sucks to be right on this.
Bit hyperbole to say the least, its shitty situation but its nowhere near lost like you are suggesting, there is no way every single person is going to know someone who dies from this, no way!
 

Wednesday at Stoke

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Just in theory, how would a nationwide lockdown work? We've got mortgages and rents to pay, and general living costs. I guess, the living costs (outside of bills + food) get driven down in the event of a lockdown but what about mortgages and rent?

How has it worked in China?
The government probably suspends debt collection and allow the army to deliver food door to door.
 

Dr. Dwayne

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So, this morning my boss asked us to confirm that our two methods of working remotely are functioning without any issues.

Also heard that there were a lot of high level COVID-19 discussions today.

Starting to think that we're going to close down the offices soon and strictly work from home.
 

sullydnl

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Just in theory, how would a nationwide lockdown work? We've got mortgages and rents to pay, and general living costs. I guess, the living costs (outside of bills + food) get driven down in the event of a lockdown but what about mortgages and rent?

How has it worked in China?
Italy have suspended mortgage payments already, so you'd probably see similar bespoke measures elsewhere. Ultimately though a lockdown would be extremely difficult to sustain for an extended period for a multiple of reasons and the government can only do so much to negate those factors.
 

Mr Pigeon

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That's very true. I really dont get people like that. You'd think civilians would be more understanding and show compassion to those who care for the rest of the population.
You're talking about a landlord, remember.
 

Skills

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Italy have suspended mortgage payments already, so you'd probably see similar bespoke measures elsewhere. Ultimately though a lockdown would be extremely difficult to sustain for an extended period for a multiple of reasons and the government can only do so much to negate those factors.
Okay thought so. Yeah, I guess the more you let it spread the bigger/longer lockdown you need to control it. I reckon if at the initial outbreak, China and the govts had acted pro-actively they wouldn't have to take measures as severe as they've had to now (China have now been in lockdown for over a month IIRC).

For example, banning all flights from China at the end of January. Or if China themselves went into lockdown just a week earlier. But we're still delaying it, and i think the crash is going to be even more severe.

*By China i mean the province at the epicenter
 

LordNinio

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I wouldn't be able to hide my reaction to such stupidity. Maybe they should quickly pass a legislation criminalising reckless exposure.
Bit tricky to do that when government advice is to act as normal when coming back from all but a very short list of countries. Their only advice is to keep an eye on yourself, and self isolate if you get symptoms.
 

Escobar

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Yeah. Pretty much what I've been saying for months. I find it a little funny that its taken 3 months for a lot of people to start taking this seriously.
A lot of people are misinformed or just dont care. One of the major reasons why it spreads out so fast
 

11101

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From Lombardy, 560 in intensive care:

75+ years - 20%
65-74 - 38%
50-64 - 32%
25-49 - 9%
18-24 - 1% (3 people)
 

Revan

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Some twat posted this in response to me on another forum.



Words fail me.
Unfortunately, many people are idiots. A low-level of understanding of math would help anyone, and make them realize that this is a much bigger problem than the number of people who are infected today. A lot of people in a conceptual level fail to understand what does an exponential function mean, and intuitively think that '500 people got infected in a country of 60 million, so the risk of me getting infected is 500/60m, and so not a big deal', or 'it took 3 months for 500 people to get infected, so in the next 3 months there is gonna be another 500 people to get infected, so not a big deal'.

When in fact it is closer to 'it took 3 months for 500 people to get infected, on 3 months time there are gonna be half a million of infected, in four months 5 million and in 5 months half of the country, so the chances of me getting infected are around 1/2, and chances of me dying in this year from it are around 1% which for many people is higher than from all other causes combined'.