2020 US Elections | Biden certified as President | Dems control Congress

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RoadTrip

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Sadly Arizona will go back red.

If Maricopa remaining vote is leaning R, because it’s only late vote left, it’s the equivalent to what happened in Michigan and Wisconsin, except in reverse.

Also the rest of Arizona is red and for those in particular where there is still uncounted vote, it tips it into Trump’s favour.
 

Brwned

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How is it that the Alabama Senate seat was expected to be a tight win for Republicans and they won by 20+ points, or Maine was supposed to be close but Collins won by 7? There doesn't seem to be much of a consistent thread there if Tuberville's most notable quality was being a Trump loyalist while Collins' was the opposite. And what is it that turned it around for Graham? The senate seats seem more confusing than most of the state presidential races. I get why people vote for Graham but I don't get how Harrison was perceived as such a strong opposition force that he had Graham begging for support, and in the end it wasn't even a contest. Surely him pleading for support didn't actually generate a lot of support for him? The alternative being that he completely misjugded his own vulnerability...but I can't see how he would've been so far off.
 

calodo2003

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Sadly Arizona will go back red.

If Maricopa remaining vote is leaning R, because it’s only late vote left, it’s the equivalent to what happened in Michigan and Wisconsin, except in reverse.

Also the rest of Arizona is red and for those in particular where there is still uncounted vote, it tips it into Trump’s favour.
Don’t see where the arc lets Trump exceed the current lead Biden has plus whatever goes to Biden from now.
 

Siorac

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Because the vote that’s left is mail in votes from the last couple of days, plus poll drop-offs. These have trended more republican.
CNN analyst says poll drop-offs are likely to be less Republican than early mail votes so he doesn't think the tightening will continue at this pace.

AP still hasn't retracted, Fox still stands by the call. I'm nervous. Wish PA and Georgia would hurry up and flip :)
 

Mike Smalling

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Not gonna guess who takes AZ, but it was definitely premature of AP and Fox to call it. Should be retracted.
 

calodo2003

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How is it that the Alabama Senate seat was expected to be a tight win for Republicans and they won by 20+ points, or Maine was supposed to be close but Collins won by 7? There doesn't seem to be much of a consistent thread there if Tuberville's most notable quality was being a Trump loyalist while Collins' was the opposite. And what is it that turned it around for Graham? The senate seats seem more confusing than most of the state presidential races. I get why people vote for Graham but I don't get how Harrison was perceived as such a strong opposition force that he had Graham begging for support, and in the end it wasn't even a contest. Surely him pleading for support didn't actually generate a lot of support for him? The alternative being that he completely misjugded his own vulnerability...but I can't see how he would've been so far off.
Gerrymandering & drawing of district lines. Always needs to be tweaked from outright gerrymandering of a previous era.
 

InfiniteBoredom

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For what it’s worth, Arizona Dems on the ground said they expect final margin to be around 40k, and very little of the Democratic area in Maricopa were included in these initial batch.
 

Sarni

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Feels like Arizona has a chance of tilting red. Georgia will probably stay red though very close. Pennsylvania should actually turn blue but not seen confirmation on how many votes are left.
 

Drifter

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Trump has no chance in legal challenges: 'Stop listening to Rudy Giuliani'

 

VP89

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Because there's a lot of Trump votes yet to be counted and the Biden lead keeps narrowing.
From what they expect it's unlikely to be that many more Trump votes vs Biden votes. Lets hope it stays this way in any case.
 

SirAF

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From what they expect it's unlikely to be that many more Trump votes vs Biden votes. Lets hope it stays this way in any case.
Biden camp has publically said they think they’ll win AZ - must have done the math right?
 

MikeUpNorth

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From what they expect it's unlikely to be that many more Trump votes vs Biden votes. Lets hope it stays this way in any case.
Hope you're right. On CNN they just said if the split on the remaining batches of votes mirror the last few batches (they are from the same counties), Trump would draw level with Biden.
 

calodo2003

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I’ve received 13 Trump related solicitation emails since 700P Tuesday. I replied to one Trump solicitation email one time. Is this a typical number?
 

calodo2003

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Hope you're right. On CNN they just said if the split on the remaining batches of votes mirror the last few batches (they are from the same counties), Trump would draw level with Biden.
They have to beat the difference plus every Biden vote counted from here. That’s a large number. I’m sure others on here could drill down better.

Hasn’t moved as precipitously for Trump as it might need to. Any tightening will be received a tad hyperbolically.
 

calodo2003

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Feels like Arizona has a chance of tilting red. Georgia will probably stay red though very close. Pennsylvania should actually turn blue but not seen confirmation on how many votes are left.
Hundreds of thousands, apparently. Upwards of 800K.
 

Mike Smalling

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I quite like the guy they sub in when John King needs a break. Chris Cuomo on the other hand needs to stop calling his colleagues 'my brother'.
 

Wittmann45

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Biden said in his speech yesterday that they flipped Arizona.
Maybe relying on the early calls by some news networks, including Fox News

They have to beat the difference plus every Biden vote counted from here. That’s a large number. I’m sure others on here could drill down better.

Hasn’t moved as precipitously for Trump as it might need to. Any tightening will be received a tad hyperbolically.
Yeah, there were some tweets a few hours back about how Biden's camp felt these most recent releases were not going to be good for Biden and that the race would tigthened but they felt confident the votes there after wouldn't be enough for Trump to win. Seems like others believe the remaining votes are looking to be particularly good for Trump, so he might end up winning the state, who knows...
 

Massive Spanner

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I quite like the guy they sub in when John King needs a break. Chris Cuomo on the other hand needs to stop calling his colleagues 'my brother'.
I like him but he just looks like one of those white-guy jocks in a 60's American tv show who beats up the main character.
 
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