CNN just said the % split is almost the same. Huh.
Hm... maybe they have lower level precinct data? But Lackawanna county is where Scranton is, or at Wikipedia tells me. It also doesn't jive with the fact that all of Eastern PA looks to have shifted towards D based on the NYT results map tool that shows these shifts vs 2016
I bet Don Jr. would be the favorite (as sickening as that is).
Here's my struggle with that idea, and it's based on nothing but a feeling and I'm therefore probably wrong: I think that Trump not only won the GOP base by saying the absurd shit he did, but also that he says it with deep conviction. Anyone who has an ounce of doubt or is any bit concerned about media backlash to what they say just does not say 0.1% of those things. Take Jeff Sessions who is probably an actual old-school racist deep down... but you won't find the evidence of that out in the open. It's tucked away in some off-the-record conversations, or really in his actions. To bring it back to any of Trump Jr., Ivanka, etc. I think they're ok getting up there and saying "my dad, MAGA, Biden is a commie, etc". But I don't think they're willing to stand on a podium, talk shit about Mexicans and then double down on it for months to come. And somehow I think that's what the GOP base loved... that they felt that Trump meant it.