I remember two things Pep said in his first year at City really clearly, which I always took as a real insight into English football (that cheating cnut). 1 - that second balls are far more important in the PL than elsewhere, and 2 - that you need to be able to score at least 3 goals in a game. 2 insights that reflected the fact that his team were both getting bullied by teams that would just launch the ball up the pitch, and also that the strength of the league meant any team nick a goal.
The lack of physicality in this United team has been apparent for a while - especially in midfield and up front. Newcastle (the most physical team in the league?) have smashed us twice this for exactly this reason. We can't move it through midfield because no one has that combination of athleticism to get into space, strength to receive the ball and hold off the man on your back, and technical skill to turn and play the ball. Up front we have similar weaknesses.
And we don't have enough goals. Newsflash. We haven't had enough goals since we lost Greenwood, Cavani and Ronaldo in quick succession. Ten Hag compensated last year by just throwing everything forward, at the expense of facing more shots than every other team in the bar just one.
We need to score more goals next year, and that's on Amorim and the recruitment team. But I don't see any system or any coach that get more goals out of the team that has been out on the pitch the last couple weeks. If we did - Wolves, City, Forest, Bournemouth (and I'm sure more) - these are all games we win.
Goals and physicality. Doesn't matter which coach you bring in, the recruitment needs to bring in goals and physicality.
Is there a formation which compensates for these deficiencies? Does a 4-2-3-1 gets us champions league? Maybe if we had Casemiro of 2 years back, a form Rashford, a fit Martinez. But we don't, and the recruitment in the interim hasn't replaced the qualities those players had - goals and physicality. And even then we needed more on top of that.
But you wouldn't be wrong to object that that still isn't reason enough to move to a back 5. Why not just stick with a 4 and get the players. And you'd be right. Ten Hag had to go, as the dressing room had turned, and I don't think he ever had the media personality to take this job in particular. But you could've gotten another back 4 manager.
But doing so reduces Amorim down to nothing but his formation, which is the kind of surface level analysis I would expect of a Sky Sports pundit, not the well informed and well reasoned patrons of Redcafe. No, we can all recognise that there's a multitude of qualities that the Ineos team have seen in Amorim. But the most important ones relate to how in his first summer at Sporting he got rid of 25 players, promoted a load of youth, and rebuilt. The back 5 is a detail - we bought him in to rebuild.
But is it a detail that causes a problem? Of course not. A back 5 has strengths and weaknesses just like any other system, but if Conte can win the league with it then so can we. That Chelsea team had Costa, Hazard, Moses, Alonso, Matic, Kante. Goals and physicality.
If that's what we need, then Cunha, Delap and Ederson seem like good starts.