Football & Sports Betting Thread 2019/2020

André Dominguez

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BetReasoningOddGains
Din. Zagred City Over 3.5 (a bit risky)If Shakthar is playing poorly, Dinamo stands a chance. City will play more relaxed2.086.00€
Shakthar to winTheir home record is solid2.61-10.00€
Bayern -1Rotation gallore, but Spurs are weak against tougher opp2.2012.00€
Neverkusen to win (a bit risky)Juve is done with group stage.2.16-5.00€
DC Crvena Zvezda (risky)Unpredictable, but the serbs droped a lot lately2.55-5.00€
BTS PSG - Galatasaray (risky)Yes, the turks suck, but PSG is rotating, so...2.08-5.00€
NDB Start (a bit risky)Lillestrom is on a downward spiral.2.45-5.00€
Mamelodi HTA bit risky, but...2.08-5.00€
UNICS Kazan to win (a bit risky)Possible arb/trade2.105.80€ (arb done at HT)
Strasbourg to winPossible arb/trade2.0421.00€
Total of the day
9.80€
Can't say it was a success, but at least the bankroll increased a bit.
 

Rozay

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Not sure robbed is the right word given the -1 but bad luck.
The robbery was more due to the fact that they didn’t batter a terrible Wigan side. Could have used that £1,800 now. I’m still comfortably up month to date though, but I want another big win before Xmas ideally.
 

André Dominguez

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BetReasoningOdd
El Haddadi to scoreHe might not even play, so beware2.90
Cluj to winBoth teams qualified and Cluj plays at home1.98
FC Copenhagen to winGood odd at home and Malmo might be in off-season mode2.40
DC Vitória (risky)Frankfurt form has taken a severe dip3.90
DC Sporting (a bit risky)Both teams qualified2.04
DC Wolfsberger HTRoma seems to score more at 2nd half2.10
BTS Porto - FeyenoordPorto's defence is really shaky this season2.00
Greenwood to scoreTrusting my gut :D2.30
Cutrone to score2.35
Anadolu to winFenerbahce is playing poorly this season2.10
CSKA to win (for trading)I know Maccabi is doing well this season, but CSKA is always a powerhouse2.06
Latina - Genoa over 6.5 (futsal)Both teams are poor defensively1.82
Yekaterinburg -2They are a very solid futsal team and their opposition is not the best1.85
 
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Pagh Wraith

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Europa League:

Rangers v Young Boys, Young Boys @ 4.40

Betting them on the handicap is okay but they have to win to progress so it makes sense to back them in the 1x2 market. Young Boys are the better side for me and shouldn't be higher than 3.50.
 

Chipper

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Wednesday for me:
FK Podgorica 2.50
Highlanders FC 2.37
Novelda 2.75
Gilport Lions 3.30
West Brom 1.66
So Gilport Lions, one of the ones I was really doubtful over ended up being my only win! Not too damaging seeing as it was 3.30. -1.70 units on the day.

Nothing for me today, although I'm going to start a little bit of paper trading on overs/unders.

Seems like the kind of bet I'd enjoy and easy to comprehend/visualise. It's yes/no so it's binary and if sticking to odds greater than 2.00 you can ask yourself "is this more likely to happen than not?". If yes, there's perceived value. A fair bit of my 1X2 thinking has been the same so far, picking teams who are shade odds against who I think I should be odds on. They're binary too in the sense that the team I've picked either wins or they don't, but there's the 3 possible results of win, lose or draw instead of just the 2 with over/under 2.5.
 
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André Dominguez

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So Gilport Lions, one of the ones I was really doubtful over ended up being my only win! Not too damaging seeing as it was 3.30. -1.70 units on the day.

Nothing for me today, although I'm going to start a little bit of paper trading on overs/unders.

Seems like the kind of bet I'd enjoy and easy to comprehend/visualise. It's yes/no so it's binary and if sticking to odds greater than 2.00 you can ask yourself "is this more likely to happen than not?". If yes, there's perceived value. A fair bit of my 1X2 thinking has been the same so far, picking teams who are shade odds against who I think I should be odds on. They're binary too in the sense that the team I've picked either wins or they don't, but there's the 3 possible results of win, lose or draw instead of just the 2 with over/under 2.5.
This is usually better achievable at basketball or volleyball on live betting. On football the over/under lines vary much less.
 

André Dominguez

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Europa League:

Rangers v Young Boys, Young Boys @ 4.40
Betting them on the handicap is okay but they have to win to progress so it makes sense to back them in the 1x2 market. Young Boys are the better side for me and shouldn't be higher than 3.50.
Rangers seem pretty solid at home, but hey, they're a Scottish team :D I'm going on Young Boys + 1 @2.05 which seems nice
 

ROFLUTION

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Rangers seem pretty solid at home, but hey, they're a Scottish team :D I'm going on Young Boys + 1 @2.05 which seems nice
Cheers. Looks like a nice tip. Rangers can go through with X, so might not be so attacking.

Any team news / important players missing or back?
 

Chipper

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This is usually better achievable at basketball or volleyball on live betting. On football the over/under lines vary much less.
I'll try and remember that one day for the future, thanks. As things stand I literally no nothing about these sports so I'll give football a go first.

It intuitively makes sense though, they're higher scoring sports for a start. I just watched the market for a few minutes in a basketball game and the over/under total was changing. The low was 116.5, the highest 121.5. Plenty of opportunities to maybe jump in if you see something you like. Then if you had different bookmaker accounts, different ones will be reacting slightly differently to each other which means even more chances I guess.
 

André Dominguez

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Won in 89th minute. Didnt watch it though. Young Boys Fortunate?
A bit to be honest, but Rangers committed the mistake of conceding way too much possession on the 2nd half, and when a team does that with the minimal margin it's a matter of time until an individual mistake happens.
 

Chipper

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3 early kick offs:
Al Akhdoud 2.50
Hapoel Ramat Gan 2.62
Cape Umoya UTD 2.20
 

André Dominguez

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BetReasoningOddProfit
El Haddadi to scoreHe might not even play, so beware2.900.00€ (didn't play)
Cluj to winBoth teams qualified and Cluj plays at home1.989.80€
FC Copenhagen to winGood odd at home and Malmo might be in off-season mode2.40-10.00€
DC Vitória (risky)Frankfurt form has taken a severe dip3.9013.50€
DC Sporting (a bit risky)Both teams qualified2.04-5.00€
DC Wolfsberger HTRoma seems to score more at 2nd half2.10-10.00€
BTS Porto - FeyenoordPorto's defence is really shaky this season2.0020.00€
Greenwood to scoreTrusting my gut :D2.3013.00€
Cutrone to score2.35-10.00€
Anadolu to winFenerbahce is playing poorly this season2.1010.22€ (arb at 3Q)
CSKA to win (for trading)I know Maccabi is doing well this season, but CSKA is always a powerhouse2.062.25€ (arb at 1Q)
Latina - Genoa over 6.5 (futsal)Both teams are poor defensively1.828.50€
Yekaterinburg -2They are a very solid futsal team and their opposition is not the best1.8518.00€
Young Boys +1Many thanks to @Pagh Wraith for this brilliant tip2.0545.00€
Total of the day
105.27
Very good night last one. My bankroll gave quite a decent leap.
 

ROFLUTION

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I know this is probably a silly tip but Under 5.5 goals in Liverpool vs Watford @1.14 seems reasonable to spike up another tip and give value.

New manager for Watford, semi-tight schedule for Liverpool and Watford are shy of scoring.

I highly doubt Liverpool will score 5-6 goals when they can give rest to players being in the lead. They travel to Qatar to play 4+6 days later and will have to save energy for the christmas schedule.
Liverpool's gone over the line once this season in PL (vs Everton). Except for City away (8-0 crazy game), Watford has had games of 3-4 goals max. The new manager effect always ups players efforts too.
 

Sarni

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I’m 17 out of the last 20 player bets in NBA with nothing to show for this as they all came on very high odds accumulators with one bet losing (Simmons last night). Going for:

Ingram points + rebounds + assists over 32.5
Sabonis over 17.5 points
Randle over 7.5 rebounds
Towns over 2.5 threes
Bogdanovic over 2.5 threes
LaVine over 22.5 points
Capela double double
Adebayo double double
 

Pagh Wraith

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Friday:

Le Mans v Orleans, Orleans 0 @ 2.183-2
Alaves v Leganes, Alaves -0.25 @ 2.231-1
Beat the market and a bit unfortunate to lose both. Alaves dominated should have won, Orleans seems to have been an even game and conceded two late goals after leading 2-1.
 

Pagh Wraith

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Saturday:

Braunschweig v Meppen, Meppen 0.25 @ 2.17
Scunthorpe v Colchester, Colchester 0 @ 2.13
Wimbledon v Doncaster, Doncaster -0.5 @ 2.09
Harrogate v Hartlepool, Hartlepool 0.5 @ 1.93
Dorking v Bromley, Bromley -0.5 @ 2.23
Halifax v Wrexham, Wrexham 0 @ 2.29
 

Chipper

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Going to have lots today:
Caykur Risespor 2.15
NAPSA Stars 2.37
Lecce 3.50
Biggleswade Town 1.72
Bonnyrigg Rose 1.83
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 2.50
Lewes 2.40
Oxford United 1.95
Worthing 2.10

Edit for a few more:
Marbella FC 1.85
CD Badajoz 2.30
Athletic Bilbao 1.66
Reims 2.20
 
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ROFLUTION

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Any good tips for a "safe" single-bet about odds 1.5 or over? Need one to go through to claim a bonus
 

RedPed

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Any good tips for a "safe" single-bet about odds 1.5 or over? Need one to go through to claim a bonus
Is there such a thing as a safe bet?

Servette @1.55
Atthletic Bilbao @1.61
Real Zaragoza @1.57
Reims @2.20
Vitoria Setubal @2.00 is also worth a look
 

RedPed

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Barcelona, Leeds Utd, Leicester City, Chelsea, Bayer Leverkusen, RB Salzburg, Maccabi Tel Aviv, making the bookies very happy today. :confused:
 

ROFLUTION

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Is there such a thing as a safe bet?

Servette @1.55
Atthletic Bilbao @1.61
Real Zaragoza @1.57
Reims @2.20
Vitoria Setubal @2.00 is also worth a look
Probably not. Cheers - Any of those with a very good reasoning behind?
 

Pagh Wraith

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Saturday:

Braunschweig v Meppen, Meppen 0.25 @ 2.171-2
Scunthorpe v Colchester, Colchester 0 @ 2.132-2
Wimbledon v Doncaster, Doncaster -0.5 @ 2.092-1
Harrogate v Hartlepool, Hartlepool 0.5 @ 1.933-2
Dorking v Bromley, Bromley -0.5 @ 2.233-0
Halifax v Wrexham, Wrexham 0 @ 2.294-0
Hartlepool conceding three in the final 15 minutes (incl. a 93rd-minute winner) capped off a miserable weekend so far. Wrexham was a poor bet as they played their reserves, the others played out fine. Not reflected in the score lines unfortunately.
 

RedPed

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Probably not. Cheers - Any of those with a very good reasoning behind?
No worries. I don't bother with all the reasoning rationale. I could have said for example, go with Maccabi Tel Aviv who are unbeaten all season in the Israeli league and have not even conceded a goal in the first 13 games playing at home against bottom side Nes Tziona who have only won one game all season. So what happens? Maccabi Tel Aviv concede a goal and end up drawing ruining my 12-fold at the first hurdle.

Servette and Bilbao are currently playing well and at home to Thun and Eibar respectively who are conversely pretty poor.
 

Chipper

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Going to have lots today:
Caykur Risespor 2.15
NAPSA Stars 2.37
Lecce 3.50
Biggleswade Town 1.72
Bonnyrigg Rose 1.83
Inverness Caledonian Thistle 2.50
Lewes 2.40
Oxford United 1.95
Worthing 2.10

Edit for a few more:
Marbella FC 1.85
CD Badajoz 2.30
Athletic Bilbao 1.66
Reims 2.20
Managed to scrape out the tiniest amount in front.

Outlay = 13 units
- 6 losing bets - Risespor, Lecce, Inverness, Oxford, Marbella, Bilbao = 0 return
-2 postponed - Biggleswade and Worthing = 2.00 return
-5 winning bets - NAPSA (2.37), Bonnyrigg (1.83), Lewes (2.40), Badajoz (2.30), Reims 2.20 = 11.10 return
Total 13.10
+0.10
 

RedPed

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Napoli, Salzburg, Marseille and Galatasaray continue the being crap theme yesterday. Did anybody have a good day yesterday?
 

Chipper

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Mine for today:

Vfl Osnabruck -0.5 2.025
ASD Montegiorgio 2.10
Sivasspor 0.0 2.050
AC Feralpisalo 2.10
Bordeaux 2.30
URSL Vise 1.83
Real Betis 0.0 2.020
Balmaseda FC 2.70
Carpi -0.5 1.850
Monopoli 1.90