xG is a good indicator of the balance of games by grading the quality of chances created and conceded by each side. It cannot legislate for how the players that the goal scoring opportunities fall to, or the goalkeepers that face those shots, perform against the historical average though. That's where the variance generally comes from. In 4 of the 6 season the variance was between 0-4 goals so I don't see anything especially alarming in those basic figures.Sorry for the slow reply, read this & wanted to give it the time I felt it deserved.
Thanks for the lesson on xG; I’m from England but grew up watching NHL, NFL & to this day NBA so I’m more than aware of the role stats play in analysis so I get what it does.
You’re correct it measures underlying trends but in the years you highlight when does the xG number correlate to the actual ‘G’? Once. Thus my point of expectancy vs reality. Whilst it can spot trends & tell you whether you’re under/over performing versus the metric it can be misleading if chances simply aren’t converted/conceded.
Is there somewhere on the web I can get the xG for the team pre-Bruno & post-Bruno?
Don’t know who said ‘he should be winning the game against Arsenal’. . .
We agree on the Shaw, AWB, Lindelof points. I actually think Maguire could be the 4th best player in a decent back 4.
Why would anyone spend even £40m on Maguire? He's a thoroughly mediocre CB with glaring weaknesses and not enough intelligence/composure to make up for them.To think we could have just kept Smalling, saved £80m, and got Sancho the following season for another £28m. We'd be lucky to get half our money back if we put him on the market.
Most expensive defender in the world.Why would anyone spend even £40m on Maguire? He's a thoroughly mediocre CB with glaring weaknesses and not enough intelligence/composure to make up for them.
Perfect fit for Pulis' Stoke team, an overhyped Ryan Shawcross. Such a slow and panicky CB has no place at a top club attempting to press high.
At £30m I'd call him bad investment, £80m now seems like some surreal joke.
Being better than an oft injured Bailly, Victor ‘the Snowman’ Lindelof, Phil [10 year stalwart] Jones. . . I can’t even be bothered to list the rest; is hardly something to champion him for.Maguire is our best centre half by a million miles, £80 million was obviously ridiculous & I don’t think he’s really a captain (who in the squad is?) but a few bad games and suddenly he’s a flop, give me a break
I thought so, no minor mistake you can find in that game. 10/10. Completely tame DCL who has been threat against any defenders before even DCL gave trouble to Lindelof for the goal, tough striker to play against since he’s aggressive, can win the air and strong like Duncan Ferguson.2nd motm after Bruno. Too solid today, I don’t think you can find even one minor mistake. Not sure why the commentator say there was potential foul on Digne (the offside one) when he actually got the ball.