Mcfred is the reason why we are good in games when we dont have the ball, and rubbish against teams that sit back.
It seems reality has no chance against the dogged determination of many fans to believe this.
We are not rubbish against teams that sit back. On the contrary, we overwhelmingly beat them.
Our results are not better in games where we don't have the ball (as much).
In fact, the complete opposite is the case.
10 of our 16 PL wins came in matches where we dominated possession (more than 58%). Only 2 came in matches where the opponent dominated possession, with a further 2 in matches where the opposition had a significant margin (54-58%).
Our 9 draws has no patterns regarding possession at all - in 4 we had a possession advantage, in 4 the opposition had the advantage, while one was pretty much even.
Our 4 losses similarly has no very clear profile - 2 where we dominated posession, 1 even, one where the opposition dominated.
If we break down the record by degree of possession, it looks like this:
Dominated possession (58% or more): 10-3-2
Significantly higher possession (54-58%): 0-1-0
Pretty much even (47-53%): 2-1-1
Significantly inferior (43-47%) 2-2-0
Greatly inferior (less than 43%): 2-2-1
In summation: We dominate possession in the great majority of games we win, and we win the great majority of games where we dominate possession.
For reference, this is our PL record:
Losses
Dominated possession (58% or more): Crystal Palace, Sheffield United
Significantly higher possession (54-58%):
Pretty much even (47-53%): Arsenal
Significantly inferior (43-47%)
Greatly inferior (less than 43%): Tottenham
Draws:
Dominated possession (58% or more): Everton, WBA, Crystal Palace
Significantly higher possession (54-58%): Arsenal
Pretty much even (47-53%): Chelsea H
Significantly inferior (53-47%): Leicester, City
Greatly inferior (less than 43%): Liverpool, Chelsea A
Wins:
Dominated possession (58% or more): Fulham, Burnley, Wolves, Sheffield United, West Ham A, WBA, Newcastle H, Southampton H, Newcastle A, West Ham H
Significantly higher possession (54-58%):
Pretty much even (47-53%): Aston Villa, Southampton A
Significantly inferior (43-47%): Everton, Brighton
Greatly inferior (less than 43%): Leeds, Man City