Our Progress

GBBQ

Full Member
Joined
Jun 5, 2012
Messages
4,808
Location
Ireland
My biggest issue is that it seems the top 4 for next season will again be us, city, che, liv and glazers might not want to invest big if that is the case. Hope I am wrong and we sign Sancho and a cb atleast. Otherwise, I don't expect ole to magically challenge for the title.
The glazers would need to have balls the size of water melons to not invest in the team significantly this summer. They know the world is watching and even Ole has said we need investment to close the gap so I am assuming we will see some goodwill gestures of bringing in a couple of first teamers (early in the window) to appease the fans (if for no other reason than it will take the sting out of the protests for one transfer window at least).
 

OneUnited24

Full Member
Joined
Nov 22, 2008
Messages
9,867
You can still have a poor mentality in different areas though? We go 1-0 up in games and take our foot off the gas so so often. Thats poor mentality. Mentality isn't just shown in an ability to come back in games.
How many times have we done that during the season when it mattered?
 

redshaw

Full Member
Joined
Jul 17, 2015
Messages
9,714
The PL is really with tough with Pep, Klopp and now Tuchel, two being oil clubs. We'll face a much stronger Liverpool and Chelsea next season, I expect us to be fourth. Ole has done excellent in taking us out the doldrums with back to back CL qualifaction not happened since Fergie with 3rd and 2nd placings and gone way above many expectations of him.

In a different timeline with Abu Dhabi buying Valencia instead he may well win a league or two and be able to acquire better players.

There's a level in coaching and recruitment that we haven't been able to produce. We've probably hit that wall again.
 

Cnaiür urs Skiötha

Full Member
Joined
Jul 25, 2013
Messages
2,986
In theory our season looks pretty good, second place in the most challenging league and maybe winning the EL is definitely positive.
On the other hand we benefitted from some of our rivals being in transition periods or being plagued by bad luck. City are miles ahead of us (although we know how to beat them), Chelsea will be the second force and Liverpool will have a much better season.

Our squad is still pretty unbalanced, we have some top players and some below average ones. Throwing all our money at Kane or Sancho instead of getting 3 players we really need would make things worse. Beside that I am still missing a bit stringent patterns of play which are essential in modern football. There are some positive signs and I hope that we can make use of the momentum and get the right players for Ole to improving our game.
 

UpWithRivers

Full Member
Joined
Dec 30, 2013
Messages
3,662
Its a weird one. You just cant figure out Oles United side. Its all boom and bust. One moment world beaters the next the worst team in the league. Its friggin tiring. The good news is second place and hopefully Europa League. That will be progress. But on the other you can point out so many deficiencies in our team its ridiculous. Answering this question is near impossible with the way the year has been with covid and our rivals like Liverpool collapsing. Next year we could get the right players in and be awesome and win the league or we could end up 4th/5th. Its anyone's guess.
 

elmo

Can never have too many Eevees
Joined
Jul 14, 2008
Messages
13,402
Location
AKA: Slapanut Goat Smuggla
Its a weird one. You just cant figure out Oles United side. Its all boom and bust. One moment world beaters the next the worst team in the league. Its friggin tiring. The good news is second place and hopefully Europa League. That will be progress. But on the other you can point out so many deficiencies in our team its ridiculous. Answering this question is near impossible with the way the year has been with covid and our rivals like Liverpool collapsing. Next year we could get the right players in and be awesome and win the league or we could end up 4th/5th. Its anyone's guess.
Nah, it's easy. When we're fully healthy we usually play good but the moment we have any of our starting 11 missing, we start to turn to shit especially against the supposed weaker teams.
 

bsCallout

New Member
Joined
Dec 21, 2017
Messages
4,278
Enough times that we're 15 points behind City when we've been relatively lucky in terms of health compared to almost every other club in the league.
What injury problems have city had?
 

justsomebloke

Full Member
Joined
Oct 25, 2020
Messages
5,963
Enough times that we're 15 points behind City when we've been relatively lucky in terms of health compared to almost every other club in the league.
Have we? Pogba was out with Covid, and apparently not fully fit until well into the new year. Martial's had a lengthy absence, Cavani, Rashford and Bailly missed significant time, McTominay and Greenwood some.

City's been without Aguero for most of the season, and significant time for Jesus too, but can't really think of anything else. Chelsea too fairly healthy. In fact I can really only think of Liverpool as a clear-cut much worse case. Maybe Villa since it's Grealish.
 

bsCallout

New Member
Joined
Dec 21, 2017
Messages
4,278
Hence almost every other club.
So the only other team without problems is the only team above us? Not sure what your point is here then.

We came second best to the only other team that didn't have 'problems'. Let's not ignore their break during winter either, the schedule has been much kinder to them.

If we'd been behind teams who had injury problems then maybe you'd have a point.
 

acnumber9

Full Member
Joined
Jun 21, 2006
Messages
22,292
Fourth, this is the first dodgy patch we've had in a season where we've almost played a game every 3 days relentlessly, since that awful start because the PL in its infinite wisdom decided that we can play 4 games in 7 days.
Is it though? What about between January and March when we picked up 8 points in 7 games? I’ve covered the stuff about the squad before. If we have a better squad now than the shite we had before then why wouldn’t results be better? My question is, is what we’re doing now really as much progress as there should be 2 and a half years into a managers reign?

I think Solskjaer has done an ok job. How long is doing an ok job going to be good enough? I think he knows what we need and is clearly a good man manager. What isn’t so obvious is whether he has what it takes to actually get us competing at the top.
 

acnumber9

Full Member
Joined
Jun 21, 2006
Messages
22,292
Team not relying on world class saves every game does not mean keeper isn't as good. You think De Gea would be our player of the season now even if he was as good as our peak?

Let me spell out this clearly for you:

Us getting better results (back to back top 4) + not reliant on our keeper as much = outfield play is significantly better.

Clear now?
Our defensive record suggests otherwise though. We’re better in attack. Which has mostly come as a result of signing Bruno Fernandes let’s face it. Clear now?
 

Bigbusdutz

New Member
Newbie
Joined
Nov 22, 2020
Messages
18
Why are people focusing on the points total? We’ve made four points more than last season with the potential to be 7pts better off but to some that is not progress.

If that is the case then have City made progress as they willbe only a maximum of 5pts better off.

points in a season is such a stupid argument and if people don’t think we are making progress I think they need to reassess what progress is.

most fans would have snapped your arms off to finish second and be in with a chance of a trophy at start of season.
 

elmo

Can never have too many Eevees
Joined
Jul 14, 2008
Messages
13,402
Location
AKA: Slapanut Goat Smuggla
So the only other team without problems is the only team above us? Not sure what your point is here then.

We came second best to the only other team that didn't have 'problems'. Let's not ignore their break during winter either, the schedule has been much kinder to them.

If we'd been behind teams who had injury problems then maybe you'd have a point.
My point is that our points total should be much closer to City and further from the likes of Chelsea, Leicester and Liverpool.

The fact that they ran us so close is a big concern despite us being relatively healthy throughout the season. We've dropped too many games against the supposed scrubs and that derailed our Champions league campaign along with our league campaign.
 

bsCallout

New Member
Joined
Dec 21, 2017
Messages
4,278
My point is that our points total should be much closer to City and further from the likes of Chelsea, Leicester and Liverpool.

The fact that they ran us so close is a big concern despite us being relatively healthy throughout the season. We've dropped too many games against the supposed scrubs and that derailed our Champions league campaign along with our league campaign.
They didn't run us close. Top four has been safe for a while. It was never in doubt. You can paint whatever picture you want by the final points totals but that ignores all confounding factors.
 

romufc

Full Member
Joined
Apr 30, 2019
Messages
12,559
My point is that our points total should be much closer to City and further from the likes of Chelsea, Leicester and Liverpool.

The fact that they ran us so close is a big concern despite us being relatively healthy throughout the season. We've dropped too many games against the supposed scrubs and that derailed our Champions league campaign along with our league campaign.
What gives us the right to be closer to City than the rest?

Lets take this healthy throughout argument.

We had a 2 week rest after last season, compared to 6 weeks for most clubs. So our players have no rest.

We start the season with Pogba, AWB with Covid.

Cavani has to quarantine so missed some games.

We have had injuries this season to Pogba, Donny, Cavani, Martial, Rashford, Maguire.

Who have Chelsea's main absentees been?

Liverpool have had a terrible season for CB but their forwards have been fit.
 

cyberman

Full Member
Joined
May 26, 2010
Messages
37,331
My point is that our points total should be much closer to City and further from the likes of Chelsea, Leicester and Liverpool.

The fact that they ran us so close is a big concern despite us being relatively healthy throughout the season. We've dropped too many games against the supposed scrubs and that derailed our Champions league campaign along with our league campaign.
Utd and City have dominated this league by more than the table shows imo
 

Pearl's a minger

New Member
Newbie
Joined
Mar 15, 2018
Messages
134
Personally i think we have progressed this season albeit with an awful lot of unacceptable performances thrown in here and there. However, we still need 3-4 additions hopefully this will then push the likes of "mcfred" down to a roles of useful squad players only and not 1st team starters. Are we likely to get 3-4 players? i very much doubt it. Ole's been here over 2 and a half years now i just wonder how long he will get before we actually start competing for the big trophies again? My heart says he's the man to take us forward but my head says he ain't taking us any further.Just my opinion though.
 

CG1010

Full Member
Joined
Dec 7, 2012
Messages
3,687
Our defensive record suggests otherwise though. We’re better in attack. Which has mostly come as a result of signing Bruno Fernandes let’s face it. Clear now?
Hence our outfield play is better, glad that you agree.. It isn't just signing Bruno, it is also from signing Cavani and improvement in Greenwood's play. Also Rashford can still score his career highest tally of goals in a season.
 

Noodle

New Member
Newbie
Joined
Oct 24, 2019
Messages
323
Supports
Chelsea
Have we? Pogba was out with Covid, and apparently not fully fit until well into the new year. Martial's had a lengthy absence, Cavani, Rashford and Bailly missed significant time, McTominay and Greenwood some.

City's been without Aguero for most of the season, and significant time for Jesus too, but can't really think of anything else. Chelsea too fairly healthy. In fact I can really only think of Liverpool as a clear-cut much worse case. Maybe Villa since it's Grealish.
Kante, Pulisic, Havertz, Silva, Chilwell and Kovacic have all had decent spells out as far as i can remember
 

Eddy_JukeZ

Full Member
Joined
Aug 21, 2012
Messages
17,130
Didn't realise the league is won on expected points, goals.

2nd in actual points
2nd in actual goals scored
2nd in lowest losses.
Yeah, I never said it is.

The poster said we have dominated the league along with City more than the table indicates(which I think is silly to ignore anyways). The metrics don't support that. That was my point.
 
Last edited:

cyberman

Full Member
Joined
May 26, 2010
Messages
37,331
What?

Let's ignore the table for argument's sake.

What metrics support us dominating the league this season similar to City?

We're 4th in xPTs. 4th in xG. 4th in xGA.

https://understat.com/league/EPL
Both Manchester clubs were at a huge disadvantage at the start of the season, those first 4 to 5 games is where we both dropped the most amount of points because we simply didnt have the fitness. As soon as we got our legs we both surged up the table. When City knew they had the title won they over rotated v Leeds and Chelsea and lost last night. We are comfortably second after our unfair start and are able to be comfortably second despite taking the last 4 games off. For both clubs, thats an insane position to be in when they are comfortably where they are. Its about 8 games each where we either didnt have a chance to win or winning didnt matter.
Just remember that every other team had enough rest to perform from the start and had to keep their foot down all the way through for a top 4 scrap. We both got our points in under 4/5 of the fixtures others had.
 

acnumber9

Full Member
Joined
Jun 21, 2006
Messages
22,292
Hence our outfield play is better, glad that you agree.. It isn't just signing Bruno, it is also from signing Cavani and improvement in Greenwood's play. Also Rashford can still score his career highest tally of goals in a season.
I didn’t realise that attack was the only part of playing outfield. Thanks for clearing that up for me.
 

largelyworried

Full Member
Joined
Feb 10, 2021
Messages
2,101
Would you say pep has achieved greater than the sum of citys parts though? personally after inheriting an already title winning quality squad and then proceeding to spend 1 billion pounds on it, I would of thought winning the title would be the minimum.

If city go on to win the CL than you could say that they have had an excellent season but its hardly punching above there weight considering they have the most expensive assembled squad in Europe, probably the greatest strength and depth in Europe and maybe even the best in terms of quality aswell.

I don't think many teams have massively punched above there weight at all this season.
That doesn't answer the point I'm making though. If Pep isn't adding any value to that squad as a manager, then any half decent manager would be able to achieve the same thing. But I don't think that's the case.


So Ole isn't as good as an elite manager, who's won in the 3 top leagues?
Pretty much.
 

Buster15

Go on Didier
Joined
Aug 28, 2018
Messages
13,514
Location
Bristol
Supports
Bristol Rovers
There is progress, yes. But there are also plenty of issues (still the same for years) that show that we're still far off
Yes. I agree there has been some progress. But increasingly, we are reliant on specific players and individual brilliance.
At times, the midfield is poor and we do not create anything like enough chances. Take Cavani away and our strike force is poor as well.
 

largelyworried

Full Member
Joined
Feb 10, 2021
Messages
2,101
Didn't realise the league is won on expected points, goals.

2nd in actual points
2nd in actual goals scored
2nd in lowest losses.
Expected goals, points etc are such an abused stat. All they tell you is what an average player/team in the same position would do, they don't descibe how things "should" be. If you regularly outperform your expected statistics, it can just be that your players are better than average. After all the league winners outperform their xPoints every season, its not that we have a lucky team every year.
 

Mike Smalling

Full Member
Joined
Jan 27, 2018
Messages
11,082
What do those 3 games have in common? Nothing was at stake for United and meant more to the opponents (still fighting for places in the league or reclaiming some pride after a heavy loss or relegation). It was really like 3 cup finals for those teams where they just went for it and we didn't match that intensity because there was little point in doing so. Yes it would be great to have killer instinct for every game we play but in a season where we consistently had 2 games a week in very trying global conditions I'm ok with the foot being off the gas, winning those games wouldn't have changed our final position in the table or the EL.

If we can't see a comfortable second place finish with an EL final still to come as progress worth being happy with then what's the point in supporting the team?
Nothing at stake? Yeah, I simply don't agree.

Playing Liverpool at home should always mean something - fans in the stadium or not. Sure Liverpool had more to play for, but we should still put in a better effort to win against our main rivals. Poor mentality in my opinion. As for the Roma game we had an EL final place at stake, which were a couple of really good saves from DDG away from being in real danger, even though we came in with a four goal advantage. As for the Fulham game, we arguably had more to play for than Fulham did - we needed to break a bad run, regain some confidence before the final and had the opportunity to cement 2nd place. We didn't do it, even though we put out our strongest team and Fulham were quite poor.

I am definitely happy about the overall progress this season, but I still have some doubts going forward - the mentality being one of them.
 

romufc

Full Member
Joined
Apr 30, 2019
Messages
12,559
Nothing at stake? Yeah, I simply don't agree.

Playing Liverpool at home should always mean something - fans in the stadium or not. Sure Liverpool had more to play for, but we should still put in a better effort to win against our main rivals. Poor mentality in my opinion. As for the Roma game we had an EL final place at stake, which were a couple of really good saves from DDG away from being in real danger, even though we came in with a four goal advantage. As for the Fulham game, we arguably had more to play for than Fulham did - we needed to break a bad run, regain some confidence before the final and had the opportunity to cement 2nd place. We didn't do it, even though we put out our strongest team and Fulham were quite poor.

I am definitely happy about the overall progress this season, but I still have some doubts going forward - the mentality being one of them.
Its all well and good making those points.

United had 6 games in 2 weeks and Liverpool had 2 games in that period. Are you suggesting that has not had any impact?

Well, that is why we have a top keeper between the sticks, to help the team when needed.

I don't think you can question the mentality of the players. Numerous times this season we have been 1-0 down in games, its the mentality that has got us back in games. Many times the team /squad has been under pressure and responded.

I think lack of quality in midfield has been shown in games.
 

Mike Smalling

Full Member
Joined
Jan 27, 2018
Messages
11,082
Its all well and good making those points.

United had 6 games in 2 weeks and Liverpool had 2 games in that period. Are you suggesting that has not had any impact?

Well, that is why we have a top keeper between the sticks, to help the team when needed.

I don't think you can question the mentality of the players. Numerous times this season we have been 1-0 down in games, its the mentality that has got us back in games. Many times the team /squad has been under pressure and responded.

I think lack of quality in midfield has been shown in games.
No, of course the schedule and fatigue comes into play as well. However, it is worth noting that we had a full week's rest ahead of the Roma game, five days before the Fulham game and rotated heavily before the Liverpool game.

I agree that our number of comeback victories show character, but we should also question why we go behind so often. This is no coincidence - we are often terrible in the start of games.

We can go back and forth on some of these points - midfield quality is certainly also an issue. Bottom line is that there has been real progress this season, but we still need to improve in a number of areas if we want to challenge next season. For me, mentality is certainly one of them.
 

justsomebloke

Full Member
Joined
Oct 25, 2020
Messages
5,963
Is it though? What about between January and March when we picked up 8 points in 7 games? I’ve covered the stuff about the squad before. If we have a better squad now than the shite we had before then why wouldn’t results be better? My question is, is what we’re doing now really as much progress as there should be 2 and a half years into a managers reign?

I think Solskjaer has done an ok job. How long is doing an ok job going to be good enough? I think he knows what we need and is clearly a good man manager. What isn’t so obvious is whether he has what it takes to actually get us competing at the top.
You could say the same for any alternative option. LvG and Mourinho didn't win, despite their winning pedigree. Neither of them managed two consecutive top 4 finishes. There's simply no basis for an assumption that OGS is unlikely to get us to the top, and that someone more seasoned is much more likely to. On the strength of returns so far, there is not much reason to question him.

I believe you've got to look at the whole. It's not simply that we have "better players", it's also a question about building a squad that is balanced and fits the way you want to play. You can't argue with the fact results have improved (3rd and 2nd in consecutive seasons), but for me it''s just as much about the fact we're finishing 2nd with a team that is clearly still developing, and where it is easy to envisage how certain squad improvements would bring further improvements to performance. Did you have that sense after Mourinho's second place season? Of course, then too we could have thrown money at better pieces and hope Jose could do something with that, but there was no sense to me that we were heading in a certain direction and just needed to address some specific qualities to unlock better performances and results.

Even more that is the case with some critical intangibles, such as attitude and mentality. Under Mourinho even after that 2nd place finish, this was very bad, and heading in the wrong direction. To such an extent that it was in many ways the issue. Now it's the other way around - good things are very clearly happening, and there seems every reason to expect this team to continue to grow as a unit and become something that encapsulates the winning mentality we used to have.
 

Giggsy13

Full Member
Joined
Aug 27, 2016
Messages
4,343
Location
Toronto
This season feels like one step forward and two steps back. We have an incredible away record and our ability to recover points from losing positions shows some growth and resilience. But our record at home, 6 defeats and conceding the most goals in 58 years, casts a pretty dark shadow. If we end up losing the final then it will be very difficult to argue that there has been genuine progress this season.
 

rotherham_red

Full Member
Joined
Mar 12, 2005
Messages
7,411
Yeah let's compare our back-up LB to their stand-out right back all season :lol:

Ake has barely played all season and will likely leave the club in a season or two. Not much between him and Axel.

Laporte has regressed a lot this season. He's better than Bailly, but the gap isn't as big as it was.

I'll concede on James and McFred.

Selective choices to make an argument though. Our squads aren't worlds apart like so many think which is my point.
We can go line by line if you'd like, the difference is clear for me. Other than goalkeeper, they shit on us from a great height in the vast majority of positions, if not all. We'd kill for a Gundogan of last season, let alone Bernardo Silva
 

CG1010

Full Member
Joined
Dec 7, 2012
Messages
3,687
I didn’t realise that attack was the only part of playing outfield. Thanks for clearing that up for me.
Last I checked it is part of outfield game. I didn't know we need to cherry pick to suit our agenda when looking at "our progress". Anyways I am done with this.
 

red woppit

Full Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2017
Messages
2,257
Location
Buchebi
Supports
Northampton Town
How much progress are we actually making? As things stand we’re sitting 15 points behind the league leaders. We were dumped out of the Champions League at the first stage. We’ve made no domestic finals.

Most would agree our squad is better than it was three years ago and Solskjaer deserves credit for that. With that being said, should results not be better? Is limping to second in possibly the worst Premier League season really a sign of progress? Are we actually any closer to a proper title challenge?
The short answer is yes, we are making progress, but actually being closer to winning the league I'm not so sure.
We are up against two clubs whose riches know no bounds, so they, undoubtably, will be able to bring in any players they like, Liverpool have a tremendous crop of players, and a brilliant way of playing, whether they can sustain that is debatable, personally I don't think they will be pushing for the title next season, but will be aiming for top four, Leicester will probably be up there again, and if Leeds get two or three good signings, they may be a force. Villa, Arsenal, Spurs will all add to their squads, so it will be tough for any club to fight for the title, City and Chelsea for me are likely to be the main protagonists.
United, under Ole, have certainly improved, and I believe that our investment in 15 to 17 year old players means that we are unlikely to spend really big over the next few seasons, and hope that, like the class of 92, some of those lads will make it into the first team squad.
The similarities with SAF first three years at OT are uncanny, SAF got rid of players who were a poor influence, who could upset the dressing room, large egos or had other issues, Ole has done the same, but I think there still may be a couple left to go. SAF revamped the whole youth system, although we seem to have started that process before Ole arrived, it has gained momentum during his tenure. SAF's teams occasionally played some awful football before he finally got the players he wanted into the team, which is what we are like at the moment.
Improvement yes, but probably not looking like champions unless we invest heavily, which I don't think we will do.
 

AshRK

Full Member
Joined
Apr 23, 2017
Messages
12,195
Location
Canada
My point is that our points total should be much closer to City and further from the likes of Chelsea, Leicester and Liverpool.

The fact that they ran us so close is a big concern despite us being relatively healthy throughout the season. We've dropped too many games against the supposed scrubs and that derailed our Champions league campaign along with our league campaign.
Because for our side the league campaign was done and dusted when we beat Villa. Also, the leicester, liverpool game being scheduled within 48 hours didn't help our cause. Context matter and the truth is Liverpool were no where close to us this season even if they finish 3 or 4 points behind us.
 

acnumber9

Full Member
Joined
Jun 21, 2006
Messages
22,292
You could say the same for any alternative option. LvG and Mourinho didn't win, despite their winning pedigree. Neither of them managed two consecutive top 4 finishes. There's simply no basis for an assumption that OGS is unlikely to get us to the top, and that someone more seasoned is much more likely to. On the strength of returns so far, there is not much reason to question him.

I believe you've got to look at the whole. It's not simply that we have "better players", it's also a question about building a squad that is balanced and fits the way you want to play. You can't argue with the fact results have improved (3rd and 2nd in consecutive seasons), but for me it''s just as much about the fact we're finishing 2nd with a team that is clearly still developing, and where it is easy to envisage how certain squad improvements would bring further improvements to performance. Did you have that sense after Mourinho's second place season? Of course, then too we could have thrown money at better pieces and hope Jose could do something with that, but there was no sense to me that we were heading in a certain direction and just needed to address some specific qualities to unlock better performances and results.

Even more that is the case with some critical intangibles, such as attitude and mentality. Under Mourinho even after that 2nd place finish, this was very bad, and heading in the wrong direction. To such an extent that it was in many ways the issue. Now it's the other way around - good things are very clearly happening, and there seems every reason to expect this team to continue to grow as a unit and become something that encapsulates the winning mentality we used to have.
Two managers failing doesn’t mean that every other manager is destined to fail. There’s plenty of basis for doubting whether Ole can get us back to the top. I should be clear though that my question on how much progress we’re making doesn’t just fall at the feet of the manager. To progress we need better recruitment too. If we’d been told in December 2018 that by 2021 we’d still be no closer to a title challenge than we had been 6 months earlier I don’t think people would’ve been satisfied.

Results have improved slightly from last season. Was last season a good season though? Not really. The progression we’ve seen since Bruno came in has effectively stalled. Now there are outside factors that can be pointed to. Those same outside factors have affected other teams too. Just because we coped better with that doesn’t mean we are automatically better when things return to normal.

The overall quality of the squad is better and mentality is too. I agree with that. With that being the case I don’t think it’s unreasonable to expect our results to have been better. Solskjaer has done just enough to remain in the job, but this idea that our continuing progress is guaranteed and anybody who thinks otherwise is blind is absolute nonsense.