True...I just feel if Liverpool/Chelsea have 10-18 less games next season they will enjoy the benefit Newcastle are having currently...1 game a week would be a luxury for any manager.
But yes number of games is only one part of the equation.
Race for top 4 | Finito.
- Thread starter Andycoleno9
- Start date
But yes number of games is only one part of the equation.
Big 3 points yesterday, with the race for top 4 in mind. With others dropping points it was big for us to get the full points on the road with the injuries we have.
When you look at the others we are competing against the maximum points they can reach are (they win all their remaining matches):
Newcastle - 80
Tottenham - 74
Brighton - 77
I expect each of them to drop points along the way, so think somewhere around 13 points in our remaining 8 matches should get us over the line. We will definitely drop points and play both Spurs and Brighton away. Hopefully get some players back and get the necessary points to take some pressure off near the end of the season.
When you look at the others we are competing against the maximum points they can reach are (they win all their remaining matches):
Newcastle - 80
Tottenham - 74
Brighton - 77
I expect each of them to drop points along the way, so think somewhere around 13 points in our remaining 8 matches should get us over the line. We will definitely drop points and play both Spurs and Brighton away. Hopefully get some players back and get the necessary points to take some pressure off near the end of the season.
Third place is sorted. The only question is whether Newcastle will bottle it for either Spurs or Villa.
Liverpool have a proper piss easy 8 games remaining. West Ham away is their toughest one considering they’re still good at home.
Liverpool won't be making top 4.
Hopefully not. If they win all 8 they will though. Newcastle aren’t getting 16 points imo.
They won't win all 8 remaining, but even if they did, that only gets them 71 points... We need 12 points from 8 games to get that
The last few fixtures of a season often turn form on its head. Good teams hit the beach. Crap teams fighting for their lives. You even get weird shit like relegated teams upping their game when the pressure’s off.
They're not winning all 8 though.
Oh they won’t be catching us. They can catch Newcastle though. Tonight is the best I’ve seen them away from home in a while - this keeping TAA inverted seems to help them. Leeds are shite though.
Edit - I’ve jinxed it
Yeah, I’ve been saying for a few weeks, they have a semi-decent shot at 4th place. People will be surprised but they can easily win 6/7 of their last 8 games.
Spurs win would be bad scenario for me. Brings them closer before they host us the next game.
Either finishing 3rd or 4th behind Newcastle, it would be meaningless anyways.
Liverpool are always going on a run whenever they occasionally pick up 3 points.
6 wins gives them 65 points. There’s no way that’s enough for fourth.
Liverpool win their first game in a month and we have posters talking about them winning 8 in a row or having a decent chance of top 4 
That’s because they are clearly better than what their league position suggests and are capable of going on a run. Only last season they won nearly every fecking game.
Extremely little chance Liverpool finish top four.
They have a good run-in, but so do Newcastle, and so Liverpool would need to get something like 20-24 points from the final eight to do it, and hope Newcastle slip up, with an OK set of fixtures. I don't think Newcastle will, and I don't think this Liverpool team is capable of that kind of run.
They have a good run-in, but so do Newcastle, and so Liverpool would need to get something like 20-24 points from the final eight to do it, and hope Newcastle slip up, with an OK set of fixtures. I don't think Newcastle will, and I don't think this Liverpool team is capable of that kind of run.
Because they have previous.Liverpool win their first game in a month and we have posters talking about them winning 8 in a row or having a decent chance of top 4
Newcastle 9 points ahead of them. 8 games to go. Stranger things have happened.
Will be a good scrap between Pool, Villa and Brighton for 5-7th. Can definitely see Spurs finishing out of the European places.
I’ve just stuck 20 quid on them finishing top 4. It’ll soften the blow when it inevitably happens. They’ve been good at home all season and their away games outside of West Ham are games you’d want. They also have previous for this - this scenario happened 2 seasons ago.Liverpool win their first game in a month and we have posters talking about them winning 8 in a row or having a decent chance of top 4
You've just wasted 20 quid in my opinion.
And this season they've won less than half. They need to win half of their remaining games just to reach our current position
What are the odds saying? I went to put a few quid on City to win the treble earlier to soften the blow and it was fecking 3/1. Rubbish.
So do the bookies
Yep, worst time to play teams at the bottom - especially this season when they are fighting to stay up.
Liverpool have left it too late for fourth. Newcastle are far more consistent.
Do hope Liverpool drop points at West Ham and/or in one of home games (Fulham/Brentford/Villa). Expect them to win rest of games so dropping points in 1-2 games would make it sure they don’t reach too many points.
If they were going to go on a mad run and storm into top 4 you'd think the small matter of beating us 7-0 would have been the start of it.
This is their first win since then, against a Leeds side who lost 5-1 at home last week as well.
People need to calm down.
This is their first win since then, against a Leeds side who lost 5-1 at home last week as well.
People need to calm down.
We have as much chance of catching Arsenal as being caught by Liverpool.
They may go on a run but they need 3 or 4 teams to collapse in front of them.
They don’t have to catch us to finish top 4.
I still think they are lucky if they make top 6. Conference cup would be absolutely brilliant.
Let's not forget they need VAR and Meslier to win them matches. Bloody hell, another one, and another one where Meslier looks anything but a goalie.
Let's not forget they need VAR and Meslier to win them matches. Bloody hell, another one, and another one where Meslier looks anything but a goalie.
There dressing room shenanigans (after a league game) have made me want to see them fail.
They have an outside chance but they'd need to win pretty much every game. It is possible, this side does have goals in it and it's about as good a run of fixtures as you could possibly get. Also the teams above them play each other a few times. But really Newcastle (or us) would need to shit the bed and lose 3 or 4 games too.
9-1. City are likely winning the treble unfortunately
There is no chance City are winning the treble, if we get past Brighton I can see us doing the same thing we did to Liverpool in 77.9-1. City are likely winning the treble unfortunately
This isn’t last season though, is it? Each time they score 5, 7 or 9, they only get 3 points like everybody else, and they lost the other games against those teams. That’s why they are 8th with 13 wins in 30.
Nah Liverpool still won't get top 4.
They've got 5 home games and their away games are vs West Ham, Southampton and Leicester...
They've lost away to Forest, Wolves and Bournemouth.
It's the so called "easy" games they've struggled with. Aren't they top of the traditional big 6 mini league?
Exactly. West Ham is the only one they aren’t heavy favs for. They’ve also been outstanding in their last 2 games with TAA inverting - including the second half against the league leaders where they they should have scored 4.