You know, the last guys I saw fighting under a flag like that lost too.Tweet
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You know, the last guys I saw fighting under a flag like that lost too.Tweet
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I always thought the idea was to waste Ukrainian ammo and terrorise.Is this strike rate purely down to the effectiveness of air defences or are we in the situation where Russia is just doggedly doing the same thing over and over again?
I'd imagine these shahed drones must be programmed with a route and surely these could be varied? Or are they drones where they need to increase altitude to get a position fix before descending back down to near terrain level?
Or are they just simple point and shoot weapons like the V1 bomb in WW2?
They follow a preprogramed route guided by commercial GPS sattelite signals and they don't have any way to communicate with ground crews so once they are fired the route or destination can't be changed. Russia is probably trying different routes all the time to find weakneses in Ukraines defense grid.Is this strike rate purely down to the effectiveness of air defences or are we in the situation where Russia is just doggedly doing the same thing over and over again?
I'd imagine these shahed drones must be programmed with a route and surely these could be varied? Or are they drones where they need to increase altitude to get a position fix before descending back down to near terrain level?
Or are they just simple point and shoot weapons like the V1 bomb in WW2?
If they use commercial GPS, is there possibly a way to jam that signal or otherwise deny it to them? I guess Russia has their Glonass alternative to GPS... and I imagine Ukraine/US have already looked into possibilities of jamming.They follow a preprogramed route guided by commercial GPS sattelite signals and they don't have any way to communicate with ground crews so once they are fired the route or destination can't be changed. Russia is probably trying different routes all the time to find weakneses in Ukraines defense grid.
They are powered by a 40hp two stroke engine which gives them a cruise speed of about 150-200km/h, this low speed makes them pretty easy to target with various AA guns like the Gepard or even older Soviet guns like the ZU-23 equipped with some form of night vision optic. The biggest challenge is that they are able to fly at low altitude so you need to have a lot of guns with a short distance between them to be able to cover all the ground.
Short range missile based systems like Avenger or Crotale for example are also good options to down them with but missiles for those systems come at a higher cost compared to ammunition for the guns so guns should be the perfered option.
Medium ranged systems like NASAMS or IRIS-T are of course more then capable of intercepting them but those should only be used as a last resort since the missiles are only available in limited numbers and very expensive.
Yes, everything can be jammed. But they will come down somewhere. So whenever possible it's the best solution to shoot them down by stationing a proper AA-gun system somewhere in their expected flight path. And there are more capable AA-guns than electronic warfare systems.If they use commercial GPS, is there possibly a way to jam that signal or otherwise deny it to them? I guess Russia has their Glonass alternative to GPS... and I imagine Ukraine/US have already looked into possibilities of jamming.
GPS jamming is certinly possible and from my understanding it is one of the most commonly used EW equipments in the war. The problem is that they work both ways, in an area where a jammer is used it will make all GPS guided equipment useless both Ukrainian and Russian and like @stefan92 said they will however land somewhere.If they use commercial GPS, is there possibly a way to jam that signal or otherwise deny it to them? I guess Russia has their Glonass alternative to GPS... and I imagine Ukraine/US have already looked into possibilities of jamming.
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At least the Russians made an interesting crest in the middle of theirs.You know, the last guys I saw fighting under a flag like that lost too.
Finally, this should become a daily reoccurrence for the pressure to start building from within to end this war. The regime in Kremlin did a pretty good job disconnecting ordinary russians from the realities of the war allowing them to be indifferent.Reports are saying that around 25 UAVs have attacked Moscow this morning.
You reap what you sow.
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That would be a pretty desperate move considering that Russia tried to avoid that by every means. I imagine that could lead to insurgencies within Russia.I've seen one account saying that full mobilization is on the way and this could be a standard Putin false flag to justify it.
Not to mention putting the economy under even more strain. They've been pretty good at navigating through the sanctions and evading the collapse of their economy that many predicted, but removing half a million men from the workforce could finally break the camels back.That would be a pretty desperate move considering that Russia tried to avoid that by every means. I imagine that could lead to insurgencies within Russia.
Who will they mobilize now that they already went through middle-aged men (under 50 for privates and NCOs, and under 65 for officers)?I've seen one account saying that full mobilization is on the way and this could be a standard Putin false flag to justify it.
Considering that remote provinces and ethnic regions already lost so many in the workforce due to selective mobilization, they will inevitably go after Moscovites and Petersburgians.Not to mention putting the economy under even more strain. They've been pretty good at navigating through the sanctions and evading the collapse of their economy that many predicted, but removing half a million men from the workforce could finally break the camels back.
You have provided the answer yourself. Several sources agree in that the Russian military conscripts heavily in the provinces and ethnic regions, so now the bourgeois big cities will face the same treatment which is something I'm pretty sure Putin and his cronies didn't want to do.Who will they mobilize now that they already went through middle-aged men (under 50 for privates and NCOs, and under 65 for officers)?
Considering that remote provinces and ethnic regions already lost so many in the workforce due to selective mobilization, they will inevitably go after Moscovites and Petersburgians.
And I thought there were already a solid share of (perhaps lower-class) Moscovites and Petersburgians already joining the ranks.You have provided the answer yourself. Several sources agree in that the Russian military conscripts heavily in the provinces and ethnic regions, so now the bourgeois big cities will face the same treatment which is something I'm pretty sure Putin and his cronies didn't want to do.
The only reason full mobilization hasn’t happened and won’t in the future is well known as they would have nothing to equip and arm them with.I've seen one account saying that full mobilization is on the way and this could be a standard Putin false flag to justify it.
Low aspect ratio wings like that are easier to design, have more space for fuel, and are better for maneuverability if they're hoping to avoid air defences. They don't need these things loitering for hours.Very unusual shape for a drone. That thing sure does not look like it's built to travel long distances at all; it may not even make the distance between Manchester and Liverpool.
But this strategy comes with the risk of Russian civilian casualties. Image what the images of a school being hit with numerous children killed might do for the western world’s continuous support to the Ukraine. It won’t take much to sway the general public to start pushing for a peace deal.Finally, this should become a daily reoccurrence for the pressure to start building from within to end this war. The regime in Kremlin did a pretty good job disconnecting ordinary russians from the realities of the war allowing them to be indifferent.
Yes, collateral damage is always possible with such attacks, but on the strategic level in the west the decisions have already been made at the highest levels, public opinion won’t be able to alter that any time soon, especially after what Ukrainians had to go through. However, the war coming to Russia could very much speed up the end of the war on Ukrainian terms, especially after the successful counteroffensive. Russian internal apparatus’s will collapse on itself, this is just part of the shaping operations and mood setting in Russia before the final straw that brings down the camel.But this strategy comes with the risk of Russian civilian casualties. Image what the images of a school being hit with numerous children killed might do for the western world’s continuous support to the Ukraine. It won’t take much to sway the general public to start pushing for a peace deal.
Emotionally all for this, but logically just cannot see a tactical benefit in doing such.Reports are saying that around 25 UAVs have attacked Moscow this morning.
You reap what you sow.
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