Why Can’t the West Admit That Ukraine Is Winning?
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/03/ukraine-is-winning-war-russia/627121/
A sample extract:
"... most modern militaries rely on a strong cadre of noncommissioned officers. Sergeants make sure that vehicles are maintained and exercise leadership in squad tactics. The Russian NCO corps is today, as it has always been, both weak and corrupt. And without capable NCOs, even large numbers of technologically sophisticated vehicles deployed according to a compelling doctrine will end up broken or abandoned, and troops will succumb to ambushes or break under fire.
... Russian losses are staggering—between 7,000 and 14,000 soldiers dead, depending on your source, which implies (using a low-end rule of thumb about the ratios of such things) a minimum of nearly 30,000 taken off the battlefield by wounds, capture, or disappearance. Such a total would represent at least 15 percent of the entire invading force, enough to render most units combat ineffective. And there is no reason to think that the rate of loss is abating—in fact, Western intelligence agencies
are briefing unsustainable Russian casualty rates of a thousand a day.
... The
1-to-1 ratio of vehicles destroyed to those captured or abandoned bespeaks an army that is unwilling to fight."