Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

golden_blunder

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Yeah, the original leaks about the real number that was supposedly mentioned in the 7th paragraph of the decree (the classified one) got out as soon as it was out — with the number being between 1 million and 1,2 million. It's clear that this mobilization is partial only in its name and they certainly don't respect any rules that they themselves openly stated.

I've seen a report that after 2 weeks of mobilization journalists counted around 210k of newly mobilized soldiers — going only by the open sourced information posted by different government bodies. And only 2/3 of the regions had published that info in any way, so the projected number of already conscripted has likely crossed that 300k mark already.

And they haven't stopped.
Have you been called up yet?
 

VorZakone

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Probably psyops. Find it hard to believe it was a truck bomb.

 
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frostbite

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Will be interesting to see who gets arrested - whether hardliners or anti-Putin types


Both. Stalin's grand idea was to strike left and right at random, so that nobody feels safe, or ever thinks of backstabbing him.
 

sglowrider

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Probably psyops. Find it hard to believe it was a truck bomb.

Surely it was just pure luck that the train happened to be there? It couldn't have been that well timed to blow up just when a fuel carrying train happened to pass by? Suicide truck driver?

Or it was timed this remotely? If so UKR has assess to satellite?
 

stefan92

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Surely it was just pure luck that the train happened to be there? It couldn't have been that well timed to blow up just when a fuel carrying train happened to pass by? Suicide truck driver?

Or it was timed this remotely? If so UKR has assess to satellite?
You don't need a satellite, a Bayraktar TB2 can look at the bridge from a few dozen kilometers away and would allow much more stable real-time observation. Satellites pass quickly and make this much more different.
 

Organic Potatoes

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Surely it was just pure luck that the train happened to be there? It couldn't have been that well timed to blow up just when a fuel carrying train happened to pass by? Suicide truck driver?

Or it was timed this remotely? If so UKR has assess to satellite?
After all the theories being thrown around today, I’ve settled on a long-range missile attack being the most likely. Russia, and Ukraine as a matter of convenience in perhaps a strange twist of fate, is running with this truck being a bomb as a red herring methinks. And it is likely not a coincidence that a fuel-laden train was there.

note: the photos flagged as sensitive content here are just of the explosion aftermath
 

Sir Matt

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After all the theories being thrown around today, I’ve settled on a long-range missile attack being the most likely. Russia, and Ukraine as a matter of convenience in perhaps a strange twist of fate, is running with this truck being a bomb as a red herring methinks. And it is likely not a coincidence that a fuel-laden train was there.

note: the photos flagged as sensitive content here are just of the explosion aftermath
Hopefully they'll finish the job tonight.
 

sglowrider

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After all the theories being thrown around today, I’ve settled on a long-range missile attack being the most likely. Russia, and Ukraine as a matter of convenience in perhaps a strange twist of fate, is running with this truck being a bomb as a red herring methinks. And it is likely not a coincidence that a fuel-laden train was there.

note: the photos flagged as sensitive content here are just of the explosion aftermath
The Missile Ukraine Wants Is One the U.S. Says It Doesn’t Need
 

Beans

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Surely it was just pure luck that the train happened to be there? It couldn't have been that well timed to blow up just when a fuel carrying train happened to pass by? Suicide truck driver?

Or it was timed this remotely? If so UKR has assess to satellite?
A fuel train? If that's true I doubt it's luck.
 

TMDaines

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Looks like Russia’s new dream is just to destroy Zaporizhzhia, a city whose oblast they claim, missile by missile.
 

Beans

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Head of Duma Committee on Defense is asked by that main propaganda guy on his show, "Why can't we destroy the infrastructure of Ukraine, every bridge, electrical plant and dam?"

He answers, "Our main problem today is reconnaissance, which would allow us to identify enemy objects to the fullest extent. Every target requires a certain quantity and type of munitions. Perhaps there aren't enough of them today in order to complete all tasks" and that they need to prioritize creating more.

Surely they already know where all the bridges, power plants and dams are. Sounds to me like they just lack the long range precision munitions needed. Hopefully they have little prospect of building more thanks to sanctions.
 

the hea

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Head of Duma Committee on Defense is asked by that main propaganda guy on his show, "Why can't we destroy the infrastructure of Ukraine, every bridge, electrical plant and dam?"

He answers, "Our main problem today is reconnaissance, which would allow us to identify enemy objects to the fullest extent. Every target requires a certain quantity and type of munitions. Perhaps there aren't enough of them today in order to complete all tasks" and that they need to prioritize creating more.

Surely they already know where all the bridges, power plants and dams are. Sounds to me like they just lack the long range precision munitions needed. Hopefully they have little prospect of building more thanks to sanctions.
They are using SAM missiles and the Iranian loitering munitions for strikes against civilian infrastructure so they must be running very low on cruise and ballistic missiles.
 

TwoSheds

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Head of Duma Committee on Defense is asked by that main propaganda guy on his show, "Why can't we destroy the infrastructure of Ukraine, every bridge, electrical plant and dam?"

He answers, "Our main problem today is reconnaissance, which would allow us to identify enemy objects to the fullest extent. Every target requires a certain quantity and type of munitions. Perhaps there aren't enough of them today in order to complete all tasks" and that they need to prioritize creating more.

Surely they already know where all the bridges, power plants and dams are. Sounds to me like they just lack the long range precision munitions needed. Hopefully they have little prospect of building more thanks to sanctions.
I guess with reconnaissance he's also talking about military targets. If some artillery or whatever is dug in, it won't be easy to spot unless you have the right aerial / satellite cameras operated by people (/AIs) with the correct training. Them randomly attacking civilian targets might as much as anything be because they can't find the military targets and perhaps they're trying to bring them out into the open by firing at other locations and hoping they move to defend them. Must be frustrating and depressing being a Russian officer right now.
 

stefan92

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Head of Duma Committee on Defense is asked by that main propaganda guy on his show, "Why can't we destroy the infrastructure of Ukraine, every bridge, electrical plant and dam?"

He answers, "Our main problem today is reconnaissance, which would allow us to identify enemy objects to the fullest extent. Every target requires a certain quantity and type of munitions. Perhaps there aren't enough of them today in order to complete all tasks" and that they need to prioritize creating more.

Surely they already know where all the bridges, power plants and dams are. Sounds to me like they just lack the long range precision munitions needed. Hopefully they have little prospect of building more thanks to sanctions.
They definitely lack precision missiles etc, but the point about reconnaissance isn't that wrong. It's easy to see where a bridge or dam etc is via satellite. But it's mich harder to determine where its weak spots are and how to strike that best.
 

Beans

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They definitely lack precision missiles etc, but the point about reconnaissance isn't that wrong. It's easy to see where a bridge or dam etc is via satellite. But it's mich harder to determine where its weak spots are and how to strike that best.
Good point.
 

the hea

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They definitely lack precision missiles etc, but the point about reconnaissance isn't that wrong. It's easy to see where a bridge or dam etc is via satellite. But it's mich harder to determine where its weak spots are and how to strike that best.
This is all true and when it comes to acquiring targeting data against military targets and getting that data to the firing units in time, it gets even harder.
High mobility is the best protection against long range precision strikes for any military unit, targeting an enemy that is constantly moving is very hard no matter how accurate your missiles are.
 

NicolaSacco

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According to the Kyiv Independent (too stupid to post links), Slovakia and Greece are supplying 100 tanks to Ukraine, funded by Germany. I don’t know about the timescales involved but that is a serious amount hardware. Credit where it’s due.
 

VeevaVee

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Wish I hadn’t seen this but at the same time I think it’s important to know what they’re actually doing to the people of Ukraine. Description below.

A clip showing dead Ukrainian civilians being thrown in a mass grave. One is still alive.