Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion
- Thread starter Wednesday at Stoke
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I guess if they want to take their chances with more Neptune missiles. I didn't realize that there are only 1500 Russian troops there. It's a shame the Moldovans can't take advantage of the situation and drive them out.
But which issue? What awareness? The only thing we are aware of is that she voted with Greene against seizing the frozen assets of Russian oligarchs and using the proceeds to help Ukraine!
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Denazifying Ukraine via art theft, eh?
Excellent thread. He doesn’t really emphasize enough how much support Russia would lose amongst remaining countries who have so far avoided sanctioning it, should Putin use a nuke in any capacity (including detonating one over the Black Sea). At that point the entire world spare perhaps North Korea and John Mearshimer, would turn on Putin.
Always interesting to see when one of these panelists wince at their colleagues going a bit too far, perhaps at least being cognisant of having to own these comments in Russia’s eventual defeat:
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And failing miserably at that as well
I’m pretty sure it’s real. There are loads of similar pictures on Twitter of people posing with two bills, supposedly compensation for a lost son/husband.
Most aren’t smiling to the camera, but some actually do.
In fairness she’s explained it on her twitter account. The press haven’t really run with it but that’s their choice not hers.
If it's true it's something that will reach the more reliable sources of news.
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ffeck
There was a rumor a while ago originated from Telegram channel of Ukrainian parliament (as far as I know) that the russian families get 11000 rubles which very roughly amounts to 100 euro, but I don't think it was verified by anyone even remotely reliable.
It would be so unbelievably stupid to open a second front for Russia, that I can just believe they will do it.
Maybe they plan to attack Ukraine from Transnistria? But, governments are pulling civilians from Moldova in case the conflict spills over. Or maybe Moldova there is an agreement between West and Moldova to try and retake Transnistria?
As you say, trying to open another front with a different country, particularly when they have no land connection to there is a huge gambit.
Amazing strategist Putin is playing underwater multi-dimensional chess from the board of Moskva, while everyone else is still stuck playing checkers.
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But...but...but...we made them pay in rubles!
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Nobody is really actually stopping them doing whatever they want. As long as Russian soldiers are sacrificed by Putin with no comeback, why would they stop?
Can someone please give me a quick history lession about Transnistria?
Is it like in the Donbass region where Russia just installed a puppet government and the majority of citizens don't want to belong to Russia?
In this case I don't get how they would want to fight against Ukraine?
Or do the citizens of Transnistria consider themselves to be Russian?
Whats Moldovas stance on Transnistria and the current war?
Is it like in the Donbass region where Russia just installed a puppet government and the majority of citizens don't want to belong to Russia?
In this case I don't get how they would want to fight against Ukraine?
Or do the citizens of Transnistria consider themselves to be Russian?
Whats Moldovas stance on Transnistria and the current war?
As per Wiki: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transnistria
Transnistria, officially the Pridnestrovian Moldavian Republic (PMR),[c] is an unrecognised breakaway state that is internationally recognised as part of Moldova. Transnistria controls most of the narrow strip of land between the Dniester river and the Moldovan–Ukrainian border, as well as some land on the other side of the river's bank. Its capital and largest city is Tiraspol. Transnistria has been recognised only by three other unrecognised or partially recognised breakaway states: Abkhazia, Artsakh and South Ossetia.[11] Transnistria is officially designated by the Republic of Moldova as the Administrative-Territorial Units of the Left Bank of the Dniester (Romanian: Unitățile Administrativ-Teritoriale din stînga Nistrului)[12] or as Stînga Nistrului ("Left Bank of the Dniester") under Russian military occupation.[13][14][15]
The region's origins can be traced to the Moldavian Autonomous Soviet Socialist Republic, which was formed in 1924 within the Ukrainian SSR. During World War II, the Soviet Union took parts of the Moldavian ASSR, which was dissolved, and of the Kingdom of Romania's Bessarabia to form the Moldavian Soviet Socialist Republic in 1940. The present history of the region dates to 1990, during the dissolution of the Soviet Union, when the Pridnestrovian Moldavian Soviet Socialist Republic was established in hopes that it would remain within the Soviet Union should Moldova seek unification with Romania or independence, the latter occurring in August 1991. Shortly afterwards, a military conflict between the two parties started in March 1992 and concluded with a ceasefire in July that year.
As part of the ceasefire agreement, a three-party (Russia, Moldova, Transnistria) Joint Control Commission supervises the security arrangements in the demilitarised zone, comprising 20 localities on both sides of the river.[citation needed] Although the ceasefire has held, the territory's political status remains unresolved: Transnistria is an unrecognised but de facto independent presidential republic[16] with its own government, parliament, military, police, postal system, currency, and vehicle registration.[17][18][19][20] Its authorities have adopted a constitution, flag, national anthem, and coat of arms. After a 2005 agreement between Moldova and Ukraine, all Transnistrian companies that seek to export goods through the Ukrainian border must be registered with the Moldovan authorities.[21] This agreement was implemented after the European Union Border Assistance Mission to Moldova and Ukraine (EUBAM) took force in 2005.[22] Most Transnistrians have Moldovan citizenship,[23] but many also have Russian, Romanian, or Ukrainian citizenship.[24][25] The main ethnic groups are Russians, Moldovans/Romanians, and Ukrainians.
Transnistria, along with Abkhazia, South Ossetia, and Artsakh, is a post-Soviet "frozen conflict" zone.[26][27] These four partially recognised states maintain friendly relations with each other and form the Community for Democracy and Rights of Nations.[28][29][30]
Transnistria, officially the Pridnestrovian Moldavian Republic (PMR),[c] is an unrecognised breakaway state that is internationally recognised as part of Moldova. Transnistria controls most of the narrow strip of land between the Dniester river and the Moldovan–Ukrainian border, as well as some land on the other side of the river's bank. Its capital and largest city is Tiraspol. Transnistria has been recognised only by three other unrecognised or partially recognised breakaway states: Abkhazia, Artsakh and South Ossetia.[11] Transnistria is officially designated by the Republic of Moldova as the Administrative-Territorial Units of the Left Bank of the Dniester (Romanian: Unitățile Administrativ-Teritoriale din stînga Nistrului)[12] or as Stînga Nistrului ("Left Bank of the Dniester") under Russian military occupation.[13][14][15]
The region's origins can be traced to the Moldavian Autonomous Soviet Socialist Republic, which was formed in 1924 within the Ukrainian SSR. During World War II, the Soviet Union took parts of the Moldavian ASSR, which was dissolved, and of the Kingdom of Romania's Bessarabia to form the Moldavian Soviet Socialist Republic in 1940. The present history of the region dates to 1990, during the dissolution of the Soviet Union, when the Pridnestrovian Moldavian Soviet Socialist Republic was established in hopes that it would remain within the Soviet Union should Moldova seek unification with Romania or independence, the latter occurring in August 1991. Shortly afterwards, a military conflict between the two parties started in March 1992 and concluded with a ceasefire in July that year.
As part of the ceasefire agreement, a three-party (Russia, Moldova, Transnistria) Joint Control Commission supervises the security arrangements in the demilitarised zone, comprising 20 localities on both sides of the river.[citation needed] Although the ceasefire has held, the territory's political status remains unresolved: Transnistria is an unrecognised but de facto independent presidential republic[16] with its own government, parliament, military, police, postal system, currency, and vehicle registration.[17][18][19][20] Its authorities have adopted a constitution, flag, national anthem, and coat of arms. After a 2005 agreement between Moldova and Ukraine, all Transnistrian companies that seek to export goods through the Ukrainian border must be registered with the Moldovan authorities.[21] This agreement was implemented after the European Union Border Assistance Mission to Moldova and Ukraine (EUBAM) took force in 2005.[22] Most Transnistrians have Moldovan citizenship,[23] but many also have Russian, Romanian, or Ukrainian citizenship.[24][25] The main ethnic groups are Russians, Moldovans/Romanians, and Ukrainians.
Transnistria, along with Abkhazia, South Ossetia, and Artsakh, is a post-Soviet "frozen conflict" zone.[26][27] These four partially recognised states maintain friendly relations with each other and form the Community for Democracy and Rights of Nations.[28][29][30]
Strongly backed by Russia, de-facto independent state (similar to South ossetia/Abkhazia) but universally unrecognized.
Only 1/3 of people are Russian, with the majority being Moldovan and Ukrainian, but they seem to lead it.
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Loads of similar clips to these doing the rounds now, looks like some sort of cheap drone/grenade combo being used to terrorise Russian troops. Keep it muted... 
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It’s quite a bit different to the situation in Ukraine because it has been frozen in this state for 30 years. It’s founding was very much from the mindset of someone like Putin who saw the Soviet Union falling apart as a massive tragedy. The people there wanted independence from the rest of Moldova, because they thought Moldova may unify with Romania, whereas they wanted to remain with the Russian-bloc or the Soviet Union successor, which never came to pass. The area had a predominantly Soviet/Russian identity.
One one hand, Moldova could never assert its authority over the region militarily, as Russia would squash them. On the other hand, it was never worth the political capital for Russia to somehow invade and occupy this narrow strip of landlocked territory to make it part of the Russian Federation. So we have a three-way stalemate of Moldova, Transnistrian and Russian peacekeepers.
I think I remember Michael Palin visiting there in one of his travelogues.
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The BBC reports:
" Russian forces will collapse in weeks, predicts military expert
Russia's assault on Donbas has "sort of fizzled" and the battle for the region will be over in two to four weeks, says military expert Dr Mike Martin.
The war studies visiting fellow at King's College London says: "Basically the Russians are gonna run out of troops, and the Ukrainians are going to counterattack."
The Russians have squandered their one chance to take the region, he believes.
"They pulled all of these mauled units out of Kyiv, and then tried to reconstitute them for combat in the east," he explains.
But they were "bruised and damaged" by the battle for the Ukrainian capital and Russia failed to build them up and "do some bold manoeuvre".
And Martin says there has been a "major strategic shift" in the war, with the UK declaring its aim is to clear Russian forces from Ukraine, including Crimea.
He adds that UK Foreign Secretary Liz Truss is "wrong", however, to say this would take 10 years, insisting: "Russian forces will collapse before that, and we’ll see a coup."
And with the US announcing US$33bn (£26bn) of funding for Ukraine, "that is an extremely clear signal of intent", says Martin.
It also means Nato and the US have decided Vladimir Putin is bluffing about using nuclear weapons if Nato up the ante, he adds."
" Russian forces will collapse in weeks, predicts military expert
Russia's assault on Donbas has "sort of fizzled" and the battle for the region will be over in two to four weeks, says military expert Dr Mike Martin.
The war studies visiting fellow at King's College London says: "Basically the Russians are gonna run out of troops, and the Ukrainians are going to counterattack."
The Russians have squandered their one chance to take the region, he believes.
"They pulled all of these mauled units out of Kyiv, and then tried to reconstitute them for combat in the east," he explains.
But they were "bruised and damaged" by the battle for the Ukrainian capital and Russia failed to build them up and "do some bold manoeuvre".
And Martin says there has been a "major strategic shift" in the war, with the UK declaring its aim is to clear Russian forces from Ukraine, including Crimea.
He adds that UK Foreign Secretary Liz Truss is "wrong", however, to say this would take 10 years, insisting: "Russian forces will collapse before that, and we’ll see a coup."
And with the US announcing US$33bn (£26bn) of funding for Ukraine, "that is an extremely clear signal of intent", says Martin.
It also means Nato and the US have decided Vladimir Putin is bluffing about using nuclear weapons if Nato up the ante, he adds."
A newbie wrote this in the thread on the Newbie forum. He can't post here, but I thought it would be interesting to share with everyone. I thought it was a very interesting read (thanks, @DT12!).
@harms, @MoskvaRed, or @Demyanenko_square_jaw might have comments on this as well.
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Very interesting, thanks for taking the time @DT12
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Very interesting indeed, thanks
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Thanks @DT12.
The problem with the SWIFT sanctions is that Russia has something like 50 banks, and we've only cut a handful of them from SWIFT. Pointless. Even now Sberbank and Gazprombank are connected, so EU can pay gas/oil money.
I bet every Russian company now has a Sberbank/Gazprombank account and is doing business with the world as normal. The loophole is just too big.
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