Just realised the Dem surge in the 538 model is probably to do with the Republican conference bounce, which was built into the model, being lacklustre so far. So it may be over-correcting somewhat.
Be honest, do you model your Current Events Forum style on Maher?
Stewart is an excellent comedian and does really well to keep the quality of a daily programme so high.
But Colbert is more than a good comedian, he's a brilliant actor.
Also, the Daily Show is let down a bit by the other segments, IMO. I could really do without John Oliver et al., much rather just watch Stewart dismantle Fox News for the whole show.