It's a dog's dinner of a league in terms of style, so sophisticated tactics have no place here.
I'm going to steal for future discussions.
He tries to implement a system into the team that needs special players. Players that aren't just good on the ball but have a special positional intelligence in midfield and defense. That at the same time are willing to play for the team and have a high workrate. In addition to this he has to have atleast one or two players that do the suprising things.
In my eyes this system and the playing idea is the ideal - and if done in (near) perfection is superior to every other playing idea. But - if it is done with mistakes it is easy to counter. It means that the players of his teams have to be able to think a lot faster than the opponent, to be able to think ahead, have to be especially fit - and always have little space to act in. Whereas the opponent has, when mistakes are made - masses of space.
I do not think that task is comparable with teaching other tactics or other styles. It is easier (and by far faster) to get a team of mediocre but eager players to perform as a team working against the ball and if you have two or three very good and fast attackers it is not difficult to be very successful. On short notice (and not in the long run) this will be more successful. On the long run other teams will park the bus, be very cautious and will not offer any spaces to your team. And then it gets difficult.
That;s the thing, isn't it? To execute that idea to perfection, he needs too much. Only Barca/Bayern/PsG can provide him with such fine-tuned players and league conditions. Also, there is no guarantee that his system is going to work long-run, at City. Don't you think he will suffer if he doesn't adapt?
Whether Guardiola is out of his depth and/or the squad is not as good as many believed I think it's safe to say we all agree in Guardiola being vastly overrated. And what Barcelona achieved is more to the talent of players he had as well with all their academy and football structure, he was part of all that structure but it was more to the players and the philosophy of Barcelona as a club with teaching their academy players to play a certain way since formation.
Also Mourinho has won a treble with Inter, and Jupp Heynckes also did much much better than Guardiola with Bayern so in that specific case it's not a matter of "doubting if Guardiola could have ever achieved with that Bayern team what Jupp did" it actually happened and we can all see how he felt short to expectations while getting trashed by Spain teams in the UCL in the meantime.
Then I don't agree in blaming his current squad for their shortcomings and critics were way more harsher with Pellegrini just a season ago, who won them a league in his first season by the way, and Guardiola is currently doing worse. It's not like his players are unproven or do people actually believe they have the 5th best squad? Thankfully there is Klopp with Liverpool just to contrast his bad position and his shortcomings when it comes to manage what he has at his disposal. Finally him not doing so great shouldn't be used as an indicative of how the Premier League is filled from top to bottom with better teams than Spain or Germany, he's just doing a bad job and each league has different play styles that he has to attack as Manchester City is a tier below Barcelona and Bayern Munich.
I tend to agree with this. I think it's Guardiola, at this point, more than his squad. He has, at the very least, made mistakes he needs to quickly rectify before it's too late.
I think at the moment he's suffering the same problem as LvG did. He thinks opposing managers should play in a certain way. He acts as if no one has watched his teams play or should prepare to play against them.
He's been around a few years now. People have seen his teams lose and the tactics used to stop them. The PL is full of teams that can play like that. He might say that he won't change, and he won't, not a fundamental level. But I don't believe he's so naive or stubborn that he won't evolve.
The other issue is motivation and City do seem to have a problem with that, a contentment with winning a trophy one year, then having a year off. He might have to change the squad to get a new mentality in, just as when he removed Ronaldinho and Deco. I do think he's been experimenting with sidelining Aguero for example, unfortunately for him City aren't strong enough to handle it.
City have been doing for quite a few seasons, now. He spent 150m this window alone, getting in players of his choice and kicking out the likes of Hart (who, you could say, has at least the right mentality). I don't think him throwing money at the problem will solve it. Like others have pointed out already, their transfers haven't worked out well. I don't think that the new players themselves are bad (I'm sure the likes of Klopp and Mourinho could make Otamendi and Fernando look world-class on a weekly basis), it's just that they don't fit into the system, and that is on the manager.
always find it weird why clubs would rather play players in different positions then a young player getting a chance, there was a young lad Garcia that played in the league cup v us and was there best player by some distance that night, cant beleive why hes not had a chance rather then playing prople like Zabaleta in there. they have no defenders who can actually defend and when Fernandinho is out there CM area gets destroyed, Silva and KDB are luxury players for me and needs to be one or the other in this side as both want to be the main playmaker in the side, Aguero dont look the same player either just now looks frustrated and not sure pep really fancies him.
This is another thing. For all of Pep's reputation of playing with kids, he hasn't really given youngsters too much of a chance. Their under 18-s are topping the table, and they have some exciting players like Celina(their EDS player of the year), Man Utd Garcia, Enes Unal, Brandon Barker - but they never seem to be given a chance, too. These players can't be worse than Lingard, can they? Why don't they get a chance?
I think there needs to be gradations between 'he is that good' and 'he was never that good'.
I think he is a sublimely talented manager who has underestimated the circumstances he finds himself in, both in terms of the ability of the squad to implement his tactics and the suitability of those tactics to the league and has a new learning curve ahead of him.
It'll be interesting to see how city look next season. I imagine they will be a vastly different prospect.
This is not hard to imagine, maybe he just needs time.