RedCurry
Full Member
- Joined
- Apr 25, 2016
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- 4,687
It's supposed to be the difficulty of a chance, and whether you've scored it or not.
Yeah bottom line is football isn't great for analytics. And I love using data when analyzing other sports, but there are too many variables to where you can use numbers to accurately predict future performance with what we have available today.I hate how xG is used by some people to anaylse a single chance or a single game. It's useless at doing this. A shot from 6 yards, with a players strong foot and only the keeper to beat might have a declared xG of 0.5, but this 0.5 is only an average of lots of shots that mostly weren't actual 0.5 xG chances. Some would be 0.1, some would be 0.5, some would be 0.9.
Isn't the 0.5 based on being in that same position on the strong foot? So 50% of chances will be missed/scored. The 0.1s will be in a worse position.I hate how xG is used by some people to anaylse a single chance or a single game. It's useless at doing this. A shot from 6 yards, with a players strong foot and only the keeper to beat might have a declared xG of 0.5, but this 0.5 is only an average of lots of shots that mostly weren't actual 0.5 xG chances. Some would be 0.1, some would be 0.5, some would be 0.9.
This graph here shows that we have been consistently overperforming for the last 2 months. The number of goals scored doesn't correspond to expected goals. Something to keep in mind.Our squad still needs work.
This graph here shows that we have been consistently overperforming for the last 2 months. The number of goals scored doesn't correspond to expected goals. Something to keep in mind.Our squad still needs work.
Isn't the 0.5 based on being in that same position on the strong foot? So 50% of chances will be missed/scored. The 0.1s will be in a worse position.
If it was the other way round and we had missed the early chances for Shurrle and Mitrovic we would be saying we should have done better.
We clearly have a weakness in defence and have done all season. It should be where our resources mainly go in the summer.
AgreeHe’ll learn. But Alexis and Mata our wide agaisnt a fast countering team as PSG are set up tonight is a big big mistake. Yes the subs had to be made, but clear as day Young and Shaw needed support - Alexis and Shaw can’t offer that.
It is not a mistake, it is our lack of depth, we have no natural wingers in our squad.He’ll learn. But Alexis and Mata our wide agaisnt a fast countering team as PSG are set up tonight is a big big mistake. Yes the subs had to be made, but clear as day Young and Shaw needed support - Alexis and Shaw can’t offer that.
Bit of a reality check of how far off the top sides we really are tonight.
But what else can he do? Our strength in depth is piss poor. Our options are Sanchez, Lukaku, and Mata. Whoever he brings on is going to be next to useless against PSGHe’ll learn. But Alexis and Mata our wide agaisnt a fast countering team as PSG are set up tonight is a big big mistake. Yes the subs had to be made, but clear as day Young and Shaw needed support - Alexis and Shaw can’t offer that.
It is not a mistake, it is our lack of depth, we have no natural wingers in our squad.
Not really, whoever said we were better than PSG? Anyone?
Not going to blame him he can only do so much with the players at his disposal
We had a decent top 4 league team but quality wise we’re miles off in the champions league.
But what else can he do? Our strength in depth is piss poor. Our options are Sanchez, Lukaku, and Mata. Whoever he brings on is going to be next to useless against PSG
But what else can he do? Our strength in depth is piss poor. Our options are Sanchez, Lukaku, and Mata. Whoever he brings on is going to be next to useless against PSG
Did you see the pre-match bullishness? People were predicting routs!
Hell, a solid 1/4 people who filled in the score predictor on here thought we'd score at least 3 tonight.
I feel that’s more reflective about the general mood of the team and enjoying the football right now rather than problem truly thinking we were going to thrash them.
Really poor subs. Not bringing on Lukaku has come to bite him in my eyes. Rashford vs Bernat was calling out for it, and Lukaku could be more physical against their three center backs.
It’s a shame with the injuries
Fred has barely kicked a ball for us so I can't see that going well. Lukaku is in terrible form. It all comes down to the same problem, an alarming lack of quality in our squad. That's why I don't blame Ole for tonight; we had a go in the first half, then injuries ruined us. We never stood a chance no mater came off the bench, because our bench is made up of dross.He can bring on Fred and push Pog even further up. Bring on Rom and ask Rash to do us a favor out wide. Mata offers zero out wide attacking or defending - pointless against the pace of PSG
But what else can he do? Our strength in depth is piss poor. Our options are Sanchez, Lukaku, and Mata. Whoever he brings on is going to be next to useless against PSG