Watching the Nets this season, it’s clear that Harden is better than KD. Not as strong of a shooter but does so much more for the team, can run the whole attack and make all of the role players the best versions of themselves.
Without Harden currently, they’re therefore not looking great. And then, given how little we’ve seen of the big three together it’s really difficult to have that much conviction in how they’ll do in the play-offs. If the run to the finals is Heat, Bucks, 76ers, I think there’s less than a 50% chance they make it.