I have never been so nervous about an election in my life (48 years old). Staggering to think what is at stake here.
2020 US Elections | Biden certified as President | Dems control Congress
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In the latest episode of the United Hour Podcast, Nik @Rood and Imran @Annihilate Now! start with the good news by celebrating Manchester United Women's emphatic FA Cup win over Spurs at Wembley and the future of manager Marc Skinner.
Then it's the bad news and the ever worsening form of our Men with losses to Arsenal and Palace.
Finally the main debate - ETH Out now or keep him until the end of the season - if not longer. Are you Team Nik or Team Imran?
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I feel the same and I’m not American. I need to step away from social media as it’s such a roller coaster.
Pulling an all night for this election, just like in 2016
His make-up in this picture.
Same, or at least until the scotch/terror induced blackout happens
I think I'm copying what Nate Silver said a few weeks ago, but my prediction is that all this nervous energy/ comments that imply everyone is scared that Trump will win, is going to seamlessly bleed into a post-election view of 'how did anyone think Trump had a chance?' and 'was this the worst campaign in history?'.
If the last few months have taught me anything it's "don't get your hopes up, even if it looks like Sancho is certainly joining United."
Where in MD do you live?
@owlo drop some knowledge on us
Nate looks much better with the hat and contacts - good for him.
For what its worth- lines have been out the door in some of the cities here in Oakland County, MI (2nd most populous metro Detroit county with 1.3ish million) for the last two weeks or so - tomorrow will probably be nuts if that's any indication.
That Tweet from 538 is the first to rock my confidence a little (the 3 states = 50/50) but at this stage I just have to trust the numbers. Am with other posters despite only being tangentially-American (married to one) - I feel huge, huge nerves about the future if Trump can win.
Indeed. @freeurmind doesn't seem to realize there is no better story. There is literally no plausible explanation they could have invented for the notion that Trump campaign just happened to come into possession of some compromised laptop that contains all this alleged information. Any story they invented would sound this fishy and only be believed by Trump's fanatics.
I think they're banking on Trump being a massive wanker to John McCain which wont go down well with that demographic.
I wouldn’t be that worried about the election; maybe the aftermath...
If Biden wins Florida and Georgia, it will be a quick night, on the other hand, if Trump pulls both Florida and Pennsylvania it’s panic time.
Tomorrow and probably at the least the day after are going to be the least productive days of my adult life. Also nervous as hell. It is scary we got to where we are now. If there was ever a time to show our country still has some sanity and strength of its institutions left - now is the time to show it.
As an Arizona resident I am fairly confident it's going blue. The thing is that right-leaning moderates living in the suburbs have left Trump + increased Latino vote. Expect AZ to go the way of CO or VA in the coming years in terms of political shifts.
Looking at that map and taking into account that AZ pre-processes early ballots before election day (i.e. my ballot has already been verified and counted), I think it is possible that we know the result in AZ before WI. If FL and AZ go to Biden, he can be declared the victor early Wednesday morning; I would say this is the best case scenario.If Biden wins FL, its likely over.
Sure but adding Georgia would seal it without any uncertainty as I believe it’s one of the states that’s expected to count votes early with mail in ballots being such a large share this year.If Biden wins FL, its likely over.
There is a scenario where Trump wins FL and PA, but still doesn't win the election.
Biden would have to take NC, WI & MI as well as AZ, plus all of the other states he's expected to pick up. Ends up with a 275 win for Biden (263 for Trump).
Biden would have to take NC, WI & MI as well as AZ, plus all of the other states he's expected to pick up. Ends up with a 275 win for Biden (263 for Trump).
Once Biden clears 270 and the TV networks all declare him the President-elect, the entire narrative changes and Trump will be in a very difficult spot. Every additional state beyond the one that takes Biden to 270 will make it all the more difficult. If/when Biden gets into the 350s, Trump will be under immense pressure from other Republicans to concede.
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Does the heat bother you in the summer?
Chesapeake Beach (25 miles South of Annapolis).
I'm going balls to the wall. Biden by 417!
The dream right there.I'm going balls to the wall. Biden by 417!
You've given him the whole of Nebraska you absolute madman.I'm going balls to the wall. Biden by 417!
Not when you are born and raised in it but having spent a lot of time out of state for the last 5 years I have noticeably lost my endurance capabilities of dealing with the extreme summer dry heat. It's a fair warning to anyone who may have to move to AZ at some point. With that said, the winter months are paradise.Does the heat bother you in the summer?
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This is the hyperpartisan GOP judge in the 5th circuit, and even he is throwing out TX GOP lawsuit about the Harris County vote
Don't speak Spanish, but does it say you can come over "his" wall to vote?
Yep that's my wild punt. Because the only people I've seen polling NE-1 are those useless fecks at SurveyMonkey, but a few months back there was a poll from someone slightly more reputable showing NE-1 as a surprisingly small lead for Trump. So hey I'm feeling wildly optimistic, so why not go for it.
Nice! I live in Annapolis
The ‘Libs celebrate jubilantly by 9 pm West Coast only to shit themselves gradually until the next morning’ map.
My hunch:
So what bets are people making? I'm thinking play it safe and just whack a big'n on Biden. I don't know the race well enough to be clever about it.
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