Football & Sports Betting Thread 2019/2020

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John_Dooh

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Got my win on Pinturault, never close as conditions favoured slalom specialists, and won comfortably by around ,5 sec and a tidy 50€ profit.

Made some more bets for the World championship in Are later this week:
Giant slalom (M):
100€ Hirscher to win @ 1,46 - He is 1-1-1-6-1 in the world cup this season
50€ Kristoffersen top 3 @ 2,61 - is 3-2-14-8-2 in the world cup this season without being in top form
10€ Kristoffersen win @ 12 - He's the likely winner if Hirscher doesn't win.
Ok this starts in two hours, pulled it back up.
Kristoffersen odds are a bit down, but the crazy this is, you can now get Hirscher @ 1,95.
He's reportedly had the flue two days ago, but that shouldn't matter. He has won 16(and 2-3-6) of the last 19.

https://www.fis-ski.com/DB/general/...&place=&disciplinecode=GS&position=&limit=100

Feels to good to be true, but unless he's on his deathbed I'm doubling up, also like Watford @ QPR tonight.
 

John_Dooh

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Think it's the same guy, he's just changing his name every other day for some reason.
I changed it once, because i didn't want to have the same username as at my bookies ;-)

And thanks for the welcome btw :-)
 

Pagh Wraith

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Palermo v Brescia, Brescia 0.25, 1.75 units @ 2.12
Paderborn v Köln, Paderborn 0.25, 1.5 units @ 2.11
Sandhausen v Darmstadt, Darmstadt 0, 1.25 units @ 2.59
Eibar v Getafe, Eibar -0.5, 1.5 units @ 2.17
Eibar v Getafe, Over 2, 1.75 units @ 2.04
Nimes v Dijon, Nimes -0.5, 1.5 units @ 2
 
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Pagh Wraith

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If anyone can bet more than a few pennies at Interwetten, they still offer 2.20 for Chelsea to beat Man United. Market price is evens or lower.
 

John_Dooh

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Well Hircher came 2nd in the GS, but Kristoffersen won it @ 12/1, and was 2,61 for top three, so a good day for me so far.

Backing Tingnes-Bøe in the Biathlon, in the 14 starts this season he is 12-2-0, 5-1-0 in the 6 sprints so far. Conditions in Salt Lake are good with little to no wind, so @ 1,55 I'm in for 100€. Gonna play against him every time the shooting conditions are difficult for around 3/1, but not tonight.
 

John_Dooh

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So annoyed with myself for betting on JTB in the Biathlon yesterday. Been looking to bet the field against him(around 2,5 / 1), as Biathlon is a very fine margin sport, but end up loosing 100€ betting on him :wenger::lol:

Got a nice double in the NHL tonight, getting everything right now that i reduced my stakes, Carolina & Boston -1,5 for 20€ @5,88.

On Shifren now in the Slalom for 50€, she has 7 wins and 2 silvers in 9, so 1,79 was to good to resist. Gonna do another parlay on Celta Vigo and Brighton now, after checking lineups, most importantly if Aspas starts for Celta, Brighton lineup should be full strength, but Derbys might not be given their schedule. Cue Wilson hitting a 40 yard screamer and ruining this! :nervous:
 
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Berbaclass

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What a frustrating game. Done some more on Perth -1.5 as I just can’t see Brisbane doing much against them, Taggart out too so Castro & Keogh should be easily too much for them.
 

Berbaclass

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There are quite a few things I like today!

Barnsley -1 AH @ 1.85
Sheff Utd -1 AH @ 1.82
Leipzig -1 AH @ 2.0
Monaco @ 1.88
Brighton-Derby BTTS @ 1.82
Atalanta @ 2.10
AZ-VVV Over 3.0 @ 1.80
Heracles -0.75 AH @ 1.80
 

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Marseille v Amiens, Under 2.5, 1.5 units @ 1.96
Hoffenheim v Hannover, Hannover 1.75, 1.75 units @ 2.06
Schalke v Freiburg, Over 2.5, 1.75 units @ 2.14
Stuttgart v Leipzig , Leipzig -1, 1.75 units @ 2.08
Wolfsburg v Mainz, Over 2.75, 1.75 units @ 2
Hertha v Bremen, Over 2.75, 1.5 units @ 2.12
Duisburg v Union Berlin, Over 2.5, 1.75 units @ 2.14
Ingolstadt v Bochum, Over 2.5, 1.75 units @ 2.23
Celta Vigo v Levante, Celta Vigo -0.75, 1.5 units @ 2.14
Rayo Vallecano v Atletico, Rayo 1, 1.75 units @ 1.84
Real Sociedad v Leganes, Real Sociedad -0.5, 1.5 units @ 2.19
Cagliari v Parma, Parma 0.25, 1.5 units @ 2.19
Atalanta v Milan, Over 2.5, 1.5 units @ 2.11
Rotherham v Sheffield Wed, Rotherham 0, 1.75 units @ 2.07
Aston Villa v West Brom, Over 2.75, 1.75 units @ 1.98
Bolton v Norwich, Bolton 0.75, 1.5 units @ 2.06
Sheffield Utd v Reading, Sheffield -1.25, 1.75 units @ 2.31
 

Berbaclass

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Done another double, this time I’ve gone Barca/Valladolid Over 2.5 & City/Newport Over 3.5 @ 2.05

Think City will probably try and put the game away early with them playing Schalke on Wed. Can’t see Newport repeating the previous successes.
 

John_Dooh

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Easy win on Shiffrin in the slalom, but blew most of it betting Celta with Brighton even if I had decided against it!:wenger:
Like the Flyers again tonight, might throw in a bet on Newport +3 later, depending on City lineup, they can't win by 4 or more game?:nono:
 

John_Dooh

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Come on Newport, hang in there! +3 for 3,05 was irresistible.

Also 50€ on Monaco now that Jardim is back and key players are returning from injuries, looked a lot better last time out, and 50€ on the Flyers.
 
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Berbaclass

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Have this Ice Hockey system a mate of mine sent me with some things to look out for. Just saw the Blues v Avalanche game 0-0 going into the 3rd period.

The system says it’s good to bet over 1.5 3rd period goals in that scenario so just did Over 1.5 @ 1.70 there and it’s 2-0 after 6 minutes!
 

John_Dooh

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Like the Flyers again tonight, might throw in a bet on Newport +3 later, depending on City lineup, they can't win by 4 or more every game?:nono:
Jaysus, Newport concede 2 after the 88min, and Philly 5-1 up in third, and they both bottle it!:eek: wtf?! Got so paranoid I hedged the Monaco bet....

The system says it’s good to bet over 1.5 3rd period goals in that scenario so just did Over 1.5 @ 1.70 there and it’s 2-0 after 6 minutes!
I did a little research a while back on the -1,5 lines being to high, turned out a myth. Might be able to gain edge by knowing who pulls goalie early, but my experience is that bookies dont make statistical mistakes often......mentioning as this should be relevant to your stat.
 
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