Liverpool have four of their last six games at home, and the two away games are against sides in the bottom three currently, with a doomed Southampton on the final day - they really couldn't have picked a better run-in.
They do have some injuries of their own though, but I don't know how serious they are.
3 of our 4 last matches are at home and the 1 away match is against Bournemouth who we beat 3-0 last time with Van de Beek at #10 and a Maguire & Lindelof at CB
Like I said: we need to do our job - expecting Liverpool to drop points with that run-in is very optimistic so we need to take it out of their hands by doing our job, not expecting them to gift it to us.
That Liverpool talk reminds me of when people were super concerned about City beating us to the title in Fergie’s final season. We were like 20 points ahead of them with 10 games to go yet half of Cafe had them as rivals.
We're unbeaten at home in our last 26, should be unbeaten in our last 29 if it wasn't for that terrible penalty call against Sociedad
Yeah Liverpool are amazingly wonderful and it’s virtually impossible they will drop any points in their remaining 6 games. Maybe if they had been struggling for wins in their last several games there would be a small chance of them dropping a single point but because they have been winning comfortably for months, they will definitely not drop another point.
Look at it another way; they aren’t Real Madrid and are due a loss.
I see ius being quite difficult to beat again we should get 4 wins 1 draws and maybe 2 defeats that’s enough. ETH will target all 4 home games and may come unstuck in 1 probably Villa or Chelsea finally turn up but we should win 3 of our 4 home games and we should win 1 and draw 1 of our 3 away games. On our best day we could eve. Turn over Brighton if we start finding a more ruthless edge.
People also said City wouldn't win their last 8 fixtures (or whatever it was) in 2012 to beat us to the title once we started slipping; lets not pretend it's beyond Liverpool to get max points from here with that list of games, especially with the way referees are with them.
fecking hell. How do you cope in general in life? Are you actually worried about it?
Regression to the mean in short
I wouldn't be worried about whether we could compete in the CL next season (although I think we will), it's the commercial revenue which is the bigger issue for me. There's a clause with some of our main sponsors that our money gets cut something like 20% if we miss out on the CL for two seasons in a row. It would be a massive blow to revenue and FFP headroom.
It's 30%. United have never missed CL qualification in two consecutive seasons before. It would be a new low in the post-SAF period. I don't think it will happen though, because I believe we will limp over the line in 4th.
Interestingly from those home games last season you lost to us and Wolves 1-0 and drew 1-1 with Chelsea so have to do significantly better than last time as Liverpool have a far more straightforward run in and could well get high 60s now (and better GD).
Exactly. Such an easy basic answer that anyone should easily be able to understand ha
We need 12 to guarantee it, Liverpool can get to 71 points. But I think they'll drop points themselves anyway so it won't matter much. 3rd and 4th will stay as it is I reckon.
Comparing anything to last season is irrelevant. United was what Chelsea is now. Gave up on the season and would lose to anybody.
Yeah our form is so utterly diabolical away from home that just can't see us finishing 3rd
It's almost as if in the previous season we had lost the league in highly traumatic circumstances to the very same team.
We've been participating in almost every CL over the last years and look at where we are in terms of recruitment.
Which made it totally realistic that we would suddenly lose literally all of our final 9-10 games of season, I guess. Dropping 8-point gap with an away game to your rival is almost identical to dropping a 20+ point advantage.
He did say "traumatic" in his post. Dropping that 8-point gap was very improbable and none of us really thought that would happen, but it did. So I can understand people being paranoid the next year.
They've won their last 2 away games vs struggling teams.
