Are you not missing that Russia could make 100,000 of their own?This could be true, but I'm not so sure of it. Consider: it costs only $6,000 to make the cheapest switchblade drone. If the manufacture of these is ramped up, it means that 10,000 of these drones could be delivered for $60 million, or 100,000 drones for $600 million. The Russians have no defence against these.
How long would the Russian continue to hold their positions with 100 switchblade drone attacks raining down on them every single day for weeks or even months on end?
Russia doesn't have switchblade drones. And with the sanctions in place, I doubt they could get the parts needed to manufacture them.Are you not missing that Russia could make 100,000 of their own?
No idea what that would actually mean for warfare, I suppose no one can be sure until it happens, but it's generally the way it works, if one side develops an effective new weapon, the other copies it.
If the electricity grids of Europe stop fecking around though and get moving quicker on renewables and storage projects then those prices will come back down again. If you're producing your electricity with Russian coal, oil and gas then obviously the price will go up massively because it's just an extra process step in converting those fossil fuels into heat in your home that you could have cut out the middle man on and burned yourself directly.They are going up massively.
My current contract charges about 27 cent per kwH.
I get offers now to extend in October when my current contract ends of up to 56 cents.
Somehow I found one for 35 and signed up to that, but I still don't know if I have missed something in the small print there!
I don't know the technology, which bits would be unobtainable?Russia doesn't have switchblade drones. And with the sanctions in place, I doubt they could get the parts needed to manufacture them.
Control electronics would likely be the biggest problem, as Russia doesn't really have a modern semiconductor industry.I don't know the technology, which bits would be unobtainable?
Read the article I linked to a few posts earlier. I really don't think Putin places any value on the lives of his own people - they are resources to him.If the Russians actually follow through with this dipshit idea of trying to pull a massive encirclement, they're going to take staggering losses which really could lead to them collapsing and pulling out. It's astonishing that they actually believe they have the capabilities to pull it off.
Same as here then, it's insane. There are lower income people who struggle to survive with gas, electricity and everything else getting more expensive. If many Germans heat their homes with gas I fully understand the reluctance to cut the gas, the point is not to punish your own lower income citizens.They are going up massively.
My current contract charges about 27 cent per kwH.
I get offers now to extend in October when my current contract ends of up to 56 cents.
Somehow I found one for 35 and signed up to that, but I still don't know if I have missed something in the small print there!
good article that discusses the role and relevance of these types of weapons: https://warontherocks.com/2022/04/loitering-munitions-in-ukraine-and-beyond/I don't know the technology, which bits would be unobtainable?
Yeah but that doesn't actually help him any. It just results in lots of dead soldiers without actually achieving your aims.Read the article I linked to a few posts earlier. I really don't think Putin places any value on the lives of his own people - they are resources to him.
That's the flaw in his plan according to that chap. Putin has fecked up, simply put.Yeah but that doesn't actually help him any. It just results in lots of dead soldiers without actually achieving your aims.
Currently they're struggling to get stuff like ball bearings so I'm guessing producing drones is outside of their capabilities.I don't know the technology, which bits would be unobtainable?
If their encirclement plan doesn't work, this will leave the Russians with no other option than a frontal assault on the Ukrainian fixed defensive positions in the east.If the Russians actually follow through with this dipshit idea of trying to pull a massive encirclement, they're going to take staggering losses which really could lead to them collapsing and pulling out. It's astonishing that they actually believe they have the capabilities to pull it off.
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And while it looks small on a map, that's a lot of ground to control. Going by the Kyiv offensive Russia aren't great at protecting their supply lines.Encirclements always look really enticing until you consider that the Ukrainians have substantial ready forces on the outside of that pocket that will have great fun cutting off and isolating the Russian advance and turning it into a smoking mess while those on the inside do the same. If the Russian had brought 500k-750k troops then this might be dangerous for Ukraine. With the maybe 100-150k they have its just nonsensical.
You can already see a potential problem for Russia on the map. If they push south from Izyum and overstretch their lines, Ukraine could attack from the north west of Izyum to cut off their lines and effectively encircle the northern part of Russia's encirclement attack (until they can connect from the south).And while it looks small on a map, that's a lot of ground to control. Going by the Kyiv offensive Russia aren't great at protecting their supply lines.
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Yes it is a good article, thank you. A sentence jumped out as it's the way I was thinking as a complete amateur "will impact the character of warfare more substantially than the introduction of the machine gun" . The known unknowns and the unknown unknowns I suppose, we can try and predict the effects but there's bound to be huge surprises. When they first started playing around with barbed wire I doubt they envisaged quite the impact it would have.good article that discusses the role and relevance of these types of weapons: https://warontherocks.com/2022/04/loitering-munitions-in-ukraine-and-beyond/
Take it with a pinch of salt but the reports from Putin’s elite say that they don’t believe that any peaceful resolution without a huge win is a possibility as the propaganda did a bit too well in convincing everyone that Russia is fighting the Nazis in the final, almost apocalyptic war. Putin’s Administration has their own sociological surveys that apparently say that there would be a potential internal backlash if they simply take their losses and move out. And, as correctly noted by someone above, the loss of people’s lives, be it Russian or Ukrainian, are not really a concern to Putin, they never really were.If the Russians actually follow through with this dipshit idea of trying to pull a massive encirclement, they're going to take staggering losses which really could lead to them collapsing and pulling out. It's astonishing that they actually believe they have the capabilities to pull it off.
I don't think the propaganda about fighting Nazis would be the big problem now. Just declare that you destroyed all military equipment (demilitarization) and killed all Nazis, maybe dig in Donezk and Luhansk Oblast which Ukraine might even begrudgingly accept and declare mission accomplished, despite under high losses.Take it with a pinch of salt but the reports from Putin’s elite say that they don’t believe that any peaceful resolution without a huge win is a possibility as the propaganda did a bit too well in convincing everyone that Russia is fighting the Nazis in the final, almost apocalyptic war. Putin’s Administration has their own sociological surveys that apparently say that there would be a potential internal backlash if they simply take their losses and move out. And, as correctly noted by someone above, the loss of people’s lives, be it Russian or Ukrainian, are not really a concern to Putin, they never really were.
Plus how will ordinary Russians feel when 100000 Russians have been killed or injured to no end?Take it with a pinch of salt but the reports from Putin’s elite say that they don’t believe that any peaceful resolution without a huge win is a possibility as the propaganda did a bit too well in convincing everyone that Russia is fighting the Nazis in the final, almost apocalyptic war. Putin’s Administration has their own sociological surveys that apparently say that there would be a potential internal backlash if they simply take their losses and move out. And, as correctly noted by someone above, the loss of people’s lives, be it Russian or Ukrainian, are not really a concern to Putin, they never really were.
This is where the fear of Putin using a tac nuke comes in. Because without it the likelihood of them getting a major win is pretty unlikely. Of course using one also doesn't give them a huge win either because the response from the west will be overwhelming, but I can see him doing it regardless.Take it with a pinch of salt but the reports from Putin’s elite say that they don’t believe that any peaceful resolution without a huge win is a possibility as the propaganda did a bit too well in convincing everyone that Russia is fighting the Nazis in the final, almost apocalyptic war. Putin’s Administration has their own sociological surveys that apparently say that there would be a potential internal backlash if they simply take their losses and move out. And, as correctly noted by someone above, the loss of people’s lives, be it Russian or Ukrainian, are not really a concern to Putin, they never really were.
Frankly, helpless, I should think.Plus how will ordinary Russians feel when 100000 Russians have been killed or injured to no end?
Based on? Putin & the propaganda have already changed their assessment of Nazi’s presence in Ukraine (from a limited presence in country’s leadership to a country-wise “infection”).I don't think the propaganda about fighting Nazis would be the big problem now. Just declare that you destroyed all military equipment (demilitarization) and killed all Nazis, maybe dig in Donezk and Luhansk Oblast which Ukraine might even begrudgingly accept and declare mission accomplished, despite under high losses.
Yeah, something is not ok there. How he moves his leg here, and his hand gestures.
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He was
Looks more like he had one too many puff of MJ before the meeting -- and was holding on to the table before it 'slides away' from him. He was gripped with fear that people would noticed.
The Nazi infection isn't real but propaganda, so it would be possible at any point to declare all Nazis died, job done, I think.Based on? Putin & the propaganda have already changed their assessment of Nazi’s presence in Ukraine (from a limited presence in country’s leadership to a country-wise “infection”).
While the actual support of the operation is not really easy to evaluate you certainly don’t seem to grasp the sheer scale of this public obsession.
And at this point it’s highly unlikely that Ukraine will accept any outcome that will see them losing any land at all (seeing that you’ve used “Oblast” you probably mean the borders of Donetsk’ & Luhansk oblasts’?).
I just assumed he had his finger on the trap door button a la Mr. Burns.
The way he holds on to the table for the entire convo is just strange.He was
Looks more like he had one too many puff of MJ before the meeting -- and was holding on to the table before it 'slides away' from him. He was gripped with fear that people would noticed.
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I figured the idea was to put pressure on the regime to normalize relations and stop breaking the Geneva convention.Come on Raoul, we're discussing the absurdity of sanctions on a bunch of Russian/Belarussian tennis players as a result of Putin's invasion of Ukraine.
I thought the goal of sanctions is to make Putin's war more difficult to wage, and don't see how banning tennis players who don't even compete under the Russian flag accomplishes that.
It may develop into a “line of actual control” like the border between China and India in places.I don't think the propaganda about fighting Nazis would be the big problem now. Just declare that you destroyed all military equipment (demilitarization) and killed all Nazis, maybe dig in Donezk and Luhansk Oblast which Ukraine might even begrudgingly accept and declare mission accomplished, despite under high losses.
But the propaganda problem is, that they made a huge deal of NATO support for Ukraine and started to talk about being actually at war with NATO, already fighting WW3 now etc. This part of the propaganda was great to explain Russian losses, but really makes it hard to retreat, as now it looks like they have been beaten by NATO. That's a whole different story than killing some Nazis and going home afterwards.
Not really, no. If Ukraine remains the same state that doesn’t suddenly warm up to Russia, rethinking their country’s entire political affiliation (which won’t happen, obviously), he won’t be able to claim that goal to be achieved.The Nazi infection isn't real but propaganda, so it would be possible at any point to declare all Nazis died, job done, I think.
And yes I specifically talked about the oblasts because Putin could sell this as a real win - ensuring that DPR/LNR really get control over all territory they claim.
Maybe I overestimate the power of the Russian propaganda machine then, I am sure you know better about this.Not really, no. If Ukraine remains the same state that doesn’t suddenly warm up to Russia, rethinking their country’s entire political affiliation (which won’t happen, obviously), he won’t be able to claim that goal to be achieved.
