redshaw
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- Jul 17, 2015
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Can someone explain why there are lots of cases but only a very small number of deaths at the moment? Whereas in the first lockdown there were obviously thousands?
Blood tests for covid antibodies show around 5-8% of a country like Spain UK having caught the virus, which is around 3 million+ people over a few months. Testing back then was heavy symptoms and hospital admissions largely for France UK and Spain so only a few hundred thousand were caught. Testing now is more community and vastly increased. We're seeing it spread now in real time through younger people. Back in Jan and Feb it was doing the same thing but to an unsuspecting public with no testing and then limited testing at hospital.
Deaths are increasing in Spain and France where cases have climbed to 10-13k but I doubt deaths will be as high as before although it could just take longer to reach old and vulnerable. Those people will be extra careful still and not in the dark like before but unfortunately the virus will reach some eventually. April was the big time bomb for UK with the virus working its way through the care homes and such in Feb/March. Thing is younger people look after the old.
The virus is still just as deadly
With current testing it could be the 5-6k per day of April would be the equivalent of 15-30k today as so many were missed back then.
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