To be expected. It's going to be 10 days before we start seeing the effects of the lockdown in the case numbers. We could have 50,000 cases by then.
You would then be of the opinion that the UK (and other countries) should time their policies based on Italy's experience? Interesting thesis, would love to hear you elaborate on that.
They have to be done now. Otherwise were just reacting to the exponential spread. Why is the closing of museums, large social gatherings not necessary yet? Have you not seen Italian PM Conte addressing Italy that there would be no more gatherings, no more night life, etc and it was already too late. Their CFR is around 8% theres no such thing as timing it perfectly, we need to act now.
To be fair, I thought that but someone in Portugal said to me it's in case something to the plants or something. As unlikely as that is, no harm
Do you believe Sir Patrick Valance and Chris Witty are not aware of this, or alternatively do you think they are aware, but are trying to best deal with the factors they can control in the UK and not Hubei?
Tweet
— Twitter API (@user) date
BTW, most textbooks are available online if you know where to look
It would seem they're making terrible decisions despite being aware. You have to realise we have a PM in charge who thinks we should just take it on the chin and take it all in one go. So I've absolutely no confidence in the government or their way of dealing with this pandemic.
Tweet
— Twitter API (@user) date
I’m not sure the University is going to tell us they can be found online with a wink face.BTW, most textbooks are available online if you know where to look
I hope they do that for all countries.
They don't need to. Most students know already.
Of course they do but their reasoning for not giving us an extension isn’t going to be “despite paying us £9000 you’re going to either have to buy the textbooks online or source them illegally”
Why is the death toll so much higher in Iran though...?
You miss-spelled cun... oh wait, never mind.
Not all heroes wear capes (or clothes)
Gonna be like Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets endingImagine they just gave us all passes
There are different circumstances in different countries so unless you have access to the data and the modelling they're working off it's impossible to say when exactly each country should implement each measure. That's why even countries that are following the exact same broad principle in terms of delaying certain messures generally (like the UK and ROI) are implementing different measures at different times. It's all context dependent. It's all also dependent on the models they're using and the directions they decide to go in. So direct comparisons between countries are difficult.
What is your point? I only made that comment to raise awareness to the minority of people that don't know about that resource.
Read through this. It's increasingly likely the situation in Iran is completely out of control. And now a top official has tested positive. It must be absolutely everywhere. And some are advocating for this to spread so we recieve herd immunity -- it's a frightening thought.
Tweet
— Twitter API (@user) date
Tweet
— Twitter API (@user) date
This is Dominic Cummings talking through Boris Johnson.
My point is the point I was originally making in the post you quoted. People need access to the library for their dissertation and it’s one of the resources they have paid £9000 a year for. Our dissertation is due on April 2nd and if we don’t have access to that resource then it’s very likely they will have to give us an extension.
It's obviously because there are a lot of unreported cases.
This is lovely.
Why do you think you know better than what the experts are clearly advising Boris to do? As another poster said they are well aware of what China has done, and what Italy and some others are doing, perhaps as these things evolve different responses do aswell, or timing of them at least.
Hence sales of toilet paper
It’s an unnecessary luxury, do people not have socks anymore?
The aim is to have a peak as flat as possible. What is this thing about people getting infected either side of the peak? The R0 can be brought down by changing how we live our lives until we have a vaccine, there is no other way round it. It's going to spread no matter what but we can try to control how many of 15% will need hospital treatment. We can have a CFR like
Source: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-rate/
Because the UK plan is essentially to just take it on the chin. We could be doing more. History will not look back kindly on these decisions of people too keen to try and remain calm and not make tough disruptive decisions.
Exactly.
That's one of the symptoms.
If this happens it's going to royally feck up my plans. I've got hand ins on April 2nd and Viva and Exams at the end of April then I'm done with Uni. I was planning on wrapping up and going back to work as soon as my hand ins are done but if it's extended and all our hand ins are pushed back to summer it's going to be a major headache.
Nope, it is higher. Still going exponential.
So what sustainable measures do you think they should be bringing in to last the year or more until a vaccine is available?
It's also nuts. It's like in quantitative work when there's some flash cnut with a new idea, when there's loads of methods that are tried/tested which will do the job well.
Feck
