SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

Winrar

Full Member
Joined
Feb 5, 2012
Messages
12,846
Location
Maryland
What state is that? I'm in MI and Governor said the same but then they all say that to likely avoid some kind of mad dash to the stores or unnecessary panic building up. It will likely happen either this weekend or right after.
I'm currently in Washington (Tacoma). Up north in Seattle and surrounding King/Snohomish co. is where it's hurting the most but we just had first death in my county not too long ago so it's continuing to take a turn for the worse here as well.
 

17 Van der Gouw

biffa bin
Joined
Oct 19, 2010
Messages
6,516

Suedesi

Full Member
Joined
Aug 3, 2001
Messages
23,884
Location
New York City
Crisis over, Wall Street/Silicon Valley can't tolerate losses - get back to work everyone!


 

RedSky

Shepherd’s Delight
Scout
Joined
Jul 27, 2006
Messages
74,282
Location
Hereford FC (Soccermanager)
Erm, have you not seen the shops? Or the streets? Have you not seen the shutdown?
Damage has been done imo, we'll see by next weekend where we're at. That's the whole point of this virus, it's not a 24 hour killer, it takes several days before it starts to actually hit you hard. We won't know how effective the lockdown has been until Tuesday/Wednesday.

So who is deciding? Are they not qualified for the job? Not talking about BoJo but his advisors and where has he grabbed them from to make decisions?
Well, whoever decided to talk about Herd Immunity needs putting on the naughty step. I honestly don't know anything about this, all i've done is read a few articles with differing opinions from English and International people and it seems we made a bad error following that philosophy. But these are unprecedented times for our country and we were fecked whatever action we took and it's extremely difficult juggling our economy with saving lives. I just feel gutted for our NHS staff that must be going through hell right now in the badly hit areas. Those are the people that our Government should support as best they can, not just now but the following months/years.
 

Port Vale Devil

Full Member
Joined
Jul 6, 2017
Messages
3,382
Supports
Port Vale
No need to apologise and I'm sorry if it sounds like I'm on a downer but I just think we're generally an ignorant bullish nation about to get a wake up call.

I've been in contact with friends in Italy through this and they were where I am now now a few weeks ago... angry at people not socially distancing themselves and taking it seriously.

Everyone knows our health service will not be able to cope. We had advantages being an island that other nations didn't have and we sat on our hands. We didn't do enough early doors and it's still not enough now. I get that we're trying to build to a lockdown so it's not a shock but I think most sensible people are ready for it. Again, it's the imbeciles holding everyone back.
Yeah sorry just a bit sick of it all. Usually had a read of the Caf to cheer me up even at Utd’s expense at times.

Guess it was an escape at times and didn’t mean any bad feeling I would just like a bit more positivity as maybe there are people alone who after reading stuff will not want to venture out at all even for a spot of fresh air.
 

Pogue Mahone

The caf's Camus.
Joined
Feb 22, 2006
Messages
134,063
Location
"like a man in silk pyjamas shooting pigeons
Not really. It did look like the rise of new cases was slowing down but the last couple of days has seen massive increases again. I live in a mid size town and the wife and I have also noticed a lot more ambulance sirens around the last day or two. The only silver lining is that all the equipment orders made at the onset are now coming through, ICU places have gone from 5000 to 8000 and are rising quickly.

The law for the lockdown measures needs renewing this weekend anyway and I can see them tightening things further, theres a constant stream of complaints from government that people are not staying at home enough.



I have a statistician contact who is modelling the outbreak with his company. Hes been publishing it for a few days now and has been fairly spot on with numbers so far. He predicts R0 on April 1 or 2 and a total of 220k cases in Italy.
Jaysus. Thanks for the update.
 

The Firestarter

Full Member
Joined
Apr 8, 2010
Messages
28,238
Fair enough. I've just been looking at this sort of thing...


And remembering that

a) we've got less hospital beds and less ICU beds per head than Italy

And

b) we're a country full of selfish feckheads and flag waving tossers who think the year is still 1890
Spain though :eek:
 

jymufc20

Last Man Standing finalist 2019/20
Joined
Jan 5, 2015
Messages
3,584
Location
planet earth
No need to apologise and I'm sorry if it sounds like I'm on a downer but I just think we're generally an ignorant bullish nation about to get a wake up call.

I've been in contact with friends in Italy through this and they were where I am now now a few weeks ago... angry at people not socially distancing themselves and taking it seriously.

Everyone knows our health service will not be able to cope. We had advantages being an island that other nations didn't have and we sat on our hands. We didn't do enough early doors and it's still not enough now. I get that we're trying to build to a lockdown so it's not a shock but I think most sensible people are ready for it. Again, it's the imbeciles holding everyone back.
This is what I have been saying all along, it will be the idiots that kill us all in the end. I agree with everything you are saying, there are simply too many people not taking this seriously.

An idiot at work said to me today that this will blow over within the next fortnight :confused: this is what we are up against.
 

Hernandez - BFA

The Way to Fly
Joined
Jan 5, 2011
Messages
17,320
Sounds like our plan is to have an X amount of doctors in at once, then have the rest on “standby” for when they inevitably get the Covid. Then swap out. Rinse and repeat.
 

TMDaines

Fun sponge.
Joined
Sep 1, 2014
Messages
14,004
A lockdown from day one would have been a lockdown about 2 months ago. It was never into question, even in the best of chances, it wouldn't have been possible, even the Chinese couldn't do that.

What you see in the UK, however, is the exact opposite, not a half-sensible middle ground. News anchors in Portugal are shocked that only today were classes suspended.

Boris Johnson is now no different than that famous Iraqi information minister.
Is there any particular reason to take note of Portugese news anchors - and is it acceptable for Portugese news anchors to offer an opinion on something? Strange comment.
 

2cents

Historiographer, and obtainer of rare antiquities
Scout
Joined
Mar 19, 2008
Messages
16,294
Sorry buddy, haven't been logged in for a while.

Seems to mostly be cases from tourists over there as far as I can see, though the PH infrastructure there is of course not particularly good. ,

It is also very difficult to take any figures the government releases over there seriously.

My in laws seem relatively happy with the measures taken so far, even as a group generally very critical of the government. We'll have to see how effective it is though.
Don’t worry man I know you’re busy right now, to say the least!

This just came up on my twitter feed btw:

 

Habs

Full Member
Joined
Aug 23, 2015
Messages
702
It's risk that might have to be taken I suppose. They could save multiple lives but risking their own.
I don’t think that’s what NHS staff signed up for though is it? Helping people yes, but putting your own life at significant risk- not so sure. It’s important that as this progresses that this is not automatically assumed and almost forced upon NHS frontline staff.

Young and fit healthcare professionals have actually died from this virus, as they are exposed to high viral counts- especially those who are performing intubation.
 

Arruda

Love is in the air, everywhere I look around
Joined
Apr 8, 2009
Messages
12,584
Location
Azores
Supports
Porto
Is there any particular reason to take note of Portugese news anchors - and is it acceptable for Portugese news anchors to offer an opinion on something? Strange comment.
I meant it as an (admiteddly poor) illustration that the general opinion around here is that things in the UK are a far greater mess than here and your government is acting slower.
 

sglowrider

Thinks the caf is 'wokeish'.
Joined
Dec 27, 2009
Messages
25,217
Location
Hell on Earth
Coronavirus: The Hammer and the Dance
What the Next 18 Months Can Look Like, if Leaders Buy Us Time

Very good article on comparative policies, choices and decisions. Governments need to be held accountable -- its not like there wasn't any advance warnings or even a pandemic playbook.

Containment and Communication/Education is standard fare for anyone with an MPH/MPA degree and yet... some political leaders decided to do a light touch on containment --- and then went straight into mitigation, a choice that has multiplier costs effects.
 
Last edited:

Shakesy

WW Head of Recruiting
Joined
Feb 23, 2016
Messages
9,981
Location
Directly under the sun... NOW!
OK, so my country (SA) will probably go into lockdown mode within a couple of weeks. At the moment just the hand sanitizer, masks and vitamin C are sold out. We have stocked up on a few things, but to those already in lockdown:

What do you wish you bought when you had the chance?
 

senorgregster

Last Newbie Standing
Joined
Jun 29, 2008
Messages
10,343
Location
Anywhere but Liverpool
OK, so my country (SA) will probably go into lockdown mode within a couple of weeks. At the moment just the hand sanitizer, masks and vitamin C are sold out. We have stocked up on a few things, but to those already in lockdown:

What do you wish you bought when you had the chance?
If you are a gym person, get gym gear. It's selling out here.
 

LARulz

Full Member
Joined
Dec 21, 2009
Messages
18,199
The side effects of this are going to be insane. Isolation and economic issues are necessary/unavoidable at this point. It will cause so many problems with mental health (I was already at a low point but now even worse) and suicides.

Also the people who can no longer get medical help because their issues are no longer priority/as important. But those could lead to deaths. A lack of medical equipment means there genuinely may be a point where doctor's have to choose who to save.

The geopolitical fallout could be huge as well. Finger pointing maybe down the line, some countries failing economically etc.

To get the economy back up and running to the levels we need I imagine will be tough (I don't know much about how it works so could be wrong)

Either way, I can't now see this being blown over and be nothing more than a pub quiz question in 2 years like hoped.
 

Shakesy

WW Head of Recruiting
Joined
Feb 23, 2016
Messages
9,981
Location
Directly under the sun... NOW!
Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering. - Yoda

I'm now turning to the philosophies of Buddhism. I will aim to let go of all my desires and attachments. That is how I will remain calm. I won't always be able to do it, but so far it has brought me some peace.
 

Dante

Average bang
Joined
Oct 22, 2010
Messages
25,280
Location
My wit's end
Fear leads to anger. Anger leads to hate. Hate leads to suffering. - Yoda

I'm now turning to the philosophies of Buddhism. I will aim to let go of all my desires and attachments. That is how I will remain calm. I won't always be able to do it, but so far it has brought me some peace.
Ah, yes. Yoda. The famous Buddhist philosopher.
 

redshaw

Full Member
Joined
Jul 17, 2015
Messages
9,714
And Italy are a country who kiss each other if they pass them in the street and live with elderly relatives in the same home. We can all skew arguments to our own narrative but sometimes people just want to look in on a thread and not feel they are on death row by people scaremongering.

Apologies I am probably going a bit over the top but whatever the government does(not saying they are right) there will always be half the country believing it is the wrong way.
That will be some of the reasons the cases exploded there and Spain. Italy had tested about 30k tested early March with 3k-4k cases and 100-200 deaths. We have that rate out of 66k tested

The UK death toll is worrying and stacking up the same. We don't have the explosion of cases per tested but have worse healthcare, near bottom out of 40 countries for beds and possibly poorer health. I'd hope the deaths level off but it seems despite the different culture, less old people and less living with the family the virus will reach them in other ways in care homes and family visits to grandparent homes and older people just going out. Most European countries have a dismissive nature of this virus and won't wear masks, something that is greatly helping other Asian countries not even have an outbreak or greatly contained it.

The other hope is antiviral meds come in to play soon but all the testing and success in treatment is outside Europe. Seems to be ventilator and death in Italy/Europe from what the doctors have said at the hospitals.
 
Last edited:

Organic Potatoes

Full Member
Joined
Dec 2, 2013
Messages
17,166
Location
85R723R2+R6
Supports
Colorado Rapids
OK, so my country (SA) will probably go into lockdown mode within a couple of weeks. At the moment just the hand sanitizer, masks and vitamin C are sold out. We have stocked up on a few things, but to those already in lockdown:

What do you wish you bought when you had the chance?
Potatoes.

More non-perishable (frozen) proteins.
 

Fener1907

Full Member
Joined
Sep 9, 2014
Messages
3,102
Location
Istanchester
This makes sense. There has been widespread complacency about a virus that is known to be highly contagious in a global economy that sees millions of people passing through airports every day. The best question all along would have been "How can it not spread?" instead of "Will it spread?", and the virus did have a lot of time to spread before countries even considered the possibility of its arrival.

Testing itself was very inadequate because it not only failed to give a good representation of the number of people who were infected but continued to give a false sense of security to populations in the meantime, allowing the virus even more precious time to spread even further.
 

Maagge

enjoys sex, doesn't enjoy women not into ONS
Joined
Oct 9, 2011
Messages
11,955
Location
Denmark
We decided to leave Ethiopia for Denmark very quickly the other day and are now quarantined in some friends' summer house. So that's pretty good.
Basically we were strongly encouraged to apply for telecommuting from our home country, furthermore the internet is more stable here, so it should be more productive.
The thing is now we don't know when we'll get back to Ethiopia.

Anyway, I spoke to my brother yesterday, who's a medical doctor. We have it under control so far, we've set up a number of emergency intensive care units and are educating 240 med students and nurses in treating ventilator patients before Easter. Usually ~40 are educated in a year. My brother has gotten some time off from his ER posting to help with the education of these students.
He said a crucial difference between e.g. Italy and Denmark is that we've been fairly lucky so far with who's been infected, i.e. patients have been younger and we've managed to hide some of the vulnerable away before it got to them.
I asked him about whether anyone has looked at our ventilator capacity and estimated whether we have enough. He said we should have but if push comes to shove we train our personnel in manually ventilating people, which they apparently don't always do in e.g. Italy. So he thinks we have it under control so far.
 
Joined
May 22, 2017
Messages
13,122
Ok just some quick examples.

  • Policies made by other countries before Britain

France

Spain

Denmark


Sweden



Why has it took Britain so long ? Another example, Germany closed it's bars, pubs etc on Monday why did Britain need until today to do the same ?

  • Lack of planning

Government documents show no planning for ventilators in the event of a pandemic



Lack of policy for Renters, self employed and unemployed




And just look at some of the responses by people on here, who have just been fecked over by the latest government statement.


NHS Workers


Testing, Testing Testing


and

Coronavirus: WHO calls for countries to test every case after British government says move 'no longer necessary



  • Boris


And I haven't even talked about the decade long effect of austerity which has made it extremely difficult to tackle a virus like covid19. But whatever I'm sure you've got a empty reply about how Britain is somehow different from the rest of the world and some meaningless sound bite about how the government is simply following ''the science''. Which is why I feel sorry for people like yourself, it's not because we don't agree politically(Who actual gives a shit about that during a crisis like this)it's that the tories are fecking you up the arse and you don't even know it or if you do know you're just glad they aren't using the wooden paddle.


See above.
well I’m impressed by the effort of this post.

what I take offence at was your original post “I feel sorry for people like you”, it’s utterly misguided, argumentative and pointless.

The challenge we have with all of this is that there a counter argument for everything, amd which can be found on mainstream as well as other media.

for example:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-51979654

Have we over egged the response?

no one is going to know with any sort of clarity what strategy would have/ could have/ was the most appropriate action until way after this and we can take stock and analyse it.

it’s a little futile to be dishing out criticism left right and centre.

also interesting is the demographics on the site. It can feel like a big echo chamber - which we saw with Brexit, and unreflective of the wider society. An a direct example, I am a member of several business forums, and the response has been overwhelmingly positive to the actions that the government has taken, from owners of business of all sizes. The concern at the moment is for the self employed/ sole trader/ businesses without premises (I.e e-commerce).But I expect further support for these groups to announced in the near future.

I don’t understand why you need to use rhetoric like fecking/arse/paddle - it derails what should be a useful point of view and perspective. It’s unnecessary.

You have made false assumptions that I am ignorant of what’s going on/ unaware of how this will affect my businesses/ future revenue streams/ ability to conduct my business and relationships with my customers.
 

Penna

Kind Moderator (with a bit of a mean streak)
Staff
Joined
May 1, 2012
Messages
49,690
Location
Ubi caritas et amor, Deus ibi est.
OK, so my country (SA) will probably go into lockdown mode within a couple of weeks. At the moment just the hand sanitizer, masks and vitamin C are sold out. We have stocked up on a few things, but to those already in lockdown:

What do you wish you bought when you had the chance?
Get boxes/packs of tissues, hand soap, disinfectant and/or bleach for your home (you'll find you're cleaning more often). For vitamins, anything that boosts your immune system, such as vitamin D3 and Echinacea. If you home-bake, stock up on flour - it was one of the few things that sold out here in Italy at the beginning.

If you have pets, get plenty of pet food in so you don't have to worry about that - I only realised the other day that I was low on both the dried foods our dogs have. If there's anything you particularly like to eat that can be frozen or is tinned, get it now. I'm running out of strawberry Cornettos. :lol: