SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

blue blue

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As I understand it is the US constitution which allows people to carry guns? (sure someone will correct me if I'm wrong).

My American friends tell me that Ironically the founding fathers had the idea that if individuals could be legally armed they could defend themselves and so prevent any future government of the people for the people, getting too big for their boots? The British in their wisdom ensured by their unwritten constitution (precedent) that there was no way an individual within the population can be legally armed, unless he's a landowner, or a titled member of the aristocracy
Each believes they got it right?
Yes each believes they got it right but its only the USA that has 6 year olds killing more of their own citizens than Isis.
 

11101

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@11101 do you happen to know the official line on the first recorded case in Italy?
There isn't one. Officially it's still the 38 year old runner in late February but they freely acknowledge he is not really the first case.

At the moment genetic sequencing suggests the virus first came to Italy from Shanghai via Germany some time in January, but they are now investigating a spike in pneumonia cases and deaths in a small area south of Milan in November and December. They are talking about exhuming some of the bodies to test them for Covid-19.
 

SteveJ

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Good f*cking grief. 'Get back to work, stupid peasants. Time is money.':
Guardian said:
Sir Graham Brady, chair of the 1922 committee, calling for the removal of arbitrary rules and limitations on freedom as quickly as possible and suggesting the public had been “a little too willing to stay at home”.
 

Smores

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Its becoming more apparent that Covid-19 was around before the Chinese announcement in January. They knew long before they locked down and let it out of the country. It just seems so obvious yet people defend this unforgivable mistake.

I've heard many callers on LBC complaining of Covid-19 symptoms before Christmas. Some of them are kranks but not all of them. There were offices in London where whole floors were infected. We'll see as more information comes out but there already seems to be plenty of evidence supporting the claim that China let this virus spread unnecessarily.

Whats going on in the States is very concerning. They seem to have a cultural problem with dealing with this. If these new projections of the death rate transpire to be true the country could easily spiral out of control. There is a very strong conviction that they need to get back to work to save the economy and their personal freedoms. It seems to have become so strong that they are prepared to risk very high casualty rates. Maybe this is a regional problem but there will be interstate travel and the spread will continue. There is potential for an unprecedented humanitarian crisis and they seem unable to legislate for it as a country.
So it took them what a couple of week to tell the WHO from first reports and a few more weeks before they started to tell the world? When should they have locked down to stop it spreading in your opinion?

I have little forgiveness for this idea that China let it spread when they locked down far quicker than most nations stopped inbound flights and leaders dismissed it as nonsense. I genuinely don't think other nations would have done any better and probably worse if anything considering how soft touch we are comparatively.

The conditions that caused first human transmission sure but everything else is a diversionary blame game.

Alsl I don't believe many of these unconfirmed December cases, unless they'd been to China the chances are remote. I had something which now I'd think was covid but it was clearly just the usual flu/influenza viruses circilating and it's human nature to connect the two.
 

Smores

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Good f*cking grief. 'Get back to work, stupid peasants. Time is money.':
Case in point, the idea that if we'd have had this virus circulate here say within Manchester we'd have locked the entire country down within a few weeks is clearly unicorn stuff.
 

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Hopefully the UK lockdown gets extended longer.

I have a horrible feeling that the government will bow to public pressure, open everything back up too soon and inadvertently create an even worse second wave.
By the sounds of it the public want an extended lockdown, possibly a couple more afterwards although I imagine furlough ending will shift opinion quite substantially.

Furthermore I hope testing public opinion is the last thing they base their decisions on, I wouldn't trust the average member of the public as far as I can throw them.
 

Sarni

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The number of people thinking virus is a hoax is growing every day here. Overheard conversation in a supermarket yesterday between two ladies convinced virus doesn't exist because 'they don't personally know anyone who have had it'. For context, there has been less than 100 confirmed cases in Krakow which has over 1 million population. People can't believe there are hundreds of people in agglomeration of over 1 million that they do not personally know. Wow.
 

JPRouve

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The number of people thinking virus is a hoax is growing every day here. Overheard conversation in a supermarket yesterday between two ladies convinced virus doesn't exist because 'they don't personally know anyone who have had it'. For context, there has been less than 100 confirmed cases in Krakow which has over 1 million population. People can't believe there are hundreds of people in agglomeration of over 1 million that they do not personally know. Wow.
I wonder if anyone follow that type of logic with aids, Ebola or frostbite.
 

arnie_ni

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I wonder if anyone follow that type of logic with aids, Ebola or frostbite.
Can they explain how usa china and russia agreed to work together on this?

What about iran and israel?

If someone can give me a good tinfoil hat explanation for that I'll believe its a lie
 

Sarni

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I wonder if anyone follow that type of logic with aids, Ebola or frostbite.
Actually I've met people who do. I know a person who doesn't think HIV/AIDS exist, they were invented by big pharma and governments to control people and make money.
 

Sarni

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We're in position here where the spread has been largely controlled with still under a thousand victims in the whole country. Because we've done good job controlling the situation people do not understand seriousness and severity of it. If we were in similar position as Italy or Spain with people dying in thousands every week, then perhaps those idiots would have noticed virus is real.
 

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We're in position here where the spread has been largely controlled with still under a thousand victims in the whole country. Because we've done good job controlling the situation people do not understand seriousness and severity of it. If we were in similar position as Italy or Spain with people dying in thousands every week, then perhaps those idiots would have noticed virus is real.
I don't know Sarni, the UK is about as bad as Italy and Spain but we've still got plenty of idiots who think they should be allowed to do what they want. There are always those who find it hard to get the link between actions and consequences, they're just blinded by what they want in the moment.
 

Sarni

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I don't know Sarni, the UK is about as bad as Italy and Spain but we've still got plenty of idiots who think they should be allowed to do what they want. There are always those who find it hard to get the link between actions and consequences, they're just blinded by what they want in the moment.
Yeah quite possibly. People are saying 'governments cannot tell us what to do and what to not do' when this is exactly what has been happening for centuries and rightly so. I mean if your preference is to drive your car on pavement instead of road, you cannot do that either. If you want to drive down the left lane instead of right like we are supposed to, you also can't really do that either. If you want to kill your neighbor, you are not allowed to do that either. WHY ARE GOVERNMENTS CONTROLLING US LIKE THAT
 

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The number of people thinking virus is a hoax is growing every day here.
There is a NHS colorectal surgeon who's posted on youtube regurgitated some bullshit about covid being a hoax, he's already been reported to the GMC which saved me the trouble of doing so, I did flag up the youtube video as dangerous content but its still up there so far.

A big part of it is that taking down these videos and deplatforming them feeds into conspiracy theorists more but I do believe that their views are dangerous and shouldn't be propagated

Fortunately I have challenged all my friends and family on social media and in real life with evidence of debunking to popular claims
Things like covid is a hoax, covid is manmade/lab generated, cures, 5G links have all been thoroughly debunked. I don't argue with people online too much but in real life I have found that those who share whatsapp messages or regurgitate them are amenable to being corrected on covid.

Being a doctor a lot of family members have approached me (sincerely) asking questions to things they've heard on whatsapp etc. Rather than dismissing them as gullible etc I do now take a more empathetic route to talk them through it.

I think critical thinking with regards to pseudoscience is a skill we have to somehow look into incorporating into society a lot more.
 

SteveJ

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Sorry for not being more knowledgeable on this subject. I'd like to ask: are there organisations which would benefit from 5G having a bad reputation & so, perhaps, being abandoned by governments?
I ask this because I suspect that the recent anti-lockdown protests in America have their impetus from people or groups who want the lockdown ended for monetary reasons; and wondered if the 5G controversy was also rooted in similar shenanigans.
 

zing

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I've been asked to take a corticosteroid nasal spray(momesatone) for a couple of weeks for allergic rhinitis. Is that safe with covid19 around? @Arruda or anyone else, please?

I really should've asked the doctor, and it struck me only when I got home.
 

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Sorry for not being more knowledgeable on this subject. I'd like to ask: are there organisations which would benefit from 5G having a bad reputation & so, perhaps, being abandoned by governments?
I ask this because I suspect that the recent anti-lockdown protests in America have their impetus from people or groups who want the lockdown ended for monetary reasons; and wondered if the 5G controversy was also rooted in similar shenanigans.
I don't think so, Steve. I'm not aware of any alternatives to 5G. It's new technology, which sometimes frightens people and its release happened to coincide with the virus, enabling a certain type of people to monetize that fear.
 

Dr. Dwayne

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I've been asked to take a corticosteroid nasal spray(momesatone) for a couple of weeks for allergic rhinitis. Is that safe with covid19 around? @Arruda or anyone else, please?

I really should've asked the doctor, and it struck me only when I got home.
I take a similar drug daily. No risks. You'll feel a whole lot better, though.
 

Dancfc

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If that is the best a hatchet job can do, I don’t see anything too damning there. In situations like this, only very minor things need to slightly shift to have very different outcomes. There’s a world in which this coronavirus never left China, and there’s another world in which we were hit even worse than we are now. What lay people often struggle to appreciate is that whilst we may ordinarily deal with exact figures and exact predictions, modellers and statisticians deal with confidence interval ranges. Just because a modellers’s worst outcome in their confidence interval doesn’t come to pass, doesn’t mean they were wrong as such.
There's not getting it right then there's predicting 200 million people will die from a disease that in the end killed less than 300. The prediction from swine flu (65,000 people projected to die in the UK, only 457 do) is also way off.
 

SteveJ

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I don't think so, Steve. I'm not aware of any alternatives to 5G. It's new technology, which sometimes frightens people and its release happened to coincide with the virus.
Thanks, mate. :)
Could it be, though, that organisations specialising in 4G & other tech might prefer the current status quo to remain?
 

Pogue Mahone

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Sorry for not being more knowledgeable on this subject. I'd like to ask: are there organisations which would benefit from 5G having a bad reputation & so, perhaps, being abandoned by governments?
I ask this because I suspect that the recent anti-lockdown protests in America have their impetus from people or groups who want the lockdown ended for monetary reasons; and wondered if the 5G controversy was also rooted in similar shenanigans.
Wasn’t the early 5G rollout in the US (pre virus) associated with a lot of anti Chinese sentiment? I remember Trump being an asshole about the Uk going ahead with it, while it was stalled in the US. Don’t think there was any corporation behind the scepticism. Just the US government being protectionist and obstructive about tech which they perceive to benefit the Chinese economy.
 

11101

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I don't know Sarni, the UK is about as bad as Italy and Spain but we've still got plenty of idiots who think they should be allowed to do what they want. There are always those who find it hard to get the link between actions and consequences, they're just blinded by what they want in the moment.
This has confused me. The UK is now firmly up there with Italy and Spain but still so many people are out and about and not taking it seriously and claims of hoaxes and overreactions are not exactly uncommon either. In Italy and Spain you'd have to search far into the backpages to find any dissenting view of the lockdowns, if it was ever printed in the first place. I had thought when thousands started dying the UK would wake up too.
 

TMDaines

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There's not getting it right then there's predicting 200 million people will die from a disease that in the end killed less than 300. The prediction from swine flu (65,000 people projected to die in the UK, only 457 do) is also way off.
I don't think you appreciate what reasonable ranges on some estimates look like. When dealing with exponential growth, the difference between a few catching the disease and it being stopped at source, and that snowballing into something vast is a very fine margin. Surely what we are now experiencing shows that the swine flu estimate doesn't look that over the top? Swine flu could have easily manifested like this. So could have SARS.
 

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Wasn’t the early 5G rollout in the US (pre virus) associated with a lot of anti Chinese sentiment? I remember Trump being an asshole about the Uk going ahead with it, while it was stalled in the US.
That was a legitimate fear. Letting a foreign company with very close ties to an authoritarian enemy government build your mobile data network is pretty fecking stupid.
 

DoomSlayer

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Thanks, mate. :)
Could it be, though, that organisations specialising in 4G & other tech might prefer the current status quo to remain?
The issue started when China basically won the 5G race against the West and a lot of Western countries chose to work with China and implement their infrastructure, instead of waiting for a Western equivalent coming from the US or another top Western country.

At least those are my observations on the matter.
 

JPRouve

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Wasn’t the early 5G rollout in the US (pre virus) associated with a lot of anti Chinese sentiment? I remember Trump being an asshole about the Uk going ahead with it, while it was stalled in the US. Don’t think there was any corporation behind the scepticism. Just the US being protectionist and obstructive about Chinese tech.
Now that you mention it, Huawei is the leader in 5G technology if I'm not mistaken and the negative press around it seemed to have gained pace around the time of the US-China feud.
 

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That was a legitimate fear. Letting a foreign company with very close ties to an authoritarian enemy government build your mobile data network is pretty fecking stupid.
Was the foreign company actually building the network though? I thought they invented the tech but were reliant on other telcom companies to adapt their networks to the new specs? Miles outside my area of expertise here!
 

SteveJ

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Makes me wonder, then, why the UK government is so keen to adopt Huawei's 5G tech, especially when that same government is trying to keep America sweet (in light of Brexit trade deals)...
 

Dr. Dwayne

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Thanks, mate. :)
Could it be, though, that organisations specialising in 4G & other tech might prefer the current status quo to remain?
There might be a slight cost benefit to the status quo; however, nothing is better than upgrading your tech so you can charge customers more.

There's also the risk that a competitor will upgrade and win your existing clients with better service, making a desire to retain the current setup unlikely.
 

DoomSlayer

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Makes me wonder, then, why the UK government is so keen to adopt Huawei's 5G tech, especially when that same government is trying to keep America sweet (in light of Brexit trade deals)...
Cheaper for the telecoms, I presume.
 

Dr. Dwayne

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Was the foreign company actually building the network though? I thought they invented the tech but were reliant on other telcom companies to adapt their networks to the new specs? Miles outside my area of expertise here!
As far as I know, Huawei at least supplies the main bits of infrastructure. That's pretty risky considering what we know about how smartphones and apps can be exploited. I'd imagine they'd be able to take over a nation's entire network if they wanted and at the very least siphon off whatever data they wanted at any time.
 

JPRouve

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Makes me wonder, then, why the UK government is so keen to adopt Huawei's 5G tech, especially when that same government is trying to keep America sweet (in light of Brexit trade deals)...
Because realistically, a relatively small country like the UK can't put all his eggs in the same basket, particular when the US basket is full of snakes.
 

JPRouve

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As far as I know, Huawei at least supplies the main bits of infrastructure. That's pretty risky considering what we know about how smartphones and apps can be exploited. I'd imagine they'd be able to take over a nation's entire network if they wanted and at the very least siphon off whatever data they wanted at any time.
They are already able to do that though and funnily enough the US routinely tell us that they know everything that is happening in foreign countries.
 

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This has confused me. The UK is now firmly up there with Italy and Spain but still so many people are out and about and not taking it seriously and claims of hoaxes and overreactions are not exactly uncommon either. In Italy and Spain you'd have to search far into the backpages to find any dissenting view of the lockdowns, if it was ever printed in the first place. I had thought when thousands started dying the UK would wake up too.
No, the nation that queues and plays the game does seem to have more selfish shitheads in it's ranks as well. I blame Thatcher.