Ubik
Nothing happens until something moves!
- Joined
- Jul 8, 2010
- Messages
- 19,077
Has there been any update on ME-2?
we are all there with you.Listen, I have been up for 30 hours, survived the Green Bay ink incident, led a rally against despair and procured a phone charger. I will not be denied my irrational hope!
Not available in my region.It's freely available on CNN.com.
I’m with you man! Here in Chicago been sticking to this all night. Just downed another Red Bull. Hanging on until I feel comfortable enough to go to sleep.Listen, I have been up for 30 hours, survived the Green Bay ink incident, led a rally against despair and procured a phone charger. I will not be denied my irrational hope!
Trump would have defeated any Democrat if not for Covid. An incumbent president with a strong economy will always win in the US.Can't believe how close it all is....given all the predictions in last two weeks I expected Biden to win by 55-45% margin.
Is it too simplistic to say Trump would've won this comfortably but for Covid crisis?
Move then.Not available in my region.
Genuinely believe Bernie would have won but with a completely different demographic and vote pattern than bidenWould all the center/center right voters would have voted for Sanders or Warren? I really doubt that any of them would have got Arizona for example, and who knows how Midwest would have gone.
Saying that, I think that a you get centrist would have done better. Like O’Rourke or Buttigieg if they did not suck.
Because they are still counting. Full result won’t be released until Friday I think.Why don't they just call it then?
https://edition.cnn.com/specials/live-cnni-ukAnyone has a live stream of cnn or any other news channel I can follow please?
With the $500m + in bets on this election, I would have assumed that it would have been worth it to create a more comprehensive model that would take into account the precincts(urban/rural) that still had not sent in their results and the % of absentee votes not registered, assuming this data was available, which is dependent on man power. Not easy, but if the weighing of the variables are correct, it is just a matter of data/lack of data --> data gathering.It's funny. He was talking about neural nets. As a fellow data scientist with a masters in machine learning (and I'm sure more qualified PhD folks like @Revan will agree) - no matter how good your model is, it's limited by the data you feed it. And there's just too many variables when it comes to stocks and elections, and you will always have a considerable margin for error because your feature set cannot simply include all the chaos of real life. With a carefully curated data set, an intuitively selected and constructed ensemble and a skillful tweaking of loss functions and hyperparameters, you can outperform other models, - but you can't become fecking Nostradamus.
Move then.
@Reapersoul20Where’s that guy who was giving it the biggun about his educated understanding of betting markets?
Politico still shows a 12k lead for Trump in MI, it's not gone down as other outlets are suggesting.
Took today off, but I just finished about a half gallon of coffee so I think I’m gonna save the vacation day and “work”I’m with you man! Here in Chicago been sticking to this all night. Just downed another Red Bull. Hanging on until I feel comfortable enough to go to sleep.
Sanders would probably scare off a large number of independents and disillusioned ex-Trump voters. Warren might have been a more safe bet. But yes you're right, the US is very much like the UK in the sense that a leftist ticket would likely not be every electable.Would all the center/center right voters would have voted for Sanders or Warren? I really doubt that any of them would have got Arizona for example, and who knows how Midwest would have gone.
Saying that, I think that a you get centrist would have done better. Like O’Rourke or Buttigieg if they did not suck.
Inkgate will forever be remembered, I hope the guy got reimbursed too for his what seemed a lifetime trip to Walmart.Listen, I have been up for 30 hours, survived the Green Bay ink incident, led a rally against despair and procured a phone charger. I will not be denied my irrational hope!
Interested to hear his thoughts myself!@Reapersoul20
I think we're setting the bar low here. Remember John Delaney? Or Howard Schultz? They would have won the popular vote by a good amount. I think that was the metric @Siorac was using to dictate enthusiasm, and I can argue that a more left candidate would have picked up a disillusioned voter for every center right voter that was lost to Trump.Would all the center/center right voters would have voted for Sanders or Warren? I really doubt that any of them would have got Arizona for example, and who knows how Midwest would have gone.
Saying that, I think that a you get centrist would have done better. Like O’Rourke or Buttigieg if they did not suck.
It went from 200K to 60K to 36K to 12K and then it stopped.Politico still shows a 12k lead for Trump in MI, it's not gone down as other outlets are suggesting.
Don't jinx this.The next few months will be fun with a butthurt Trump pushing executive order after executive order not giving two fecks.
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Troy deeny as VP?Breaking: Marco Silva has been appointed President.
No idea how it happened, but then no one knows how the cnut blagged his last two jobs either.
I do not see any path that would have lead to a Bernie win. Most likely would have been a Trump landslide. I mean, we saw Florida going 4+ for Trump, simply cause he claimed that Biden is a communist and in the debates was confusing him for Bernie.Genuinely believe Bernie would have won but with a completely different demographic and vote pattern than biden
I wouldn’t worry - officials in Michigan state said a number of absentee ballots left and they will likely be blue votes.Politico still shows a 12k lead for Trump in MI, it's not gone down as other outlets are suggesting.
It's not over till it's over but he went from ~300k down to ~20k down with 15% of the vote still to be counted.I turn it off last night because I had to get up early for work but at the time Biden was getting slammed in Michigan did he catch up??