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Club Sale | It’s done!

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Pogue Mahone

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Yes, but the thing here is. They actually don't need to put their own money in. Unlike most other PL clubs. The club can sustain itself without the need for the owners to pump money in.

The problem with them is the debt, when they took it over it was highlighted as a major issue, 17 years later the chickens are coming home to roost.
Yes and no. Without those funds being leeched from the club it could have done a lot more than just “sustain itself” which is what pisses people off. All the talk right now is how badly we need to invest in infrastructure, such as the stadium. That could have been done years ago if the Glazers weren’t actively diverting club generated funds into their own pockets, the opposite to what the owners of rival clubs were doing.
 

red thru&thru

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If this is true, that SJR asked for more time and has still low balled the Glazers on their asking price, then I can see why the Glazers are annoyed.
After the Chelsea debacle, I'm pretty sure Raine wouldn't really want to deal with SJR.
 

Rado_N

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I try to keep out of this shit show of a thread as much possible so must have missed previous discussions.

The valuation of the club now is many multiples higher than it was before. That allows the Glazers to sell off equity to raise funds. Hence the rumours about this sale being a means to inflate the value of the club. How they use the funds generated is up to them. Some of the siblings can walk away with their cash. Any that remain can use that cash to keep their (very lucrative) business afloat. Selling equity does not create debt. The idea that they will suddenly take out a massive loan, with interest rates on the up and up, at a time when there’s another, obvious way to raise funds makes no sense at all.
https://www.redcafe.net/threads/better-the-devil-you-know.475848

You started a thread on it, I knew I’d seen the suggestion before!

It won’t work for the simple reason that the equity being sold by the majority of the Glazer family will go with them. The remaining two would then be in a position where they have a heavily reduced holding, and if they wanted to “sell equity” from there it would either be by selling more of their own shares or issuing new shares which dilutes everyone’s position.

If they sell more of their own, that relies on them injecting personal cash into the company and, well, Glazers.

Diluting their position further seems extremely unlikely, as they then hold an even lower share in the club and have generated no cash for themselves whilst their siblings have walked off with a fortune.

That leaves debt, likely from someone such as Elliott at an exorbitant interest rate.

There’s an enormous amount of investment required, and the club is verging on insolvent because of how they’ve run it. It’s no longer sustainable, they need to exit.
 

LawCharltonBest

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When I've been buying and selling houses I never want to overpay. I always offer lowball and give myself room to go up to the figure I want to pay (always below asking price). Neither buyer nor seller will ever agree that its a fair price. Everyone wants a deal. Guessing these businessmen are the same.

Negotiations on a much bigger scale than house buying. I cant seem them not selling at this point but stranger things have happened.
Thanks. Hopefully just that then. I'd take either full takeover bidder really, I genuinely worry about United's future under the Glazer's, even as far as remaining a top flight team in the next 10-15 years.
 

Wednesday at Stoke

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If this is true, that SJR asked for more time and has still low balled the Glazers on their asking price, then I can see why the Glazers are annoyed.
If I'm not wrong, he's bidding for the ~ 70% of the Glazer's stake, so even if he places a 4.25B bid, that still values the club at the Glazers' expectations of 6B. If the Glazers are asking for 6B for their own stake, that's utterly ridiculous by any standards.
 

TrebleChamp99

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Can I ask, what makes you feel that the Glazers will stay? Financially, how could they sustain to keep the club?
I don’t think the Glazers will stay I think they will extend the process until they either get the price they want which is from Jassim.

Or

They take the financing offer , stick around and sell in 5 years.

With the second we will essentially continue as is and end up around 7th and anything above will be due to ETH coaching.
 

TrebleChamp99

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I agree with the twist but I fear it will go the other way. I’m expecting a Mic drop £6b bid from Jassim who will then tell them to get the feck out of his football club.

Hope I am wrong.
To each their own, Jassims offer is the biggest and most exciting for myself.
 

Marcus

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I am really relaxed about this. There will be lots of people nearer to Manchester to get angry on my behalf.
 

Oranges038

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Ok Avram,
The debt is only on the club because of them scumbags. And the reason serious investment is needed on the stadium and training ground is because they've taken over £1.5b out of the club rather than investing it back into the club
Exactly Ed, which is why they need to go.

Yes and no. Without those funds being leeched from the club it could have done a lot more than just “sustain itself” which is what pisses people off. All the talk right now is how badly we need to invest in infrastructure, such as the stadium. That could have been done years ago if the Glazers weren’t actively diverting club generated funds into their own pockets, the opposite to what the owners of rival clubs were doing.
But, if say Spurs owners have pumped 500m into the club over 5 years. Do we know how much of that is debt they've taken on to put that money in? Or if it's been loaned? They are one of the most indebted clubs in the league. We also know Roman in total had loaned Chelsea over 1bn.

I'm not 100% sure on the exact figures they've taken out in dividends. The debt is the biggest burden that just hasn't allowed them to invest in the club. It's become unsustainable now, because of the investment that is clearly required. What we are now seeing, they really just aren't willing to pump their own money in when it is needed.

Anyway, this all escalated from me saying they have put money up for transfers. I don't want to defend them, I agree they need to go, 100%.
 
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Plant0x84

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If I'm not wrong, he's bidding for the ~ 70% of the Glazer's stake, so even if he places a 4.25B bid, that still values the club at the Glazers' expectations of 6B. If the Glazers are asking for 6B for their own stake, that's utterly ridiculous by any standards.
If he bids £4.25b that is his enterprise valuation of the whole business. He would pay 69% of that figure so around £2.9b - not the other way around.
 

devilish

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Odd brief. If the Glazers ain't budging, then they'll eventually have to come to their asking price because they won't come back without getting Utd :houllier:
they'll rise it penny by penny up until the Glazers say yes. This is war of attrition baby!
 

red thru&thru

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I don’t think the Glazers will stay I think they will extend the process until they either get the price they want which is from Jassim.

Or

They take the financing offer , stick around and sell in 5 years.

With the second we will essentially continue as is and end up around 7th and anything above will be due to ETH coaching.
How does this part work? I suppose this is my question. It would be good to understand.
 

Plant0x84

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I don’t think the Glazers will stay I think they will extend the process until they either get the price they want which is from Jassim.

Or

They take the financing offer , stick around and sell in 5 years.

With the second we will essentially continue as is and end up around 7th and anything above will be due to ETH coaching.
So you don’t think they will stay, you think they will sell at their price or they will stay. Rrrriiiiigggghhttt…..
 

sglowrider

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Thats why, I suspect that there is either a leak in the Raine system ---- and so Jassim doesn't trust them or he has paid someone within the Raine team to extract information for him. Or Raine has created an environment where there is this tension.
 

OmarUnited4ever

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Genuine question for anyone with a better business brain than me (so... anyone)

If Keegan and other press know that the Glazers won't sell for anything below £6bn, the Sheikh's team and Ineos's team will obviously know that too. So why are they bothering with bids that won't get accepted?

(Also, if it's true that the Sheikh has the money to do £6bn easily but doesn't want to see seen overpaying, why doesn't he just whip a brown envelope out to cover the rest)
Only a guess here.

I think the Glazers have no choice but to at least consider bids below what they asked for, reason being is that their other siblings want to sell sooner rather than later so even though the bids might be below what they asked for, they will still need to get the other siblings to agree and not accept any bid that does not meet their minimum
 

Pogue Mahone

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https://www.redcafe.net/threads/better-the-devil-you-know.475848

You started a thread on it, I knew I’d seen the suggestion before!

It won’t work for the simple reason that the equity being sold by the majority of the Glazer family will go with them. The remaining two would then be in a position where they have a heavily reduced holding, and if they wanted to “sell equity” from there it would either be by selling more of their own shares or issuing new shares which dilutes everyone’s position.

If they sell more of their own, that relies on them injecting personal cash into the company and, well, Glazers.

Diluting their position further seems extremely unlikely, as they then hold an even lower share in the club and have generated no cash for themselves whilst their siblings have walked off with a fortune.

That leaves debt, likely from someone such as Elliott at an exorbitant interest rate.

There’s an enormous amount of investment required, and the club is verging on insolvent because of how they’ve run it. It’s no longer sustainable, they need to exit.
Ok, fair enough.
 

Rocksy

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Qatar were briefing they were “very confident” earlier this week and Ducker, Morgan, Wallace, and a senior business reporter at the Telegraph put their name on the article. I think that was the most significant news this week. The Times are going today that the Qataris are negotiating until they get an agreement. I think that’s the second most significant. It’s going to be back and forth until they meet on price. Glazers want high, the Qataris know that but will try to get it down to Glazers’ lowest possible, maybe with some negotiating on other opportunities for the Glazers.
 

Mindhunter

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Oh dear Tracy. The distinction (and the point you quoted posts were making) is that the transfer spend has come from club revenue, not out of the Glazers pocket.
They have put none of their own money into the club since the debt laden buyout.
I can’t believe there are still fans after 17 years who don’t understand the difference. :houllier:
I don’t think you understand finance or company law. They own 69% of United’s cash flows by virtue of being equity owners. When we spend our club’s money we are literally spending their money as they OWN the club.

Yes, it’s not ideal or even a good thing but it is what it is.
 

Mr Pigeon

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I'm almost certain that the original briefing was that the Glazers were looking for £4.5B minimum. This then jumped to £5B and it's only been the last week or so that the £6B number was been kicked about. Either the Glazers keep shifting the goalposts or none of these journos have any clue what's going on.

They're football journalists anyway and 99% of the time they get transfer news completely wrong. We're suddenly meant to believe that they're ITK when it comes to big business deals?
 

dove

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I'm almost certain that the original briefing was that the Glazers were looking for £4.5B minimum. This then jumped to £5B and it's only been the last week or so that the £6B number was been kicked about. Either the Glazers keep shifting the goalposts or none of these journos have any clue what's going on.

They're football journalists anyway and 99% of the time they get transfer news completely wrong. We're suddenly meant to believe that they're ITK when it comes to big business deals?
Part of the issue is that journos have no clue how the currencies work, they constantly switch between $, £ or € without bothering to do any conversions. I think it was reported many times before that the Glazers want $6b which would be around £4.9b.
 

Mr Pigeon

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Part of the issue is that journos have no clue how the currencies work, they constantly switch between $, £ or € without bothering to do any conversions. I think it was reported many times before that the Glazers want $6b which would be around £4.9b.
Ah yes, you're right about that. I'm not surprised considering how they report transfer fees.
 

Plant0x84

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I don’t think you understand finance or company law. They own 69% of United’s cash flows by virtue of being equity owners. When we spend our club’s money we are literally spending their money as they OWN the club.

Yes, it’s not ideal or even a good thing but it is what it is.
Oh well in that case they are great owners. Why did we ever question them? All hail Joel and Avi the saviours of Manchester. :rolleyes:

Just one more thing, Publicly owned and traded corporations pay out a certain amount of profit to stockholders in dividends. It is not the ‘property’ of the stockholders until this happens, it remains a business asset.
GCSE business Studies fam. Simples.
 

Von Mistelroum

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I find it funny that there's talk of "oh the Glazers can't stay after this!" As though there'd be some sort of mass revolt. Barely anything would happen and they would carry on as usual sucking us dry. They will be very much aware that if the stay on then it'll be forgotten in a couple of weeks so where's the downside for them? They burn a few bridges but I reckon if they stay it'll be for good. Probably pass on what's left of the club to their 'heirs' eventually.
 

Shinjch

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Sorry for my ignorance on this, but say the bid is 5 billion quid, is that 5 billion just for the Glazer's shares? Or does that mean that they value the club at 5 billion and they are offering the Glazers 69% of that for the controlling stake?
 

Coxy

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I find it funny that there's talk of "oh the Glazers can't stay after this!" As though there'd be some sort of mass revolt. Barely anything would happen and they would carry on as usual sucking us dry. They will be very much aware that if the stay on then it'll be forgotten in a couple of weeks so where's the downside for them? They burn a few bridges but I reckon if they stay it'll be for good. Probably pass on what's left of the club to their 'heirs' eventually.
Nah I’m not sure - I think there might be more momentum for protests etc
 
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