General Election 2024

WPMUFC

Full Member
Joined
Jul 9, 2013
Messages
9,801
Location
Australia
Is it sad that I've booked the Friday off as annual leave, just to stay up and watch it?

I want to be up for every Portillo moment. To see those tears and their utter dejection.
i booked that week off for Tour de France. I'll be glued to my TV watching all these cnuts gets kicked out in the dead of night. Glorious stuff. :drool:
 

Solius

¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Staff
Joined
Dec 31, 2007
Messages
87,610
I saw a good point recently that due to the current FPTP system and make-up of parties, that left-leaning ones are always at a disadvantage.

Basically people on the 'left' have the option of Labour, Lib Dem, Green and SNP. That's 4 different parties where votes for similar areas of the political spectrum will be spread thin. Put this against the Tories who have had very few cast-offs in recent years (UKIP, Reform). It means their votes are all concentrated for them whereas on the left it's diluted.
 

Kaos

Full Member
Joined
May 6, 2007
Messages
32,061
Location
Ginseng Strip
I am trying to decide which one I am looking forward to the most, it's so hard to choose. Fingers particularly crossed for Rees Mogg. But I'm not greedy.
Something we can agree on.

Any one of Rees-Mogg, Braverman or Patel and its a bottle of the good stuff opened up, laced with some delicious tears.
 

altodevil

Odds winner of 'Odds or Evens 2023/2024'
Joined
Oct 16, 2013
Messages
18,271
I saw a good point recently that due to the current FPTP system and make-up of parties, that left-leaning ones are always at a disadvantage.

Basically people on the 'left' have the option of Labour, Lib Dem, Green and SNP. That's 4 different parties where votes for similar areas of the political spectrum will be spread thin. Put this against the Tories who have had very few cast-offs in recent years (UKIP, Reform). It means their votes are all concentrated for them whereas on the left it's diluted.
Have you only just realised this? :lol:
 

Red in STL

Turnover not takeover
Joined
Dec 1, 2022
Messages
10,494
Location
In Bed
Supports
The only team that matters
Something we can agree on.

Any one of Rees-Mogg, Braverman or Patel and its a bottle of the good stuff opened up, laced with some delicious tears.
The best one for me would be Rishi, imagine a PM losing their seat :drool:
 

altodevil

Odds winner of 'Odds or Evens 2023/2024'
Joined
Oct 16, 2013
Messages
18,271
Dunno I guess I never really thought about it that deep before.
FPTP is the root cause of 90% of Westminster problems. Keir Starmer and those at the top of the Labour party are against reform. Purely to maintain excessive and unfair control when in power, even though it would most likely end any chance of the UK being governed by parties such as this latest iteration of the Tories. Bear that in mind when celebrating July 5th.
 

nimic

something nice
Scout
Joined
Aug 2, 2006
Messages
32,315
Location
And I'm all out of bubblegum 9️⃣
I saw a good point recently that due to the current FPTP system and make-up of parties, that left-leaning ones are always at a disadvantage.

Basically people on the 'left' have the option of Labour, Lib Dem, Green and SNP. That's 4 different parties where votes for similar areas of the political spectrum will be spread thin. Put this against the Tories who have had very few cast-offs in recent years (UKIP, Reform). It means their votes are all concentrated for them whereas on the left it's diluted.
Are the Lib Dems left-leaning? Liberals here are right-leaning. We've got a tradition of coalitions though (because we don't have FPTP), so there are parties to the left of Labour.
 

Solius

¯\_(ツ)_/¯
Staff
Joined
Dec 31, 2007
Messages
87,610
FPTP is the root cause of 90% of Westminster problems. Keir Starmer and those at the top of the Labour party are against reform. Purely to maintain excessive and unfair control when in power, even though it would most likely end any chance of the UK being governed by parties such as this latest iteration of the Tories. Bear that in mind when celebrating July 5th.
Yeah I've been against FPTP for years and I guess I did always see it as a cause of the problems. Does feel like nobody will ever try and change it though.
 

Pexbo

Winner of the 'I'm not reading that' medal.
Joined
Jun 2, 2009
Messages
69,077
Location
Brizzle
Supports
Big Days
Are the Lib Dems left-leaning? Liberals here are right-leaning. We've got a tradition of coalitions though (because we don't have FPTP), so there are parties to the left of Labour.
Think the Lib Dem’s are generally accepted to be socially liberal and fiscally conservative.
 

Jippy

Sleeps with tramps, bangs jacuzzis, dirty shoes
Staff
Joined
Nov 19, 2009
Messages
57,675
Location
Jet fuel doesn't melt steel beams
Something we can agree on.

Any one of Rees-Mogg, Braverman or Patel and its a bottle of the good stuff opened up, laced with some delicious tears.
Braverman being turfed out would be best by a mile. Vile, vindictive hate-mongerer and would love to see her rotting in the gutter.
 

altodevil

Odds winner of 'Odds or Evens 2023/2024'
Joined
Oct 16, 2013
Messages
18,271
Yeah I've been against FPTP for years and I guess I did always see it as a cause of the problems. Does feel like nobody will ever try and change it though.
Best chance is a labour lib dem coalition.
 

InspiRED

Full Member
Joined
Feb 8, 2014
Messages
1,636
Supports
Outraged snowflakes
Braverman being turfed out would be best by a mile. Vile, vindictive hate-mongerer and would love to see her rotting in the gutter.
It would only be fair, seeing as rotting in the gutter is a 'lifestyle choice' and all. Feck me I hate these bastards, what kind of a country allows these shysters to be in charge?
 

Mogget

Full Member
Joined
Nov 27, 2013
Messages
6,576
Supports
Arsenal
I saw a good point recently that due to the current FPTP system and make-up of parties, that left-leaning ones are always at a disadvantage.

Basically people on the 'left' have the option of Labour, Lib Dem, Green and SNP. That's 4 different parties where votes for similar areas of the political spectrum will be spread thin. Put this against the Tories who have had very few cast-offs in recent years (UKIP, Reform). It means their votes are all concentrated for them whereas on the left it's diluted.
A lot of young and left leaning people also live in the major cities, so a high vote share from the left doesn't necessarily translate to lots of seats.

The system real is geared up perfectly for the Tories. It's no wonder Starmer is desperate to emulate them, it's how you win and maintain power in this country.
 

MegadrivePerson

Full Member
Joined
Aug 17, 2022
Messages
1,639
Yes. I cannot see how this is not won by either Labour or the Tories.
It's an Interesting seat.
Jason Zadrozny is standing again for Ashfield Independents and they got about 28% of the vote last time.

In theory Anderson should split the previous tory vote so Labour should be able to come through and win it but it depends how much of the Ashfield Independents vote returns to them.

Looks like a hard one to call?
 

nickm

Full Member
Joined
May 20, 2001
Messages
9,255
Braverman losing her seat would be the sweetest
She is awful but there is something about Rees Mogg's insufferable smugness that I find particularly annoying.

Still, it's a very target rich environment, I'm not going to split hairs. If it's Braverman who has take the dive instead, well I'm not going to complain.
 

Red in STL

Turnover not takeover
Joined
Dec 1, 2022
Messages
10,494
Location
In Bed
Supports
The only team that matters
She is awful but there is something about Rees Mogg's insufferable smugness that I find particularly annoying.

Still, it's a very target rich environment, I'm not going to split hairs. If it's Braverman who has take the dive instead, well I'm not going to complain.
It would be even sweeter if they all have to take the dive
 

Paul the Wolf

Score Predictions Competition Organiser
Joined
Apr 17, 2014
Messages
18,064
Location
France - can't win anything with Swedish turnips
But is weird that if things are not going to get better (difficult to get worse) that they do a snap election when they should exhaust their term to grift as long as possible
The second half of the year will be worse than the first half. The Rwanda scheme was never going to work so Sunak will blame Labour.
Small boats all over the summer. EU Entry/Exit system in the Autumn probably.
They know they're going to lose, get out quick.
 

4bars

Full Member
Joined
Feb 10, 2016
Messages
5,260
Supports
Barcelona
The second half of the year will be worse than the first half. The Rwanda scheme was never going to work so Sunak will blame Labour.
Small boats all over the summer. EU Entry/Exit system in the Autumn probably.
They know they're going to lose, get out quick.
So you are guessing that they are preparing the next 5 years elections blaming he labour 3 months after of their feck ups
 

Paul the Wolf

Score Predictions Competition Organiser
Joined
Apr 17, 2014
Messages
18,064
Location
France - can't win anything with Swedish turnips
So you are guessing that they are preparing the next 5 years elections blaming he labour 3 months after of their feck ups
The next five years are going to be very difficult for Labour. They'll always blame Labour anyway.
Brexit not working and more immigration under Labour will be their campaign for 2029.
I think they'll regroup and hope to be back for another 10/15 years in 2029.
 

Fully Fledged

Full Member
Joined
May 23, 2013
Messages
16,326
Location
Midlands UK
Changed the Labour Party.
Turn the Page.
A Vote For Change.
End 14 years of Failure.
End the Chaos.
Rebuild the Country.
Any more?
 

UnrelatedPsuedo

I pity the poor fool who stinks like I do!
Joined
Apr 15, 2015
Messages
10,637
Location
Blitztown
Dunno I guess I never really thought about it that deep before.
I’d worry less. A solid 20%+ of the electorate don’t understand FPTP. We’re not taught anything about elections or Parliament in most, if not all, schools.
 

maximus419

Full Member
Joined
Aug 11, 2014
Messages
356
Location
UK
The next five years are going to be very difficult for Labour. They'll always blame Labour anyway.
Brexit not working and more immigration under Labour will be their campaign for 2029.
I think they'll regroup and hope to be back for another 10/15 years in 2029.
Labour are inheriting a mess and face a very difficult job, but I don't think the electorate are going to be switching back to the Tories in a hurry, not with their lies and corruption and how bad they've allowed things to get.

It's also important the electorate sends a clear message to the Tories at the ballot box that they have to change if they want to win back their trust, not sure they will, because they'll probably elect Braverman or Badenoch as leader and they will be just as awful in opposition as they've been in govt.
 

altodevil

Odds winner of 'Odds or Evens 2023/2024'
Joined
Oct 16, 2013
Messages
18,271
Labour are inheriting a mess and face a very difficult job, but I don't think the electorate are going to be switching back to the Tories in a hurry, not with their lies and corruption and how bad they've allowed things to get.

It's also important the electorate sends a clear message to the Tories at the ballot box that they have to change if they want to win back their trust, not sure they will, because they'll probably elect Braverman or Badenoch as leader and they will be just as awful in opposition as they've been in govt.
Infinite optimism
 

Fully Fledged

Full Member
Joined
May 23, 2013
Messages
16,326
Location
Midlands UK
Why are labour going down the route with border force? We need better, schools, NHS, policing, and social service. Border is something that is important to small selection of the population.
 

Paul the Wolf

Score Predictions Competition Organiser
Joined
Apr 17, 2014
Messages
18,064
Location
France - can't win anything with Swedish turnips
Labour are inheriting a mess and face a very difficult job, but I don't think the electorate are going to be switching back to the Tories in a hurry, not with their lies and corruption and how bad they've allowed things to get.

It's also important the electorate sends a clear message to the Tories at the ballot box that they have to change if they want to win back their trust, not sure they will, because they'll probably elect Braverman or Badenoch as leader and they will be just as awful in opposition as they've been in govt.
Not only are they inheriting a mess but there are many other problems on the way.
In less than five years the public have gone from giving Johnson a huge majority and celebrating Brexit to realising that they've voted for a total mess which will get worse.

The Tories could go the far right route with Braverman or Badenoch or they could switch around - depends on how Labour perform and Labour haven't got ten or fifteen years to change things considerably.
 

Frosty

Logical and sensible but turns women gay
Joined
Jan 11, 2007
Messages
17,522
Location
Yes I can hear you Clem Fandango!
Labour are inheriting a mess and face a very difficult job, but I don't think the electorate are going to be switching back to the Tories in a hurry, not with their lies and corruption and how bad they've allowed things to get.

It's also important the electorate sends a clear message to the Tories at the ballot box that they have to change if they want to win back their trust, not sure they will, because they'll probably elect Braverman or Badenoch as leader and they will be just as awful in opposition as they've been in govt.
That's presuming Labour don't get fecked over by the tidal wave of propaganda that is coming their way from the press.

Why are labour going down the route with border force? We need better, schools, NHS, policing, and social service. Border is something that is important to small selection of the population.
They want to target socially conservative voters to win back the Red Wall. Blame it on First Past the Post.
 

InspiRED

Full Member
Joined
Feb 8, 2014
Messages
1,636
Supports
Outraged snowflakes
That's presuming Labour don't get fecked over by the tidal wave of propaganda that is coming their way from the press.
Are you kidding? Murdoch has already approved Starmer's gvt or they wouldn't have a prayer a la Miliband and Corbyn. They know that every decade or so you need a bit of Tory-lite to please the proles.
 

Frosty

Logical and sensible but turns women gay
Joined
Jan 11, 2007
Messages
17,522
Location
Yes I can hear you Clem Fandango!
Are you kidding? Murdoch has already approved Starmer's gvt or they wouldn't have a prayer a la Miliband and Corbyn. They know that every decade or so you need a bit of Tory-lite to please the proles.
The Mail, the Express and the Telegraph will do their bit.

My point is that despite our libel laws, during an Election there are many fewer restrictions on the media and the candidates, not least because most of our election law dates from the 19th century. Social media adverts (or lies) will play their part, as will the bigger budget of the Tories.