Maybe I'm naive, but I'm finding it increasingly unlikely that Trump will win in November.
The financial problems, the court cases, his crazy ramblings, a less than convincing primary, etc. It all seems a bit much for a candidate to overcome. Meanwhile the economy is doing well on the traditional metrics, which will help Biden. Of course, Biden struggles with the age thing and Gaza, and the electoral system favors Trump, but Biden now has half a year where he can easily outspend him and shift the narrative.