All of the country? He'd have to occupy the country for decades, there's no way Russia can do that.Surely the goal is to put a puppet in control of the country.
All of the country? He'd have to occupy the country for decades, there's no way Russia can do that.Surely the goal is to put a puppet in control of the country.
They do? Isolating them is impossible but they don't have enough food nor energy to be self-sufficient.China has everyone by the balls economically
Isn't their economy the most globalized of them all?They do? Isolating them is impossible but they don't have enough food nor energy to be self-sufficient.
Frankly, the only country in the world that can claim to be able to shrug off complete world isolation after an adjustment period is the US.
I'm really not an expert, but without China, there are no semiconductors. Without chips, there are no cars, computers, phones, you name itThey do? Isolating them is impossible but they don't have enough food nor energy to be self-sufficient.
Frankly, the only country in the world that can claim to be able to shrug off complete world isolation after an adjustment period is the US.
Yep, only slightly less than the EU combined. China is second.Isn't their economy the most globalized of them all?
If history is anything to go by they don't have as many as we would be lead to believe. So let's hope that's the case.Despite the small victories Ukraine are having, foot soldiers mean nothing when fighting missiles, the question is, how many do Russia have and when do they run out...
The economy is global, we all need each other. So we need to figure out how to all get along even if we fecking hate each other behind the mask of faux diplomacyIsn't their economy the most globalized of them all?
The economy is global, we all need each other. So we need to figure out how to all get along even if we fecking hate each other behind the mask of faux diplomacy
Until China invades Taiwan, they don’t have chips either.I'm really not an expert, but without China, there are no semiconductors. Without chips, there are no cars, computers, phones, you name it
Just one example of course
My point is about the survival basics - food and energy. Everything else is a matter of cost, really.Isn't their economy the most globalized of them all?
If they stay out of Ukraine they might get a free run at Taiwan.Until China invades Taiwan, they don’t have chips either.
It's a grim thought experiment but I'd bet on authoritarian China to be able to move quicker to fill any gaps. They could repurpose factories at a whim.My point is about the survival basics - food and energy. Everything else is a matter of cost, really.
Yes, China make a lot of trinkets but I would bet on the US in a complete isolation scenario.
There are other places around the world where rare earths come from and Taiwan is not part of China and actually produces most of the chips. Problem is many of the rare earths are a) dominated by Chinese production and b) dirty and horrible to produce. Likely would mean scraps over resources outside China and increased pollution and ecocide that is often currently largely limited to China. Technological advances could help this though of course. The Americans and EU should be starting to think about these things now and investing appropriately.I'm really not an expert, but without China, there are no semiconductors. Without chips, there are no cars, computers, phones, you name it
Just one example of course
It's almost like a game of Manufacturing Consent.Tweet
— Twitter API (@user) date
Smic... About 5% of world market ... But yeah insignificant compared to tsmcUntil China invades Taiwan, they don’t have chips either.
Whilst I agree, I think the quality of their products and innovation will suffer greatly without western support. For example they produce diesel engines by the million but nobody wants to put a Chinese diesel injector in them, they use Bosch, Cummins etc. The really technical products are something that the majority of their population are not set up to think laterally enough to design, build and maintain. At least in my experience. It's a weakness of a repressive education system and society in my view.It's a grim thought experiment but I'd bet on authoritarian China to be able to move quicker to fill any gaps. They could repurpose factories at a whim.
Also they could absorb any fatalities in the transition.
Pretty sure the US has companies looking to address that imbalance already. But we digress.There are other places around the world where rare earths come from and Taiwan is not part of China and actually produces most of the chips. Problem is many of the rare earths are a) dominated by Chinese production and b) dirty and horrible to produce. Likely would mean scraps over resources outside China and increased pollution and ecocide that is often currently largely limited to China. Technological advances could help this though of course. The Americans and EU should be starting to think about these things now and investing appropriately.
In that case Russia are actually in an excellent position. Food and energy are the two things they have in massive abundance.My point is about the survival basics - food and energy. Everything else is a matter of cost, really.
Yes, China make a lot of trinkets but I would bet on the US in a complete isolation scenario.
You forget one major detail: several Chinese families have only one child or two at the most as by-products of that old birth control law. If fatalities hit them, we talk about families being wiped out in the sense that no one would be left to take over the elderly generation(s) within the family.It's a grim thought experiment but I'd bet on authoritarian China to be able to move quicker to fill any gaps. They could repurpose factories at a whim.
Also they could absorb any fatalities in the transition.
There has always been that thinking in terms of excellence and it is definitely a point that can't be dismissed but I think it's more applicable to do with innovation. I think where excellence is required it can be achieved but I'm happy to leave it there and not derail the thread too much.Whilst I agree, I think the quality of their products and innovation will suffer greatly without western support. For example they produce diesel engines by the million but nobody wants to put a Chinese diesel injector in them, they use Bosch, Cummins etc. The really technical products are something that the majority of their population are not set up to think laterally enough to design, build and maintain. At least in my experience. It's a weakness of a repressive education system and society in my view.
You forget one major detail: several Chinese families have only one child or two at the most as by-products of that old birth control law. If fatalities hit them, we talk about families being wiped out in the sense that no one would be left to take over the elderly generation(s) within the family.
"See Zelensky? I'm just like you, except my country isn't being bombed to feck."Tweet
— Twitter API (@user) date
Especially as they have just captured the world's bread basket and a fek ton of extra gas reservesIn that case Russia are actually in an excellent position. Food and energy are the two things they have in massive abundance.
Missiles can't take and occupy cities - or any other territory for that matter. If you want to do that you need boots on the ground - and Russia doesn't have enough of these.Despite the small victories Ukraine are having, foot soldiers mean nothing when fighting missiles, the question is, how many do Russia have and when do they run out...
I don’t think that’s true at all, there’s a difference between China being an economic power (obviously true) and China being economically independent. The very fact their economy is export dependent is a big clue.China has everyone by the balls economically
That's ballsy!Tweet
— Twitter API (@user) date
If Russia has lost 10% of its initial force that was amassed at the border, that’s over 20,000 dead or injured.Tweet
— Twitter API (@user) date
Yep, and in another month that figure may well hit at least 70,000. The Russian invasion is simply unsustainable.If Russia has lost 10% of its initial force that was amassed at the border, that’s over 20,000 dead or injured.
Additionally you have to consider that a lot of those losses happened to elite troops. Russia has a huuuge amount of soldiers still available, but a lot of them are only useful as cannon fodder as they lack skills and equipment for difficult operations.Yep, and in another month that figure may well hit at least 70,000. The Russian invasion is simply unsustainable.
That's what misinformation does to you. If you really don't have to take on resisting forces, an invasion of Kiyv from Belarus could follow this timeline:
Seems a bit of a ridiculous statement given the forces that went in during the first two days. There's no way they'd have expected to progress that distance and take Kyiv.