SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

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I know what you’re getting at and I agree.

However, there are genuine genetic reasons for black people having underlying health issues (hypertension etc) which makes them more likely to die from covid. In fact, one of the theories about why black people get worse hypertension (which causes heart disease, renal failure etc) is because of a dysfunctional hormonal regulation system that involves the exact same receptors that the SARS-COV-2 virus spikes bind to.

Oh that is interesting but also awful when you think about it hitting the African continent.
 

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As long as we come out of this with only the right sort of people having died, our governments will be judged to have done a good job.


I’m using the word treatment loosely in this sense, while drawing a parallel between Boris and a normal person to make a point. What’s clear to me is that the NHS is stretched to the very limit and a major part of this is the deep and prolonged funding cuts. You also see poorer parts of society being disproportionately impacted by the crisis due to a variety of the same old factors. To be honest, I’m feeling pretty fecked off by the way this country is run and think our chickens have come home to roost. I hope we hold our government to account after this is all said and done instead of slinking off back into an apathetic state. There are actually people who thinking this government has handled the situation well :lol:

For me the one thing to look forward to is the safety of the NHS. There is no way in hell the public will let the NHS be dismantled now, especially when the full extent of the failure of the US system becomes evident.
 
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A PROMISING COVID-19 TREATMENT GETS FAST-TRACKED

Arturo Casadevall and collaborators at Johns Hopkins and beyond have worked around the clock to develop a convalescent serum therapy to treat COVID-19 using blood plasma from recovered patients. If early promising studies on the therapy done in China are confirmed by U.S. trials, thousands of survivors might soon line up to donate their antibody-rich plasma. "I absolutely think this could be the best treatment we have for the next few months," Hopkins pathologist Aaron Tobian says.
We’re already using that here at Karolinska, sure multiple European countries are already doing the same.
 

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Random numbers but I thought you used the 1 person infects two in a week? So it would be a low estimate if cases.

I just can’t get my head around if this virus is as infectious as reported, incubation period, being left on surfaces etc it would have rapidly increased in January and February. It just doesn’t make sense to me.

Either the numbers are no where near right or it’s no where near as infectious as reported.

How can’t thousands and thousands full stadiums every week for two months in January and February without this spreading like wild fire?
In this scenario its probably just as infectious but less likely to lead to hospitalisations than we currently think, potentially with a higher % of asymptomatic carriers as well. You can model pretty much anything you want, the question is whether its likely or not.
 

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Ok I misssed your point, what was it?
First of all, I accept that the PM is a priority case when it comes to testing and treatment because the country clearly needs strong and decisive leadership. I was seeking to make a point about societal inequality, but making a comparison between Boris and a normal member of the population was probably a very stodgy way of doing that.

I was originally responding to a Tweet that showed African Americans in the US are disproportionately impacted by Covid-19, just as they are disproportionately present in their country’s prison system. There’s a recurring theme here...

In the UK, we have a situation where the nurses, delivery drivers and supermarket staff are being thrust into the epicentre of this virus, being told we are all in it together. In reality, those poor bastards are propping the country up while putting themselves in harm’s way, all while being paid shit money and having been forsaken for years thanks to austerity politics. I just hope they don’t get shafted again once this whole crisis is over.

Sorry for the rant.
 

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I’d be interested to see whether there are people who have presented the same sort of symptoms as Boris who have been instructed to stay at home as opposed to getting the very best care the NHS has to offer.
Boris would 100% not have been tested initially under normal NHS rules.

He also probably wouldn't have been moved to ICU when he was if he was a normal person.

However, he does clearly need to be in hospital if he's needing Oxygen.

The above is all moot to an extent for me anyway as it makes sense that the leader of a country will receive more attention than a normal citizen. His death (or being out of action) will cause significantly more disruption than the death of a normal person, as cruel as that sounds.

And I say this as someone who despises him and his party.
 

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Does anyone know the approach of other countries regarding protecting those identified as extremely vulnerable?

In the UK we have the 12-week measures with food parcels, priority delivery and a volunteer scheme to allow people to shield themselves. But obviously the big question mark is what the guidance will be longer-term whilst we await a vaccine.
 

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First of all, I accept that the PM is a priority case when it comes to testing and treatment because the country clearly needs strong and decisive leadership. I was seeking to make a point about societal inequality, but making a comparison between Boris and a normal member of the population was probably a very stodgy way of doing that.

I was originally responding to a Tweet that showed African Americans in the US are disproportionately impacted by Covid-19, just as they are disproportionately present in their country’s prison system. There’s a recurring theme here...

In the UK, we have a situation where the nurses, delivery drivers and supermarket staff are being thrust into the epicentre of this virus, being told we are all in it together. In reality, those poor bastards are propping the country up while putting themselves in harm’s way, all while being paid shit money and having been forsaken for years thanks to austerity politics. I just hope they don’t get shafted again once this whole crisis is over.

Sorry for the rant.
The british people just voted for more austerity politics so you can't blame the conservatives for doing what they were voted to do.
 

TheReligion

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I'm not sure that relevance of this talk about what treatment the PM and others like Prince Charles should get compared to the average Joe.

It's obvious the country is protecting the office they hold and the monarchy. Any other country would do the rightly do the same. Ensuring that the country doesn't collapse at a vital time in its history is clearly important and to that extent the equality debate is nothing new.
 

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For me the one thing to look forward to is the safety of the NHS. There is no way in hell the public will let the NHS be dismantled now, especially when the full extent of the failure of the US system becomes evident.
I agree. There’s no way the public will accept anything akin to austerity measures after this is all said and done. For me though, you can’t just look at the NHS. Everything that impacts society and welfare, ranging from education to community support, mental health to homelessness, it all needs properly addressing.
 

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Boris would 100% not have been tested initially under normal NHS rules.

He also probably wouldn't have been moved to ICU when he was if he was a normal person.

However, he does clearly need to be in hospital if he's needing Oxygen.

The above is all moot to an extent for me anyway as it makes sense that the leader of a country will receive more attention than a normal citizen. His death (or being out of action) will cause significantly more disruption than the death of a normal person, as cruel as that sounds.

And I say this as someone who despises him and his party.
Yep, I accept that he needed the preferential treatment owing to his role. It still sticks in the throat when normal people are not afforded the same care, in large part due to the cuts that have left the NHS decimated. Cuts imposed by Boris’s party.
 

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I'm not sure that relevance of this talk about what treatment the PM and others like Prince Charles should get compared to the average Joe.

It's obvious the country is protecting the office they hold and the monarchy. Any other country would do the rightly do the same. Ensuring that the country doesn't collapse at a vital time in its history is clearly important and to that extent the equality debate is nothing new.
I understand Boris getting preferential treatment but the monarchy are contributing nothing to this. Put another way, what’s your view on Prince Andrew and the treatment he would get if he contracted the virus?
 

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The british people just voted for more austerity politics so you can't blame the conservatives for doing what they were voted to do.
The British people also voted for Brexit. It’s clear at this stage that we are a nation full of raving cretins.
 

Fiskey

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I understand Boris getting preferential treatment but the monarchy are contributing nothing to this. Put another way, what’s your view on Prince Andrew and the treatment he would get if he contracted the virus?
I think he's been cut out of the working monarchy so shouldn't and I don't think would. They would definitely keep it quiet if he was tested.
 

11101

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Random numbers but I thought you used the 1 person infects two in a week? So it would be a low estimate if cases.

I just can’t get my head around if this virus is as infectious as reported, incubation period, being left on surfaces etc it would have rapidly increased in January and February. It just doesn’t make sense to me.

Either the numbers are no where near right or it’s no where near as infectious as reported.

How can’t thousands and thousands full stadiums every week for two months in January and February without this spreading like wild fire?
I used the 2x per week infection as an example. It's close to that in reality but not exact, and those numbers don't take into account any attempt at control. It's just a rough example of exponential growth.

It takes 7 weeks for it to break 1,000 cases and with that would be a few dozen deaths, the kind of numbers that wouldn't stand out from a bad flu season. From there though it starts to go up thousands at a time and with the hospitalisation/death rate there is no chance it wouldn't be noticed.
 

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I think he's been cut out of the working monarchy so shouldn't and I don't think would. They would definitely keep it quiet if he was tested.
Oh yeah, he’ll still get all the trimmings, the filthy cnut. Luckily, our press would find out about it soon enough.
 

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I’d be interested to see whether there are people who have presented the same sort of symptoms as Boris who have been instructed to stay at home as opposed to getting the very best care the NHS has to offer.
Why are people upset and amazed at leader of a nation getting the best treatment available? It's normal. And while some of you dont like him, including me. Cant deny that his life at this time worth more than any average joe. I'm saying this as an average joe myself.

The cost of a head of a nation dying is bigger than an average joe
 

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I started a thread on this. Long story short, during the last week of January I went down with with the nastiest 'flu' you could imagine: a persistent fever ranging at 39C, constant shivering, night sweats, severe body aches, a bad headache and a slight dry cough. I wasn't out of breath but a quick trip to the toilet or kitchen would leave me fatigued. Those symptoms went away within one week fatigue aside, but for around a couple of weeks after I had trouble with dizziness and confusion and that was really unsettling.

Four days prior to me developing those symptoms, I had dined with a good friend of mine who was visiting Jakarta from Paris via Singapore. She, too, developed the same thing the same day as I did but without the dizziness part afterwards. My partner had a dry cough, low-grade fever and a slight shortness of breath (though she does suffer from asthma) soon after, and I also learned that another mutual friend caught pneumonia about a week after seeing her.

It's just too much of a coincidence.
It's inevitable that there were small pockets of COVID-19 infection in the UK around late January that were not declared or traced, otherwise the containment phase would have worked for longer. Quarantining all people returning from infected areas for 14 days as soon as we knew about it would have also been effective but there would have been uproar. Tens of thousands of UK residents were still taking holidays and making business trips to the Far East, Italy and Spain when we knew they had a serious problem.
 

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I used the 2x per week infection as an example. It's close to that in reality but not exact, and those numbers don't take into account any attempt at control. It's just a rough example of exponential growth.

It takes 7 weeks for it to break 1,000 cases and with that would be a few dozen deaths, the kind of numbers that wouldn't stand out from a bad flu season. From there though it starts to go up thousands at a time and with the hospitalisation/death rate there is no chance it wouldn't be noticed.
Thanks for your time explaining.
I’m still struggling to understand how it didn’t spread a lot faster a lot sooner. I sound like a broken record now but Stadiums full of people, hundreds of stadiums, thousands of people since December. Everyone touching the handrails climbing the stairs, wiping their brows etc. I just don’t understand how it didn’t just wipe through the population
 

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Why are people upset and amazed at leader of a nation getting the best treatment available? It's normal. And while some of you dont like him, including me. Cant deny that his life at this time worth more than any average joe. I'm saying this as an average joe myself.

The cost of a head of a nation dying is bigger than an average joe
I’ve already addressed this point multiple times above.
 

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Pretty clear isn’t it? I’m sure we may have had a few cases before the UK’s first recorded case but, seeing hospitalisation timelines and numbers in every country, to think it was here running loose through the population since December is pure fantasy.

ICU’s would have been overrun weeks before now and we’d be in a terrible mess.

I know quite a few people who are saying ‘I reckon I had this over Christmas’ or something similar. Dunno, they either want bragging rights or are trying to convince themselves they’re immune or something.

I had a mild cold and chest infection about 5 weeks ago but I’m assuming it wasn’t this virus and I’ll assume the same until I’ve had an antibody test. Until that day I’m taking social distancing really seriously.
I think a lot of people had "something" over the winter period, not sure if it was this though. We took the baby to the doctor's with a chest infection and was told it was fine, and then again two weeks later when he still had it but we got fobbed off again. Everyone in the house had it so we limited our socialising with others out of paranoia. My work was rife with it and everyone put it down to a dodgy flu.

This might be the problem though as you say because people will think whatever that bug was means they had it already.
 

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Thanks for your time explaining.
I’m still struggling to understand how it didn’t spread a lot faster a lot sooner. I sound like a broken record now but Stadiums full of people, hundreds of stadiums, thousands of people since December. Everyone touching the handrails climbing the stairs, wiping their brows etc. I just don’t understand how it didn’t just wipe through the population
It doesn't spread as quickly as you might think in stadiums etc. If there are 75,000 people in Old Trafford but only 1 person has the virus, it won't spread to many. That one person might leave a trace of it on a handrail, but if the next person that touches it picks up most of it and then doesn't touch their face for the 20 minutes or so we think it can survive on skin for, there will be no transmission. It might infect a few people but its certainly not like all 75,000 people leave infected.
 

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It doesn't spread as quickly as you might think in stadiums etc. If there are 75,000 people in Old Trafford but only 1 person has the virus, it won't spread to many. That one person might leave a trace of it on a handrail, but if the next person that touches it picks up most of it and then doesn't touch their face for the 20 minutes or so we think it can survive on skin for, there will be no transmission. It might infect a few people but its certainly not like all 75,000 people leave infected.
Some interesting research coming out of Germany about this.

https://today.rtl.lu/news/science-and-environment/a/1498185.html

I also heard that the same study estimated 14% of the population in the town where that cluster started ended up immune.
 

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It doesn't spread as quickly as you might think in stadiums etc. If there are 75,000 people in Old Trafford but only 1 person has the virus, it won't spread to many. That one person might leave a trace of it on a handrail, but if the next person that touches it picks up most of it and then doesn't touch their face for the 20 minutes or so we think it can survive on skin for, there will be no transmission. It might infect a few people but its certainly not like all 75,000 people leave infected.
That’s a very fair point, I understand that, I still struggle to get my head around it not spreading sooner though.
That one person going into old Trafford who may have it still needs to get there, possible public transport, they’ve touched handrails out side the stadium, bought food, been in a pub touched glasses, tables, money, All this stays on the surface days! thousands around him have also come into contact with these things, Everybody touches their face too much whether an itch or whatever. Eating takeaway food (Burger vans) without washing hands. It’s inevitable that it would spread insanely fast imo.

The only conclusion I seem to come to is it’s not very good at spreading through contact, i don’t know.

I’m just staying Home and out of the way because it’s not worth the risk. I just don’t understand it
 

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Yep, I accept that he needed the preferential treatment owing to his role. It still sticks in the throat when normal people are not afforded the same care, in large part due to the cuts that have left the NHS decimated. Cuts imposed by Boris’s party.
The worrying thing is how much debt the country is going to be laden with after this, while the economy has also been decimated. We'll likely see austerity that surpasses anything seen since the post-war period. The shelf-stackers etc will soon be forgotten.
 

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My nan has received her first care parcel from the government today. It's quite a generous box full. Apparently they'll get one weekly for the foreseeable future now. I'm pleasantly surprised.
 

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My nan has received her first care parcel from the government today. It's quite a generous box full. Apparently they'll get one weekly for the foreseeable future now. I'm pleasantly surprised.

What's in it then? Any Woodbines, bully beef, condensed milk?
 

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It's inevitable that there were small pockets of COVID-19 infection in the UK around late January that were not declared or traced, otherwise the containment phase would have worked for longer. Quarantining all people returning from infected areas for 14 days as soon as we knew about it would have also been effective but there would have been uproar. Tens of thousands of UK residents were still taking holidays and making business trips to the Far East, Italy and Spain when we knew they had a serious problem.
Patient zero' fears he brought coronavirus to UK from ski resort in January
IT consultant Daren Bland, 50, took a four-day trip to the Tyrolean Alps ski resort in mid-January before being struck down with Covid-19-like symptoms on his return to Britain
 

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I understand Boris getting preferential treatment but the monarchy are contributing nothing to this. Put another way, what’s your view on Prince Andrew and the treatment he would get if he contracted the virus?
I did say Charles specifically as he's next in line for the throne and likely to be our next King within the next few years.
 

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The worrying thing is how much debt the country is going to be laden with after this, while the economy has also been decimated. We'll likely see austerity that surpasses anything seen since the post-war period. The shelf-stackers etc will soon be forgotten.
It has to austerity or inflation. I would go for the latter.
 

11101

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Some interesting research coming out of Germany about this.

https://today.rtl.lu/news/science-and-environment/a/1498185.html

I also heard that the same study estimated 14% of the population in the town where that cluster started ended up immune.
That’s a very fair point, I understand that, I still struggle to get my head around it not spreading sooner though.
That one person going into old Trafford who may have it still needs to get there, possible public transport, they’ve touched handrails out side the stadium, bought food, been in a pub touched glasses, tables, money, All this stays on the surface days! thousands around him have also come into contact with these things, Everybody touches their face too much whether an itch or whatever. Eating takeaway food (Burger vans) without washing hands. It’s inevitable that it would spread insanely fast imo.

The only conclusion I seem to come to is it’s not very good at spreading through contact, i don’t know.

I’m just staying Home and out of the way because it’s not worth the risk. I just don’t understand it
Granted there is still a lot we don't know, but from what we have seen so far, you can be infectious without showing symptoms but its far harder to spread it that way. You have to cough or sneeze to put out any meaningful amount of the virus and that's unlikely to happen if you are not knowingly ill. Everything so far seems to point to requiring prolonged contact with infected people to spread.

It's why i think (only my own uninformed opinion) once the lockdowns start to be relaxed we will be able to go outdoors fairly quickly but there will still be months of restrictions on gatherings indoors or in confined spaces.
 

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What's in it then? Any Woodbines, bully beef, condensed milk?
She'd have loved the woodbines but unfortunately not. From what I can see in the picture, potatoes, bread, tangerines, apples, milk, cornflakes, carrots, tea bags, tinned stuff. Similar to their usual shop, but with much less wine and vodka.
 

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