World Cup Betting Thread

[Ole90+3]

I'm on Germany big.

Got them early at 2.3 to qualify before the Neymar news broke. Silva is arguably a bigger miss anyway.

Surprised Germany aren't heavier favourites which makes me slightly concerned.

 

[Hernandez - BFA]

I'm on Germany big.

Got them early at 2.3 to qualify before the Neymar news broke. Silva is arguably a bigger miss anyway.

Surprised Germany aren't heavier favourites which makes me slightly concerned.

It's the fact Brazil are undefeated on Brazilian soil for over a decade is what concerns me. I may jump on Germany later though.

 

[Ole90+3]

Can't see there being many goals.

2/1 for Germany Cleant sheet.
6/1 for no goalscorer

Also like there to be a lot of fouls committed by Brazil.

over 20 Brazil fouls @1.9

 

[Hernandez - BFA]

I was going to go for <2.5 goals, but with odds of 11/20 I really can't be bothered.

 

[Ole90+3]

I'm on a double under 1.5 Brazil team goals and under 1.5 Argentina team goals @ 2.25

 

[Brwned]

Can't see there being many goals.

2/1 for Germany Cleant sheet.
6/1 for no goalscorer

Also like there to be a lot of fouls committed by Brazil.

over 20 Brazil fouls @1.9

I looked at the fouls market but as far as I can tell Brazil haven't committed over 20 fouls in 90 minutes in any game this tournament so I couldn't do it. It'd make more sense to go for the draw @ 3.2 if I thought that would happen. Decided to go for Fernandinho over 3.5 fouls @ 1.65

Spoiler

 

[Ole90+3]

I looked at the fouls market but as far as I can tell Brazil haven't committed over 20 fouls in 90 minutes in any game this tournament so I couldn't do it. It'd make more sense to go for the draw @ 3.2 if I thought that would happen. Instead I went for Fernandinho over 3.5 fouls @ 1.65

Spoiler

Fernadinho bet looks decent.

I think after the widely reported awful referee displays in the quarter finals, the referees will release that lock on their card pockets a bit for the 2 upcoming ties.

If you like Fernandinho over 3.5 bet then maybe "to be shown a card" @3.25 maybe worth a punt.

Can't see him getting away with 5 fouls without a booking.

Can't find many good lines for Brazil over 1.5 bookings. Think 1.6 is slightly short

 

[ecantona7]

Lumped all my WC winnings on germany to qualify. Come on Deutschland!!!!!!!

 

[Ole90+3]

Germany -1.5 @ 6/1.

Sure why not

 

[Kita]

Hell I want to place a big bet on Germany to win in normal time but I just can't pull the trigger. Then I want to bet Germany to advance and I can't do that either. I really cannot see Brazil winning without Neymar and Silva but idk, I'm worried the Germans will bottle it. Football, damn football.

 

[GDaly95]

I have €10 on Brazil to qualify @ 4/1, €11 for Germany with €21 returns, €10 on Germany & Argentina with €32 returns, €4.61 on Germany in 90 minutes and BTTS with €30 returns.

It all got a bit confusing Don't think I can possibly come out worse off so I'm not too fussed.

 

[Mrs Smoker]

Can anyone tell me what is the criteria for the Golden Boot in case of same number of goals scored? I read assists somewhere before, but what if that's the same as well, what is the third thing?

EDIT: Never mind, Wiki is helpful here, it's the least amount of time played then.

 

[One Night Only]

I have €10 on Brazil to qualify @ 4/1, €11 for Germany with €21 returns, €10 on Germany & Argentina with €32 returns, €4.61 on Germany in 90 minutes and BTTS with €30 returns.

It all got a bit confusing Don't think I can possibly come out worse off so I'm not too fussed.

Many ways you can come out worse off.

Germany draw, then Germany win in et or pens, and argies to lose.

 

[Mrs Smoker]

Fek it, red card in game @ 3.60.

 

[Muffled funk]

Can anyone tell me what is the criteria for the Golden Boot in case of same number of goals scored? I read assists somewhere before, but what if that's the same as well, what is the third thing?

EDIT: Never mind, Wiki is helpful here, it's the least amount of time played then.

With the bookies it may be different as at the euros my bet with bet365, the odds were split according to the amount of players that tied top scorer, like a dead heat in a horse race.

 

[Sir Fergie]

On the Germans to qualify @ 10/11, Brazil haven't been that impressive so far and the loss of Neymar and Silva is a big blow for them.

 

[GDaly95]

Many ways you can come out worse off.

Germany draw, then Germany win in et or pens, and argies to lose.

Actually should have said, they're all to qualify, not 90 minutes. Except for the Germany to win and BTTS.

You're right though, if Germany win via ET or penalties and Argentina lose then I'll have lost €15 ish.

EDIT- Just notice you've already said that Hopefully that doesn't happen.

 

[Kita]

Went with Germany to win in normal time. 2:1 pay out. I'm going to regret this.

 

[One Night Only]

Where is Bernard playing and who will he be up against.

Stick a few quid on Alves to be booked, but fancy whoever Bernard is up against to get a card too

 

[Sir Fergie]

Where is Bernard playing and who will he be up against.

Stick a few quid on Alves to be booked, but fancy whoever Bernard is up against to get a card too

I assume Lahm, could be a fluid front line though with him playing anywhere across the front 3 at some point

 

[thisISben]

Where is Bernard playing and who will he be up against.

Stick a few quid on Alves to be booked, but fancy whoever Bernard is up against to get a card too

Alves isn't playing is he?

 

[One Night Only]

Alves isn't playing is he?

Isn't he? Oh well

 

[Brwned]

Hell I want to place a big bet on Germany to win in normal time but I just can't pull the trigger. Then I want to bet Germany to advance and I can't do that either. I really cannot see Brazil winning without Neymar and Silva but idk, I'm worried the Germans will bottle it. Football, damn football.

I was the same but I ended up sticking £50 on the FT win @ 2.02 and £100 on the Germans to qualify @ 2.9 which'll be half of my unibet profits down the drain if the Brazilians pull it off. Also had a £66 free bet on BTS at evens. The bookies obviously don't think both will score and neither do most people I talk to but I can't see the Germans getting a clean sheet even against a weak Brazil team and I'd be shocked if they didn't score.

 

[One Night Only]

I assume Lahm, could be a fluid front line though with him playing anywhere across the front 3 at some point

Might go howedes instead then.

 

[Mrs Smoker]

With the bookies it may be different as at the euros my bet with bet365, the odds were split according to the amount of players that tied top scorer, like a dead heat in a horse race.

Yeah, but my bookie carried strictly "Golden Boot" bet, so, in the words of immortal Christopher Lambert, there can be only one.

Thought about putting larger sum on Rodriguez @ 1.50, but at the end, decided against. Though, Muller needs three goals or two and an assist, while Messi 3, or 2 and 2.

 

[One Night Only]

Few quid on maicon to be carded

 

[Ady87]

Was looking at 5 or more for a laugh earlier at crazy odds as well haha.

I've got Germany win BTTS at 7.6. Only £10 on though but can't even see Brazil scoring!

 

[Mrs Smoker]

No way there'll be a red card now, doubting even a yellow.

 

[Brwned]

Fernandinho's definitely getting the half-time hook so there goes that! Great call on the -1 at 6/1, just couldn't do it myself

 

[One Night Only]

No way there'll be a red card now, doubting even a yellow.

One of the brazilians will lose their shit, my money would be on LuizLuiz

 

[Ole90+3]

When my gut and head agree I always go BIG on a bet. Looking good

 

[Ole90+3]

Kroos over 78.5% Pass success was probably the easiest bet of all time.

Also but £10 on Schurrle to score next when he came on at 13/1

Took the bookies to the cleaners. Tempted to close all my betting accounts. Will never have a win like this again.

 

[LInkash]

08-Jul-14
18:33Brazil vs Germany
Germany - Match Result 19/1055.00Won159.50

Have lost 50 quid on loads of little £1/£2.50 bets so just thought feck it and went big to make a profit

 

[Steven Seagull]

A truly wonderful evening. I went for Germany -2 at 20/1 and was tempted to be even braver. Wish I had been

 

[Sir Fergie]

Kroos over 78.5% Pass success was probably the easiest bet of all time.

That's a stupidly low line

What odds was that?

 

[Brwned]

That's a stupidly low line

What odds was that?

I had a look at that but backed away when I saw FIFA's absurd stats. In the last game Opta had him at 85%, FIFA had him at 73%. Against Algeria he had just 80% according to FIFA.

 

[Zen]

So one of my pre-tourny bets lives.....Schurrle top pre scorer.....on par with RVP right now. What happens if that stays the same? Only 50p at 33/1....do I get a refund or partial profit here?

 

[ecantona7]

[Won 3.86k off Germany! I've called every knockout game so far. Although I bet on Holland for tmw I think the argy cnuts will pull it off.

 

[Cutch]

Neymar out has made my mind up. Germany to win the WC now. Account cleared out, all on them.

Had a few pints in me when I did this but certainly feel a bit more confident now.

 

[One Night Only]

Don't know whether to go for Holland or the draw tonight