SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

C'est Moi Cantona

Full Member
Joined
Feb 15, 2014
Messages
8,808
They should drop as long as they are not asholes like in Spain that this weekend tried to go to their second residence. Will see how good the lock down had been. I chinese doctor based there said that they are not doing enough
Well I hope they drop, and quickly, we need some light at the end of the tunnel in Italy, as everyone else is in Europe is potentially in the same boat, just the timings are different, but may be Italy has got more deadly strain, and other countries won't suffer this, I live in hope anyway.
 

SnowRoll

Full Member
Joined
Mar 3, 2012
Messages
1,422
Location
Cheadle
Magnificent list of completely unbiased sources.
Sure, the Chinese authorities have never ever lied. They are the beacon of freedom of press, freedom of speech and human rights.

It's clear you haven't read a word in this blog, or the 'about' section on the author's background.

Even the Chinese authorities themselves admitted that they were wrong to threaten the whistle-blower, after a huge public uproar:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...-coronavirus-whistleblower-doctor-li-wenliang

I wonder why their administration have a Central Propaganda Department

Just as a small exercise, what sources do you find unbiased?
 

C'est Moi Cantona

Full Member
Joined
Feb 15, 2014
Messages
8,808
That's what we're all praying for. I believe we have another few days before things were forecast to start improving.
I pray, I really do, then the next problem of working out how to release people back to their lives with be upon you, but the relief of seeing the numbers drop will be massive.
 
Last edited:

sammsky1

Pochettino's #1 fan
Joined
Feb 10, 2008
Messages
32,841
Location
London
Political Correctness at its worse. It’s ok to criticise Trump, Borris Johnson etc but i see very few people criticising the government that brought the world to its knees and fecked everything up.

Let’s not forget this virus has been going around since at least NOVEMBER and the Chinese government spent a month or two covering it up and putting people that were talking about it into jail.

If they had acted like any normal government, things would not be as bad as this.

imagine the outrage and memes if the world got fecked because some redneck in the USA ate something like a rattlesnake and a virus started in Kentucky.
And Instead of acting to stop it and warn the world Trump silenced and put the Dr’s that realised there was a new virus in prison and denied there was such a virus. And basically allowed the the thing to spread for 2 month across the world, can you imagine the hate he’d be getting?

I really don’t understand why we are more focused on criticising our own relatively transparent governments. When it’s the communist China’s lies and suppression on the truth that is responsible for this.

And when this settles down. Do we wait another 10, 20 years until the next virus that comes from China? SARS was only 20 years ago. More deadly then coronavirus but mutated to become less infectious so it killed itself.. that’s the only reason it didn’t wipe out half the world.
The international diplomatic repercussions and ramifications of this can wait. When the time comes, and true evidence is found on what really happened, Im sure massive actions will be taken.

But for now wasting any energy blaming any nation is not a great use of time or emotion.
 

justboy68

Full Member
Joined
Sep 16, 2013
Messages
7,713
Location
Manchester
So sad to see the numbers coming out of Italy. Been to those areas of Northern Italy many times and just love the place. I dearly hope it starts to get better soon.

The depressing thing is it's not looking good for other countries around Europe either.
 

Pagh Wraith

Full Member
Joined
May 2, 2011
Messages
4,361
Location
Germany
I found some data regarding the age structure of the deceased in Italy. As of 19 March:

0-29 - none
30-39 - 5
40-49 - 12
50-59 - 56
60-69 - 173
70-79 - 707
80-89 - 852
90+ - 198

70% of the deceased were men. Only three people are confirmed to have died exclusively from Covid-19 (no previous illnesses). All five from the 30-39 bracket had pre-existing conditions.

(Source: Istituto Superiore Di Sanità)
 

Grinner

Not fat gutted. Hirsuteness of shoulders TBD.
Staff
Joined
May 5, 2003
Messages
72,287
Location
I love free dirt and rocks!
Supports
Arsenal
I'm somewhat surprised that Pence and Trump are in the same room all the time. If the worst happens it means that both could be incapacitated at the same time.
 

Irwin99

Full Member
Joined
Aug 6, 2018
Messages
9,406
Why is it so concentrated in the north of Italy? I'm not hearing much reporting on the south of the country.
 

duffer

Sensible and not a complete jerk like most oppo's
Scout
Joined
Jun 24, 2004
Messages
50,459
Location
Chelsea (the saviours of football) fan.
The government needs to step in regarding people shopping. I just wandered over to my local Tesco (not a Metro or Express but a 5 mins walk from my flat) for a bottle of wine and there was no meat, fruit or veg at all. People just can't be trusted not to be selfish cnuts.

Thankfully there was plenty of wine.
 

momo83

Massive Snowflake
Joined
Dec 5, 2013
Messages
1,463
The international diplomatic repercussions and ramifications of this can wait. When the time comes, and true evidence is found on what really happened, Im sure massive actions will be taken.

But for now wasting any energy blaming any nation is not a great use of time or emotion.
I fully agree. However I know the world’s reliance on China for investment and supply chain. Also I see Italians praising China and condemning their European neighbors because China is “helping” them. And I fear when it’s all done for the world’s government business will take priority, for those effected token gestures by the Chinese government will shut them up.
 

momo83

Massive Snowflake
Joined
Dec 5, 2013
Messages
1,463
Why is it so concentrated in the north of Italy? I'm not hearing much reporting on the south of the country.
I think the north had lots of tourism from China, and other business.

Also the North is where the power is and they kind of look down on south.
 

JPRouve

can't stop thinking about balls - NOT deflategate
Scout
Joined
Jan 31, 2014
Messages
65,956
Location
France
Why is it so concentrated in the north of Italy? I'm not hearing much reporting on the south of the country.
Because that's where the epidemy is centered, it's pretty much the same story everywhere. All countries have one or two areas that are really affected.
 

Revaulx

Full Member
Joined
Mar 17, 2014
Messages
6,046
Location
Saddleworth
I wonder if the infected and dead in the north of Italy have more A blood types although given the Germanic tribal origins of people like those in Lombardy I would have thought not. The O blood type has no antigens in blood cells - these are molecules in the other blood types cells and viruses can use them. It doesn't mean people with O blood types won't get and die from the virus but apparently it's more resilient against it.
Have just done some googling. The Daily Telegraph is reporting this, so it must be true :)

When I was little I desperately yearned for an exotic blood group; O for Ordinary sounded so...ordinary. This news has completely changed my outlook. Even though even the Telegraph says it might all be a coincidence.
 

sammsky1

Pochettino's #1 fan
Joined
Feb 10, 2008
Messages
32,841
Location
London
So Phuket and rest of Thailand including Bangkok is finally reaching lock down status: In Phuket, all bars, restaurants, massage spas, gyms and other places of social gathering have been closed. The gym I was training at and surrounding area of amenities shut down yesterday. Most tourists panic fled since last weekend.

So I essentially have the whole island to myself. And my flight isn't til next Wednesday 25th (when my visa also runs out). Every tourist related business is cutting prices for the few of us the remain.

So have checked into a stunning beach and sunset facing 5* hotel for £35 per night and will enforce physical distancing from here til my flight home to the madness of London next Wednesday. The beach in front normally has 500 people. Today there were 6 of us.

Have been getting so much valuable information on wagers happening in UK and Europe from this thread - thanks all for keeping me informed!
 

Arruda

Love is in the air, everywhere I look around
Joined
Apr 8, 2009
Messages
12,584
Location
Azores
Supports
Porto
@SnowRoll if I bother reading through that blog would you at least confirm to me I will find info on these arrested doctors, etc. It seems interesting, but the first entry added nothing to my knowledge, in fact it just reinforced what I said. Local mistakes (the sort more likely to happen in a country like China, I admit), but very questionable difference in the end result. No country in the world would enforce a lockdown and declare a pandemic so quickly based on the opinions of a few doctors. Methods may be different (silencing vs ignoring them) but this has happened all over the world, not just China.

I also struggle with the "China did x" unless you're looking at the Central Government and their policies.

Would it make sense to say "US has hidden x" based on the actions of a random Governor of a random state, specially when these actions were not validated by the Federal government?

There is a strong anti-China bias surging me, and it concerns me for two things:
- It's bad on it's own
- It will not allow us to properly adress the issue that most directly relates to us, in our countries. Who the feck is leading us, where, and how? When this is all over, who will stand to trial for the negligent deaths?

I care nothing about China's human rights issues or wether they're a beacon right now. I care about their concrete actions in this specific instance. And what they've done was accidently create an outbreak, study it, learn to contain it, and share all this information witg the west.

Will they be due reparations? I'm not an expert on international diplomacy, but I would have no qualms with that. What concerns me is using them as a scapegoat, which is a quite different thing.

My sources are, in many cases, the same as yours, which is basically everything. There are, for example, rather consensual (and well sourced) timelines of the events in google, wikipedia, etc.

Most of them include what went wrong and the incongruencies from the Chinese. But, after studying them systematically, you get a very different idea than the one you get from studying random pieces of journalism specifically chosen to sustain a point you're already biased towards.
 

thegregster

Harbinger of new information
Joined
Nov 4, 2009
Messages
13,582
Tomorrow onwards will tell us how well lockdown has worked in Italy.


 

Arruda

Love is in the air, everywhere I look around
Joined
Apr 8, 2009
Messages
12,584
Location
Azores
Supports
Porto
Ok we’ll all try to find articles from Beijing Daily just for you.
What it seems you won't do, is retort to any of the points I made to you, on a essay that required of me nearly 30 minutes of my time, hundreds of hours of studying this pandemic, and tens of thousands of hours of professional knowledge.
 

sammsky1

Pochettino's #1 fan
Joined
Feb 10, 2008
Messages
32,841
Location
London
I fully agree. However I know the world’s reliance on China for investment and supply chain. Also I see Italians praising China and condemning their European neighbors because China is “helping” them. And I fear when it’s all done for the world’s government business will take priority, for those effected token gestures by the Chinese government will shut them up.
I suspect USA will force all their companies to relocate low wage manufacturing sites into India and sub continent and Mexico, as a form of retaliation if China can be proven to have been strategically culpable for this.

This is the start of massive shift global geo political relations, and the way we as mankind live out our existence on the planet that we share with other humans and species.

But as I said, thats for the months and years ahead.
 

Grinner

Not fat gutted. Hirsuteness of shoulders TBD.
Staff
Joined
May 5, 2003
Messages
72,287
Location
I love free dirt and rocks!
Supports
Arsenal
What it seems you won't do, is retort to any of the points I made to you, on a essay that required of me nearly 30 minutes of my time, hundreds of hours of studying this pandemic, and tens of thousands of hours of professional knowledge.

I noticed that he completely ignored your detailed response.
 

redshaw

Full Member
Joined
Jul 17, 2015
Messages
9,714
Harrowing numbers from Italy.

I fear for anyone going to an NHS hospital in 3-4 weeks time with the few beds and ICU beds we have compared to almost anyone in so called developed countries. Some good news is the NHS has struck a deal with private hospitals to acquire more beds, staff and ventilators.

UK deaths are 233, up by 53
 

JPRouve

can't stop thinking about balls - NOT deflategate
Scout
Joined
Jan 31, 2014
Messages
65,956
Location
France
New York figures are impressive they already have 10k cases.
 

mu4c_20le

Full Member
Joined
Jul 7, 2013
Messages
43,969
I suspect USA will force all their companies to relocate low wage manufacturing sites into India and sub continent and Mexico, as a form of retaliation if China can be proven to have been strategically culpable for this.
Neither of those countries are known for their sanitary standards either, and the swine flu started in Mexico a decade ago so that's a no go.
 

JPRouve

can't stop thinking about balls - NOT deflategate
Scout
Joined
Jan 31, 2014
Messages
65,956
Location
France
What it seems you won't do, is retort to any of the points I made to you, on a essay that required of me nearly 30 minutes of my time, hundreds of hours of studying this pandemic, and tens of thousands of hours of professional knowledge.
There is nothing to retort about, what you said is factual and documented. One thing that I maybe missed in your post is that chinese authorities believe that the first case was around mid-November but as you said they used hindsight to make that conclusion. An other thing that I find interesting and maybe you have some info about it, the case from December 1st isn't linked to the Wuhan market which apparently expended the research of the source beyond the market and maybe Wuhan?
 

Neo_Mufc

Full Member
Joined
Jun 7, 2009
Messages
10,162
Harrowing numbers from Italy.

I fear for anyone going to an NHS hospital in 3-4 weeks time with the few beds and ICU beds we have compared to almost anyone in so called developed countries.

UK deaths are 233, up by 53
I was in hospital last night. Process was as follows;

1. First seen by nurse, people isolating in reception. Was quiet (thought this was strange).
2. Then we were sent to the second part of hospital to see GP. Put in our own room isolated from people.
3. Then admitted to A&E ward. Nurses were extremely stressed. 15 beds all in use, 2 people sitting on a chair on the side including my mum. I felt overwhelmed standing there watching all of this.
4. Did all the tests then was sent home. 6 hours that all took.

In that moment, everyone looked like they had some sort of respiratory issue, a lot of people with horrible coughs. A man opposite us, Dr was speaking to his family on mobile as he couldn't speak english but they said we can't rule out coronavirus due to his symptoms.

The nurses and Dr's look genuinely scared. I've tried to be positive since this started but I just can't anymore after seeing just a glimpse yesterday.
 

Zlatan 7

We've got bush!
Joined
May 26, 2016
Messages
11,799
It be good to have advice on how to deal with the symptoms, read stories of people who have had it, various things like breathing into paper bags because feels like they couldn’t breathe. Should I get some paper bags ready?
 

sammsky1

Pochettino's #1 fan
Joined
Feb 10, 2008
Messages
32,841
Location
London
Neither of those countries are known for their sanitary standards either, and the swine flu started in Mexico a decade ago so that's a no go.
well then the west will have to dramatically downgrade its standards of "commoditised luxury" if it has to bring manufacturing back into their own nations.

My brain isn't big enough to think through the ramifications of this, if the world decides to penalise China for this.
 

Arruda

Love is in the air, everywhere I look around
Joined
Apr 8, 2009
Messages
12,584
Location
Azores
Supports
Porto
There is nothing to retort about, what you said is factual and documented. One thing that I maybe missed in your post is that chinese authorities believe that the first case was around mid-November but as you said they used hindsight to make that conclusion. An other thing that I find interesting and maybe you have some info about it, the case from December 1st isn't linked to the Wuhan market which apparently expended the research of the source beyond the market and maybe Wuhan?
Yes, I think that "earliest" known case was pushed back to November, but wasn't sure so I kept to the latest info I had myself. I haven't looked into the beginning of the pandemic for about a week, so am not sure what progress is being made there (it seems more academic than practical right now - it will be important in the future to prevent similar things).

And yes, I know there was a missing link between the 1st December guy and the market.