SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

Fridge chutney

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Ok just some quick examples.

  • Policies made by other countries before Britain

France

Spain

Denmark


Sweden



Why has it took Britain so long ? Another example, Germany closed it's bars, pubs etc on Monday why did Britain need until today to do the same ?

  • Lack of planning

Government documents show no planning for ventilators in the event of a pandemic



Lack of policy for Renters, self employed and unemployed




And just look at some of the responses by people on here, who have just been fecked over by the latest government statement.


NHS Workers


Testing, Testing Testing


and

Coronavirus: WHO calls for countries to test every case after British government says move 'no longer necessary



  • Boris


And I haven't even talked about the decade long effect of austerity which has made it extremely difficult to tackle a virus like covid19. But whatever I'm sure you've got a empty reply about how Britain is somehow different from the rest of the world and some meaningless sound bite about how the government is simply following ''the science''. Which is why I feel sorry for people like yourself, it's not because we don't agree politically(Who actual gives a shit about that during a crisis like this)it's that the tories are fecking you up the arse and you don't even know it or if you do know you're just glad they aren't using the wooden paddle.


See above.
@Leroy The Red

UK has been behind the curve on this and they did not need to be. It's tragic.
 

Pogue Mahone

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Shane Goldmacher(@ShaneGoldmacher)
This White House briefing room slide lists as "goals" 100,000 to 240,000 deaths.

Breathtaking. pic.twitter.com/CrajjVGqVf

March 31, 2020
To be fair, the “goal” is cutting deaths from two million or so, down to that level. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if most countries have similar goals, pro rata for their population. America is a very big country.
 

Pogue Mahone

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@Leroy The Red

UK has been behind the curve on this and they did not need to be. It's tragic.
It’s tragic on a global scale that two countries we would traditionally look towards for leadership and scientific excellence (UK and US) both seem to have dropped the ball here. The whole world will pay the price.
 

Wibble

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19 year old with no underlining health problem dies in the U.K.
12 year old with no underlining health problem dies in Belgium.
I’m starting to think this depends on how bad you get it and it can kill anyone
But such deaths are so incredibly rare that individual tragedy aside they give us a great deal of hope that young people, especially the very young, will be much much better off than the rest of us and the old in particular.
 

spiriticon

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Iam far from thick, but watching Trump and his team doing their COVID 19 update, I honestly dont have a clue what he is on about, it all gibberish, its all over the place.
"Soz, we fecked up. A lot of you are going to die earlier than expected. Buckle up."

That also applies Boris Johnson's/Michael Gove's 5pm speeches.
 

Balljy

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It's really pissed me off, along with that Lord trying to get his name in the media by piping up about it.

Do people think any of us actually enjoy being in work at the moment? Having to deal with people suspected of having the virus, those that have died in the community and going into house after house dealing with other incidents placing ourselves and our loved ones at risk? We'd love to work from home, protect our families and keep ourselves out of harm's way yet we have a job to do like other key workers. This bizarre criticism will damage morale.
My hot water cylinder completely died 4 days ago - leaking all over the floor and leaving me with turning all hot water off. I was really worried that I'd have to make do without hot water for a couple of months but plumbers are considered key workers. He stayed away from me as much as he could, but I imagine must be worried every day he works. I gave him a big tip and he mentioned his family at home and the concerns he has doing what he does..
 

Wibble

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Pure unfounded speculation alert

As this Coronavirus is a Betacoronavirus, in common with some of the viruses that give us colds, could this in part account for some people being asymptomatic or getting mild sysmptoms. In much the same way that getting t
 

Fiskey

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Editor of the lancet last week on the BBC, summed it up well.

I don't know why people use this guy as if he's an independent voice. He's been a Labour party campaigner for years. He's got his Labour party hat on here.
 

Fiskey

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Pure unfounded speculation alert

As this Coronavirus is a Betacoronavirus, in common with some of the Beatcoronaviruses that give us colds, could this in part account for some people being asymptomatic or getting mild sysmptoms. In much the same way that getting t
I was wondering this. I had quite a bad cold a month before my fiancee feels she had Covid 19, I was completely asymptomatic.
 

Wibble

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I don't know why people use this guy as if he's an independent voice. He's been a Labour party campaigner for years. He's got his Labour party hat on here.
Doesn't make him right though does it? He is spot on - many countries reacted far too slowly in many ways.
 

Jippy

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To be fair, the “goal” is cutting deaths from two million or so, down to that level. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if most countries have similar goals, pro rata for their population. America is a very big country.
Maybe we shouldn't be sugaring the pill, but him trying to spin it as an endorsement of his government's response is repugnant though.
 

Wibble

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I was wondering this. I had quite a bad cold a month before my fiancee feels she had Covid 19, I was completely asymptomatic.
It would be great if that were the case. I also wonder how fast this virus might evolve to be less harmful which is often, but not always, the case?
 

Fiskey

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Doesn't make him right though does it? He is spot on - many countries reacted far too slowly in many ways.
No, not necessarily wrong, but you wouldn't present Owen Jones or Ash Sarkar as an independent voice whether what they have to say is valid or otherwise.
 

Skills

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It would be great if that were the case. I also wonder how fast this virus might evolve to be less harmful which is often, but not always, the case?
Isn't mutation itself just complete random luck which then gets selected for by an evolutionary stress? Would there be any evolutionary stress on this virus to select to a less harmful version?

Cause it's already pretty successful at infecting as many people as possible.
 

Sweet Square

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I don't know why people use this guy as if he's an independent voice. He's been a Labour party campaigner for years. He's got his Labour party hat on here.
No, not necessarily wrong, but you wouldn't present Owen Jones or Ash Sarkar as an independent voice whether what they have to say is valid or otherwise.

:lol:

I honestly feel a bit sorry for people like you. But also cheers I need a bit of laugh after a rather dull day.
 

spiriticon

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Pure unfounded speculation alert

As this Coronavirus is a Betacoronavirus, in common with some of the viruses that give us colds, could this in part account for some people being asymptomatic or getting mild sysmptoms. In much the same way that getting t
Unfounded speculation as well here, but I imagine if you are the type of person to get common colds often and react badly to them, you would very much be at high risk from this new strain even without 'underlying health conditions' due to the virus being from the same family
 

Wibble

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Isn't mutation itself just complete random luck which then gets selected for by an evolutionary stress? Would there be any evolutionary stress on this virus to select to a less harmful version?

Cause it's already pretty successful at infecting as many people as possible.
I'm more familiar with mammal and fish evolution but my understanding is that evolution by natural selection favors less harmful strains (or species or whatever the correct terminology) of virus because their hosts don't die and can spread the virus far and wide, to reproduce in new hosts wheras more fatal strains are more often "trapped" in the dead host.
 

Balljy

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Pure unfounded speculation alert

As this Coronavirus is a Betacoronavirus, in common with some of the Beatcoronaviruses that give us colds, could this in part account for some people being asymptomatic or getting mild sysmptoms. In much the same way that getting t
Possibly, but all viruses tend to target specific parts of the immune system. The way the immune system responds to a virus can sometimes harm yourself so if the immune system over-responds it can produce a cytokine response which causing inflammation and therefore Pneumonia which is believed to be the major cause of death with Covid-19. This wouldn't happen to children as they have immature immune systems.

This happens a fair amount with viruses and why they can be unpredictable with some targeting younger adults and some older.

https://www.newscientist.com/term/cytokine-storm/
 

Balljy

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Isn't mutation itself just complete random luck which then gets selected for by an evolutionary stress? Would there be any evolutionary stress on this virus to select to a less harmful version?

Cause it's already pretty successful at infecting as many people as possible.
Yes, because without human input (such as vaccines) a stronger virus will kill more people meaning that strain of the virus would die out. The weaker mutations let people live, therefore the virus survives.
 

Fiskey

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:lol:

I honestly feel a bit sorry for people like you. But also cheers I need a bit of laugh after a rather dull day.
Why do you feel sorry for me? There are loads of people out there more deserving of sympathy at the moment.
 

Fiskey

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Possibly, but all viruses tend to target specific parts of the immune system. The way the immune system responds to a virus can sometimes harm yourself so if the immune system over-responds it can produce a cytokine response which causing inflammation and therefore Pneumonia which is believed to be the major cause of death with Covid-19. This wouldn't happen to children as they have immature immune systems.

This happens a fair amount with viruses and why they can be unpredictable with some targeting younger adults and some older.

https://www.newscientist.com/term/cytokine-storm/
This was one of the reasons why the Spanish flu particularly effected healthy people.
 

MDFC Manager

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https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/415378



For anyone thinking it's just a good idea to just get it for the sake of herd immunity. It's a novel disease, we haven't got a clue what the long term effects of this disease are yet but if they're anything like the original SARS outbreak they're horrific. Even milder forms of permanent lung damage/scarring will be life changing for most young people.

We're years away from finding out what this will mean long term, but I'd much rather be in the group to have never got it.
Exactly this. Sure, younger people seem to have an extremely low fatality rate, but feck, I don't want permanent lung damage (and possible other damages). I'd rather not get infected at all.
 

JPRouve

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Pure unfounded speculation alert

As this Coronavirus is a Betacoronavirus, in common with some of the viruses that give us colds, could this in part account for some people being asymptomatic or getting mild sysmptoms. In much the same way that getting t
From what I know(from the INSERM). The answer would be no, in general coronaviruses will "produce" a fair amount of asymptomatic patients or provoke mild symptoms. It's part of their characteristics. It's important to remember that a virus doesn't want to kill its host but live discreetly with him.
 

hobbers

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100k deaths for a country of 350mil would be a pretty acceptable outcome, no?

In fact I'd say at this point it'll be a bit of a miracle if it's anywhere close to that.
 

Ekkie Thump

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No, not necessarily wrong, but you wouldn't present Owen Jones or Ash Sarkar as an independent voice whether what they have to say is valid or otherwise.
He presented him as the editor of The Lancet Fiskey, which is exactly what he is. You're right that people wouldn't present Owen Jones or Ash Sarkar as the editor of The Lancet because they aren't.
 
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Wibble

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From what I know(from the INSERM). The answer would be no, in general coronaviruses will "produce" a fair amount of asymptomatic patients or provoke mild symptoms. It's part of their characteristics. It's important to remember that a virus doesn't want to kill its host but live discreetly with him.
I just wondered if there was another factor at play with the particular corona-virus because of the disparity between the badly affected vs the asymptomatic. But I guess that wouldn't explain the huge skew to older people as they would also have partial immunity in some cases.
 

Sweet Square

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Why do you feel sorry for me? There are loads of people out there more deserving of sympathy at the moment.
Because you've just written off the editor of one the worlds most well known medical journals during the biggest pandemic since the Spanish flu because he likes the party in red. It's brain worms of the highest order, all critical thinking gone out the window.

btw have you got a link to this guy being a labour activist ? I've had a look online but haven't found anything, also I think you might be confusing him with Professor John Ashton.
 
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Offside

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Honestly reckon there’s a crazy percentage of people in the UK who have got this/had this very lightly. Spoken to/heard of so many people who have had a cough, fever or lost their sense of smell and taste. A lot of celebs coming out now saying they have had it not just from the royal family but Paul Chuckle I notice! Absolutely essential people stay indoors the next few weeks.
 

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Doesn't make him right though does it? He is spot on - many countries reacted far too slowly in many ways.

But I wish he'd make his mind up

Richard claims the message by the end of January from China was absolutely clear – why then, in late January, did he Tweet:

A call for caution please. Media are escalating anxiety by talking of a “killer virus” + “growing fears”. In truth, from what we currently know, 2019-nCoV has moderate transmissibility and relatively low pathogenicity. There is no reason to foster panic with exaggerated language.
— richard horton (@richardhorton1)
January 24, 2020
https://order-order.com/2020/03/27/lancet-editor-slams-government-for-listening-to-his-advice/
 

Foxbatt

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Because you've just written off the editor of one the worlds most well known medical journals during the biggest pandemic since the Spanish flu because he likes the party in red. It's brain worms of the highest order, all critical thinking gone at the window.

btw have you got a link to this guy being a labour activist ? I've had a look online but haven't found anything, also I think you might be confusing him with Professor John Ashton.
I don't know who this guy is but article about this virus was published in the Lancet magazine in January and the British government was informed about the article but it looks like that they completely ignored it.
 

senorgregster

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100k deaths for a country of 350mil would be a pretty acceptable outcome, no?

In fact I'd say at this point it'll be a bit of a miracle if it's anywhere close to that.
100,000 was actually on the low end of what I assume are 95% confidence intervals. 240,000 was the high end of the interval. I'm stunned they didn't state the point estimate for expected deaths. That should be the number being talked about.