Club Sale | It’s done!

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Plant0x84

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An NDA would not have prevented him from saying he’d clear the debt, invest in stadium/Carrington , invest in men’s & women’s squad and local area.

We know this because Jassim has been clear about what he will do.
He was then reprimanded by Raine as was SJR. It’s very likely that the NDA forbids any comment on the sale and both parties breached it with their bid PR statements.
 

Nick7

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That’s just not true and half the problem with the media reports. If Jassim offered more but said I’ll give you in 10 years down the line they wouldn’t accept, this narrative is nonsense.

Theres a nuance to waiting years for x amount more it’s not as simple as one bid is bigger then the other.
INEOS/SJR have a bid in for the 69% of class B shares too. So I’m not sure what’s “not true”
 

VP89

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Didn’t Jass meet Glazers at their hotel recently?
God knows but he wasn't at OT for the round of formal talks. He sent his advisors whilst SJR came in person.

Any hotel meeting was a rumour.
 

Plant0x84

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The only thing we have heard from them about the debt is INEOS will take it on. Why is he so afraid to say he will clear the debt,can only be because has zero intention of doing that. So if the NDA was so binding how come Qatar weren't afraid to make bold statements.
Both bid parties were reminded of NDA by Raine after their statement to the press at 1st bid. It’s likely neither of them should have made a PR statement to the press.
 

Plant0x84

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Just makes absolutely no sense to me that if SJR is so far ahead and that SJ is ready to walk away, why has there been no preferred bidder? Why haven't the Glazers just accepted what SJR has put on the table? If SJR is so far ahead, then this should be a done deal by now, or they should have been named as preferred bidder a while ago should he not?
Not necessarily. They might just do it all BCD and announce a completed transaction when it’s done.
 

Member 101269

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Both bid parties were reminded of NDA by Raine after their statement to the press at 1st bid. It’s likely neither of them should have made a PR statement to the press.
what will Raine do about it, sue and alienate the bidders?
 

Nytram Shakes

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The rumours still seem to be indicating that the Radcliff bid is still offering a higher price per share.

Seems bizzare that Jassim would still submit a bid that clearly won’t be as lucrative tithe Glazers.
 

VP89

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The rumours still seem to be indicating that the Radcliff bid is still offering a higher price per share.

Seems bizzare that Jassim would still submit a bid that clearly won’t be as lucrative tithe Glazers.
It's almost as though he's not serious.
 

Scriblerus

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Given that we are already seeing other clubs tie up big transfer deals while MUFC won't even know what the budget and business plan for next season look like, would it be disrespectful to criticise our current owners for not even being able to sell the club competently?
 

Plant0x84

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Summary of the last 100 pages from pro-Jim posters:

1) If Jassim wins the bid, it's not fair because its state funded.
2) If Jassim loses the bid, he's actually not that rich and he can't afford us.
3) If Jassim continuously puts in bids, does he even know how to negotiate? I wouldn't want an inept bloke to run our club!

So basically Jassim is either unfair, skint or dumb.

All of the above deriving from various unverified sources and tweets because no one actually knows anything due to iron clad NDAs.

Are there any pro-Jim posters who actually truly believe in Jim's ability to run our club (despite his verified unimpressive track record) and lead us back to our glory days, or do you guys just pick good ol' English Jim just because he's seemingly the lesser of two evils?
Yes.
 

Bosws87

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INEOS/SJR have a bid in for the 69% of class B shares too. So I’m not sure what’s “not true”
the ineos bid for the 69% is lower then jassim’s so if they just wanted more money it would be over in that sense too.

I’ve always thought since day one this is an extract as much money out of the state of Qatar and pamper to Jim and the boys to keep the pressure on.

Could be well off but if they just wanted the most money Jim’s bid has been sitting their for months now and they keep inviting jassim back to bid more.

The thing people seem to be stuck on is why don’t the Qataris overpay if they want us that bad.

Pause a second and think how overpaying for a single player like United have has carried over to further transactions down the line.

In the fantasy world of having unlimited wealth the solution would be chuck money at it, but there’s negative consequences in the real world.
 

Nytram Shakes

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It's almost as though he's not serious.
Yeah, at this stage would just be away to walk away if it’s not accepted tomorrow. Maybe an odd way of saving face. Who knowes, but unless he matches Radcliff’s share price no chance it gets accepted
 

tombombadil

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Despite all the negativity and people jumping to the worst possible conclusions, this is also my take.

People fail to appreciate that owning United has ceased to be very profitable for the Glazers. They're billionaires, these piddly £5-10m dividends they occasionally take barely heat the swimming pools in their 7th homes.

They know the Qataris have limitless wealth. I believe (hope) they are using the SJR bid to drive the price up
Yeah, i think so too. And if they screw up and it blows up in their faces with the Qataris walking out, they still have the ENEOS bid which was valued higher anyways. Even if it is in stages.

Big day tomorrow.
Yeah. Struggling to keep expectations within reason. Every possibility the Glazers could call the Qatari's bluff and don't do anything tomorrow.
 

Water Melon

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Just some questions swirling around, sorry for the long post, newbie's only get 3 bats per day.

On the assumption that SJR will win then, he takes this as either with full control, 69% or a simple majority 51%.

69% then great, job done. No-one is going to be too worried about the speculative shares on the NYSE, they only ever received smallish dividends and will return to their previous low value except , if others are correct, SJR dilutes the share holding by a couple of billion then the equation starts to swing. He will need a couple of billion for the stadium facilities squad etc.

He could inject his own money, but then would be benefitting the NYSE holders. He may do this because he has total control and overall benefits the most. He can always sell off total control in the future and expect a good return, as the Glazers will receive now.

Situation 2, simple majority.

There is no way this happens with the remaining (holdout) Glazers, whatever combination of Glazers, keeping class B shares.

Even with 7ish%, taking into account the new post takeover shares equation, they keep control. So all shares become Class A.

So Glazers keep 18% class A shares, plus any others they already have.

If SJR retains a simple majority then he relies on the holdout Glazers for any major changes to the club (ie full control - this being 2/3s of the voting shares ( that is why the Glazers never sold their stake to less than 67% (have 69% class B shares today))).

To make structural changes you need full control, the 2/3 s of the share votes.

Therefore he needs the holdout to bat in the right direction.

That requires a really refined agreement for both parties, that takes time and effort.

The problem is that that will eat into the transfer window.

So it will be interesting to see what transfer business is done before a deal is fully revealed. The more activity indicating that a plan has been agreed, assumption being the Glazers won't move players on at a loss etc because they look at book value not football value.

The holdouts will want to be assured of a good return, that their shares to be worth more in the future, but if this is guaranteed then non holdouts will want the same, they aren't short of money and could keep a stake. If they keep a stake then , because SJR wants at least a simple majority, the Glazers would need to share 18%, so less for each ! Question, would it be worth Joel and Av hanging around for 3% each?

Also why would the non holdouts agree to sell for less because the deal is being skewed to enable Joel and Avram to hang around for more money?

I am assuming that there is division amongst the Glazers, I assume Bryan (?), who attended the Cup Final is being softened by Avram?

Back to SJR, no way he invests more into the club unless he has a water tight agreement to buyout the holdouts.

Further no way he creates new shares to dilute the share structure unless he has a cast iron agreement, otherwise he is investing without being able to take full control and with no prospect of getting his over inflated valuation back, all things being equal.

Sundry points.

Some Glazers own class A shares, worth a few hundred million, based on the inflated take over value, another factor that needs to be added up when working out SJR's and SJ's bids. Darcey would not want that value to return to a third of the value that SJ is willing to pay today?

Would the NYSE money man allow her to sell at 3x the value of what their same class A shares will be worth, I don't know, if they don't the courts is where they go for clarity?

I would assume given SJ's Friday deadline, the Glazers will be going through their Excell spreadsheet scenarios 24/7, calling eachother out.
Thanks a lot for this post. Very interesting.
 

Rooney24

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Yeah, at this stage would just be away to walk away if it’s not accepted tomorrow. Maybe an odd way of saving face. Who knowes, but unless he matches Radcliff’s share price no chance it gets accepted
They aren't actually walking away though. They are just leaving the bid there and saying they won't be coming back with any revised bid. So if it gets beyond tomorrow and the negotiations with Ratcliffe blow up down the line for any reason, the Qatar bid is still on the table.
 
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Massive Spanner

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Summary of the last 100 pages from pro-Jim posters:

1) If Jassim wins the bid, it's not fair because its state funded.
2) If Jassim loses the bid, he's actually not that rich and he can't afford us.
3) If Jassim continuously puts in bids, does he even know how to negotiate? I wouldn't want an inept bloke to run our club!

So basically Jassim is either unfair, skint or dumb.

All of the above deriving from various unverified sources and tweets because no one actually knows anything due to iron clad NDAs.

Are there any pro-Jim posters who actually truly believe in Jim's ability to run our club (despite his verified unimpressive track record) and lead us back to our glory days, or do you guys just pick good ol' English Jim just because he's seemingly the lesser of two evils?
"pro-Jim" :lol: What are you like?
 

cyberman

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The rumours still seem to be indicating that the Radcliff bid is still offering a higher price per share.

Seems bizzare that Jassim would still submit a bid that clearly won’t be as lucrative tithe Glazers.
We don’t need the details nor the financial implications either bid has for the Glazers down the line.
As an example, Google says they own 4.7 percent of the class A shares that Qatar wants to buy that Jim doesn’t. Those shares are worthless for them if Jim doesn’t buy them so that’s hundreds of millions worth of a swing right there.
I’m sure there’s many more scenarios like that in play
 

sugar_kane

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Everyone pro-Qatar seems to assume that a succesful Qatar bid means we will end up being run like City or Newcastle, ignoring what a shambles PSG is.
 

Bosws87

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It’s so weird that you just make stuff up.
it’s not made up it was widely known the 50.1% offer was at a higher premium to force the move and the full 69% was lower. This has been in the air since the whole two approaches were announced.

if you don’t like what you hear that’s your problem. If they were exactly the same share value why would he bother with this guaranteeing prices to sell at down the line for them.

Ignorance because you have a preference doesn’t make it correct.
 

DomesticTadpole

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Everyone pro-Qatar seems to assume that a succesful Qatar bid means we will end up being run like City or Newcastle, ignoring what a shambles PSG is.
Thing is I worry that whoever buys us it will be a shambles. Not convinced either know how to run a football club properly.
 

Murder on Zidanes Floor

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Reports are that Jassim is massively frustrated, it's been 7 months of time wasting by those fecking bald headed parasites. Just the most grotty, scummy little weasels looking to milk every last penny out of the club.

Makes us look like clowns.
 

mitchmouse

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Reports are that Jassim is massively frustrated, it's been 7 months of time wasting by those fecking bald headed parasites. Just the most grotty, scummy little weasels looking to milk every last penny out of the club.

Makes us look like clowns.
I was just about to say exactly this: the fcking vampires aren't ever going to sell. total cnuts
 

DevilRed

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Given they're bypassing Raine Group as the middle man, any leaks about Jassim's bid must be coming directly from Jassim's team or are being completely made up by reporters. In either case, they can't be believed.

Anyone in this thread who thinks they've got any idea about how negotiations are going is deluded. Aside from the NDAs, all parties involved are hard nosed business people who will only do what benefit themselves. At best we're all being misdirected by PR fluff. This is a blind situation, so the best guess we can possibly make is that it's 50-50. It's Schroedinger's Cat. Nobody is "in the lead" until the press release telling us the sale is made.

If anyone here has watched Succession, this is that. The patriarch has passed away so the kids are squabbling about the deal and nobody on the streets knows any of the drama going on behind the scenes.
The glazer siblings are not serious people.
 

Massive Spanner

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Reports are that Jassim is massively frustrated, it's been 7 months of time wasting by those fecking bald headed parasites. Just the most grotty, scummy little weasels looking to milk every last penny out of the club.

Makes us look like clowns.
if that's what you believe, then you've bought into the Qatar PR machine hook, line, and sinker.
 

DevilRed

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Everyone pro-Qatar seems to assume that a succesful Qatar bid means we will end up being run like City or Newcastle, ignoring what a shambles PSG is.
The shambles that is PSG would be preferable to where we are now. Thats the sad truth of it.

At this stage, I just want new owners. Personally, I don't care if its Qatar or Sir Jim. Both would have significantly more dry powder to back the club than the current bunch of clowns.
 

Sly1

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These numbers are all speculation on the numbers from the journos who could be clueless bunch
but this is what they say
Jassim 5.2B GBP EV. Glazers get 3.6B now for their 69.5%. But they will benefit also from selling their 4.3% class A shares (for 220m) because Jassim want to buy 100% of the club.
Ratcliffe 5.5B GBP EV. Glazers get 2.75B now for 50.1% of their shares and 1B for the remaining 19% in 3 years.
If these figures are to be believed,then it is clear that Sheikh Jassim's bid is far more better than Ratchcliffe's.
This is the breakdown,based on my understanding using the figures you provided:

Ratchcliffe's offer:
Enterprise Value=£ 5.5 billion
Glazers share (69%) = £ 3.795 billion.
Ratchcliffe offers to buy 50.01% of £5.5 billion now = £ 2.75 billion.
Ratchcliffe offers to buy the remaining 19% 3 years later = £ 1.045 billion
Total amount to be paid by Ratchcliffe to the Glazers 69% = £ 3.795 billion
Sharing £ 3.795 billion among the 6 Glazers = £ 3.795 billion÷6 = £ 632,500
Therefore,On the average,each Glazer receives about six hundred and thirty -two million pounds.

Sheikh Jassim's bid:
Enterprise Value=£ 5.2 billion
Glazers share (69%) = £ 3.588 billion.
Sheikh Jassim offers to buy all the 69% owned by the Glazers now = £ 3.588 billion.
The Glazers also own 4.3% class A shares = £ 220 million).
Total amount to be paid by Sheikh Jassim to the Glazers = £ 3.588 billion + £ 220 million = £ 3.808 billion.
Sharing £ 3.808 billion among the 6 Glazers = £ 3.808 billion÷6 = £ 634,666.67 million .
Therefore,On the average,each Glazer receives about six hundred and thirty -five million pounds.

The big difference now is that, the Sheikh' offer is NOW (cash) whereas that of Sir Ratchcliffe's is in installment.

If these figures are to go by,then the Sheikh's offer is far better as the cash received now could be invested which stands the chance of giving the Glazers a far higher reward than Ratchcliffe's offer.

Am not even considering the debt, infrastructure and other investment pledges.

I have said it before and I will repeat that,the Glazers seem to be using SJR to extract more from the Sheikh.
Else, exclusivity could have been given to SJR if his offer was far higher than the Sheikh's since the second or the 3rd round/bids.

But there are a lot of things we (the supporters and the media) don't know yet. So am not believing anything I see or read until an official statement is out.
I see most of the news and tweets in the media as propaganda.
 

DomesticTadpole

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That’s a generalisation. Impossible to tell at this stage.
It really is. We have absolutely no idea what he would do, but we know SJR doesn't do it too well. Has he used the other two clubs as guinea pigs or will he run us badly but on a bigger scale? It is worrying on both counts.
 

Berbaclass

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It really is. We have absolutely no idea what he would do, but we know SJR doesn't do it too well. Has he used the other two clubs as guinea pigs or will he run us badly but on a bigger scale? It is worrying on both counts.
I would agree with that. I am a little more concerned with Ratcliffe though as he has a somewhat negative precedent in football.
 
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