Called it in September. Nate Silver can go eat a bag of dicks. The model fails common sense.We're heading to a contested election, aren't we?
Conservativres love to vote at the ballot box, liberals are more likely to vote by mail (given COVID).
I predict on election night Trump will be ahead, but as mail-in ballots are counted over the next several days (weeks?), the pendulum will swing towards Biden. Both men will claim victory, we will deal with Florida 2000 type sitch on several states, and possibly it will go to the SC for final arbitration.
Edit: I deleted my first sentence. I'm too tired to do this right now and it's the wrong thread. Lets just be friends and watch Trump melt down. K?You're conflating protests against police brutality with the aftermath. There was widespread looting, lawlessness and destruction of property but that has brushed under the rug by most media because it goes against the narrative. Hence the quotation marks. I live in Manhattan on a pretty busy avenue, and the stores are boarded up. Fifth Avenue/ Madison Avenue stores boarded up like a third world country. That's not normal. Not acknowledging/condemning it by Dems was dumb.
A fellow Donauschwabe?It's not that exciting I have family from the area; my maternal grandfather was of Swabian ancestry and back when that part of the family was still intact it wasn't unusual to simply switch to German in conversation because everyone was familiar with it, even those born and bred in Hungary. Some of them returned to Germany as part of the forcible deportations after World War II; others, who considered themselves Hungarian instead of German at that point, stayed.
We visited there for the first time last summer; very glad we decided to indulge ourselves on the flight to the South Rim, especially as the casino was particularly kind that night. Glorious placeLiterally my fave place in the US. None of this west part of the canyon either, must go to the south
Very legal, very cool.Last night there were 800 pages, in this thread, in almost all instances Admin run & controlled. Then, one by one, the pages started to magically increase as surprise reply dumps were counted. VERY STRANGE, and the “pollsters” got it completely & historically wrong!