I don't see how anyone will overhaul Liverpool or City.
Third and fourth is more unpredictable. Leicester have started well but we know what happens when Rodgers starts to lose momentum.
Well Liverpool have already dropped 4 points, City have dropped 7. Liverpool are without VVD, and Thiago?
Neither team is playing to the level we'd expect. Both teams could easily be beaten by any of the top 6 + Wolves or Leicester.
Add into all that a packed schedule for everyone, particularly the big teams, and Liverpool not particularly having a deep squad.
Unfortunately for us, the winner of this league will probably be the one that consistently beats anyone below the top 6, irrelevant to how the perform in those 'big games'.