This guy?
Hopefully that cnut will pop his clogs. His policy in respect of the environment puts us all in grave danger.
His curves not being correct was in the context of him using a normal distribution, which is not necessarily the case for infections. However, under some assumptions when independent random variables are added, they tend to converge towards a normal distribution. So, while his curves are not correct, they can serve as modeling.
Its the obvious solution and has worked in all the successful countries. But the cynical side of me thinks that they dont mind it fast-forwarding it to the mitigatory/treatment phase because it will be financial opportunities for the private sector.
It's not a question of provenance or even of the specific model he builds - it's basic maths you can do yourself. Please show me any distribution, any at all, of between 2 and 4 million people a year each requiring
Nah. The catastrophic short-term losses will be, well, catastrophic.
In Italy, all it takes to start a party is one man with an accordion.
Isn't containment the means to achieving 'flatten the curve'?
Kind of, but not exactly. Flatten the curve typically means, we are gonna get infected, but let’s get infected slowly. Containment might mean, not get infected at all until we get a vaccine. Very difficult to achieve, but probably doable.
Thanks, was scratching my head as to why 'flatten the curve' is a lie, as that article says, and then went on to suggest containment.
On a simultaneously disturbing and reassuring note.I had a thought after a trip to Aldi... what happens once the workers at supermarkets and pharmacies start getting the virus?
Also, most people will not even show symptoms. You may have already had it and will not know. I don’t think there will be that many deaths unaccounted for though, cases yes deaths no.
It's rather alarming that shops are doing more prevention than medical facilities. There's three tills at the bigger supermarket I visit, they'd put perspex screens up between the women on the tills and the customers. All tills open (which is unusual) to move people through quickly. Sanitiser everywhere. Grocery shop staff are doing a really essential service now and they have to be protected.
Victim? I can see the news about being tested positive, please tell me he/she hasn’t succumbed?
S/he hasn't.
It’s not a symptom. Treat it with the same caution that you would have if the virus didn’t exist.
Her first hangover!
Yeah I know thats the rational way of thinking but it's hard not to worry.
Don’t worry too much it’s probably either drugs, pregnancy or both.
Already grilled her on that to be fair.
Real funny.
When I was 16 I went a house party and come home being sick.
Sorry can’t help myself sometimes, hope she gets better soon.
Reassuring wordsProbably food poisoning. Ask her what she ate that nobody else did. I might even be that she forgot to wash her hands and picked up a stomach bug on her hands (maybe petting an animal?).
Don’t worry, it’s probably just AIDS
I'd go to a chemist and ask for something to replace electrolytes lost through excessive vomiting and make sure she drinks plenty of water. Hope she feels better soon.
The stories from Italy are horrific also.
