Wouldn't it be expected that Sweden would be higher given their comparative lack of lock down to Italy and Spain?
I think they expected that, but clearly it didn't happen that way. And good for them, because if it did, they would collapse as other countries did.
It stands to reason that their "lack of lockdown" made little difference in the end. I think there was merit to the idea that they were "social distancing" naturally already, due to the specificities of the country and it's social culture.
Reality tells us that they did social distance to some degree. Even then, they still had too many cases and far more deaths than needed. Couple that with the daunting reports that they failed to provite adequate care for their eldery (despite, apparently, having more than enough capacity to do so) and I think this has all been a huge fiasco for Sweden. Fortunately, not in the same dramatic way I thought it would be, but still pretty bad, and inexcusable in my view.
I started paying attention on the day they surpassed Portugal in the number of deaths, because the policies were so different and both are peripheral countries yet population number is roughly the same. Yesterday they officially reached the triple of our deaths. I think they will still reach 4x before our numbers start to rise too (we're starting to ease our lockdown).