Brexited | the worst threads live the longest

Do you think there will be a Deal or No Deal?


  • Total voters
    194
  • Poll closed .

Adisa

likes to take afvanadva wothowi doubt
Joined
Nov 28, 2014
Messages
50,440
Location
Birmingham
Well the Rebels and the Wankers appear to be under two different impressions. Govt has clearly been talking out of both sides of its arse in order to just get through tonight. If assurances made to rebels turn out to be not what they seem then this will get batted straight back by the Lords and the govt's credibility to negotiate its way out of a defeat second time around in the Commons will be shot to pieces.
We haven't seen the last of this. It's going to become clear next week who HMG have led up a merry dance.
 

Rajma

Full Member
Joined
Sep 8, 2012
Messages
8,582
Location
Lithuania
UK left themselves in the situation in which there can be no winners politically, country is divided as they get so sensible thing to do would be to put the economy and well-being of people first.
 

Paul the Wolf

Full Member
Joined
Apr 17, 2014
Messages
17,898
Location
France - can't win anything with Swedish turnips
The CU/SM with the "horror" of free movement deal is inevitable. The trouble is no government can sign off on that deal. Any government that does that risks annihilation at the next GE
What I think will happen is, that deal is going to be put back to the people as either another referendum or a GE with both parties officially backing it.
I suspect no government is also going to want to be the ones to take us out of the EU without a deal.
But when, the clock is ticking as Michel Barnier reminds the UK quite often, there is very little time left for anything.
 

Oscie

New Member
Joined
Nov 28, 2016
Messages
3,680
The whole thing was avoidable. If leading politicians after the Brexit vote took the sensible approach that what followed should have been a national debate/consultation as to what Brexit meant we could have spent these last two years really discussing issues like the single market, the customs union and freedom of movement. It would have been the easiest thing in the world to not create an environment in which debate about what kind of future relationship we wanted wasn't considered toxic.


Sadly what happened is Nigel Farage broke wind and Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn have spend 2 years falling over themselves over who could be seen to agree with him more. Didn't have to be like this, it really didn't.
 

Adisa

likes to take afvanadva wothowi doubt
Joined
Nov 28, 2014
Messages
50,440
Location
Birmingham
At this point it is, aye. A hard Brexit seems like it can't be implemented due the Northern Irish issue alone, and even beyond that it'll cause all sorts of upheaval. Politicians complaining about how they won't be able to end freedom of movement should've considered that in the years during which they'd been arguing against the EU and had been expressing a desire to leave.

A soft Brexit is pointless, in that we'll basically remain in our current situation only without any leverage whatsoever over the EU, but I'd rather that than chaos.
Yeah. When coming from full membership, soft Brexit seems pointless. However, Brexit is happening either way so it's better to be soft.
 

Oscie

New Member
Joined
Nov 28, 2016
Messages
3,680
I don't get this talk that if we don't have a definitive, cast-iron leave date that there's no incentive for the 27 to give us a good deal. What incentive is there for them to do that anyway?
 

Rajma

Full Member
Joined
Sep 8, 2012
Messages
8,582
Location
Lithuania
9 months away from leaving the EU and progress-wise on key points we're literally we were on the day of the referendum. They are yet to come up with any meaningful strategy/vision on what will brexit entail and how it is going to be achieved, mind blowing. No accountability seen here, two years of doing feck all - I presume it's laziness/ignorance in play.
 

Cheesy

Bread with dipping sauce
Scout
Joined
Oct 16, 2011
Messages
36,181
The whole thing was avoidable. If leading politicians after the Brexit vote took the sensible approach that what followed should have been a national debate/consultation as to what Brexit meant we could have spent these last two years really discussing issues like the single market, the customs union and freedom of movement. It would have been the easiest thing in the world to not create an environment in which debate about what kind of future relationship we wanted wasn't considered toxic.


Sadly what happened is Nigel Farage broke wind and Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn have spend 2 years falling over themselves over who could be seen to agree with him more. Didn't have to be like this, it really didn't.
I think this ignores a lot of what happened around Brexit.

From the start it now should have been evident that the only Brexit we could implement was one which didn't violate the GFA in Northern Ireland, which is a soft Brexit and remaining in the CU/SM. That was something any rational politician should've been able to realise within five minutes, and it's not something that required any widespread consultation.

For me this ignores a lot of what happened before the vote: freedom of movement was made central to the vote, and so people were made to think this was something that could happen irrespective of what path we took. We fecked it long before the vote, and even pro-EU politicians had arguably been fecking it for years by fawning to the public with harsh rhetoric on immigration while not planning to actually do anything about it.

Any consultation post-Brexit would've had people demanding that the central tenants of Brexit were made, i.e. that freedom of movement from the EU was now in our hands. The problem was that the only vision of Brexit under which that could be implemented was the softest one.
 

Rajma

Full Member
Joined
Sep 8, 2012
Messages
8,582
Location
Lithuania
The whole thing was avoidable. If leading politicians after the Brexit vote took the sensible approach that what followed should have been a national debate/consultation as to what Brexit meant we could have spent these last two years really discussing issues like the single market, the customs union and freedom of movement. It would have been the easiest thing in the world to not create an environment in which debate about what kind of future relationship we wanted wasn't considered toxic.


Sadly what happened is Nigel Farage broke wind and Theresa May and Jeremy Corbyn have spend 2 years falling over themselves over who could be seen to agree with him more. Didn't have to be like this, it really didn't.
Spot on mate, the prevailing incompetence is astonishing. How did those people end up in their respective positions I don't understand.
 

Adisa

likes to take afvanadva wothowi doubt
Joined
Nov 28, 2014
Messages
50,440
Location
Birmingham
But when, the clock is ticking as Michel Barnier reminds the UK quite often, there is very little time left for anything.
Yeah. We've reach squeaky bum time after spending two years faffing about. I still think a deal will happen, somehow. I work for a French investment bank and in a meeting not long ago. Our head of operations was convinced CU/SM deal would happen. Don't know if it was his opinion or he knows something we don't. Seems other banks to are convinced that's what will happen.
 

Fully Fledged

Full Member
Joined
May 23, 2013
Messages
16,272
Location
Midlands UK
I don't get this talk that if we don't have a definitive, cast-iron leave date that there's no incentive for the 27 to give us a good deal. What incentive is there for them to do that anyway?
None. It is in the interest of of a united EU that we don't benefit from leaving.
 

Rajma

Full Member
Joined
Sep 8, 2012
Messages
8,582
Location
Lithuania
Yeah. We've reach squeaky bum time after spending two years faffing about. I still think a deal will happen, somehow. I work for a French investment bank and in a meeting not long ago. Our head of operations was convinced CU/SM deal would happen. Don't know if it was his opinion or he knows something we don't. Seems other banks to are convinced that's what will happen.
You work for BNP by any chance?
 

Oscie

New Member
Joined
Nov 28, 2016
Messages
3,680
None. It is in the interest of of a united EU that we don't benefit from leaving.

EU's preferences of outcome surely has to be.

1) UK ends up staying in EU after all

2) It crashes out and suffers terribly acting as an ever-lasting disincentive for anyone else thinking of following their lead.


Never understood how people were convinced the EU were willing to make leaving at all an attractive proposition. Even if it does damage the remaining 27 economically, it's likely to be considered a hit worth taking in the long run and in any even collectively they'll be impacted a lot less than we will, proportionally.
 

Pexbo

Winner of the 'I'm not reading that' medal.
Joined
Jun 2, 2009
Messages
68,820
Location
Brizzle
Supports
Big Days
Banks and Wigmore getting grilled now. Apparently Wigmore immediately asked the committee chair to recuse because he accepted Chelsea tickets once. Response: “Nice try, Mr Wigmore’.

This is going to be a clown car performance.

What the feck has this got to do with Leave.EU? Oh... right.
Leave.EU co-founder Aaron Banks:
OK so here we go:

westmonster.com whois lookup:

ADMINISTRATIVE CONTACT
Name:
Domains Administrator

Organization:
Eldon Insurance Services Limited

Street:
Lysander House Catbrain Lane, Cribbs Causeway

City:
Bristol

State:
South Gloucestershire

Postal Code:
BS10 7TQ

Country:
GB

Phone:
+44.8449029778

Email:
@eldoninsurance.co.uk

Eldon Insurance Services Founder: Arron Banks

In November 2017, the Electoral Commission announced that it is investigating whether election rules were broken during the EU referendum, in donations worth a total of £8.4 million to Leave.EU campaigners made by Banks and by Better for the Country Ltd, a company of which Banks is a registered director.

Is it a trustworthy source?

feck no :lol:
Here's where it get's even more juicy.....

Shortly afterwards, Banks met the woman who was to become his second wife, a Portsmouth-based Russian called Ekaterina Paderina. According to the Sunday Times, Paderina’s former husband had been interviewed twice by Special Branch because they suspected her of working for the Russian government.
https://www.opendemocracy.net/uk/brexitinc/adam-ramsay/how-did-arron-banks-afford-brexit


EDIT - More on Ekaterina Paderina, an article from 2010:

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/po...l-Democrat-MP-helped-second-Russian-girl.html
Detective Pexbo ratted this one out months ago :cool:
 

Paul the Wolf

Full Member
Joined
Apr 17, 2014
Messages
17,898
Location
France - can't win anything with Swedish turnips
Yeah. We've reach squeaky bum time after spending two years faffing about. I still think a deal will happen, somehow. I work for a French investment bank and in a meeting not long ago. Our head of operations was convinced CU/SM deal would happen. Don't know if it was his opinion or he knows something we don't. Seems other banks to are convinced that's what will happen.
Last year, everyone was saying how slow the negotiations were but at least, some kind of fudged agreement was reached in time for Xmas.
During the past 6 months I don't see any progress whatsoever.

I'm not surprised the banks think like this because the alternative is unimaginable and they expect sanity to prevail in the end.
 

Fully Fledged

Full Member
Joined
May 23, 2013
Messages
16,272
Location
Midlands UK
EU's preferences of outcome surely has to be.

1) UK ends up staying in EU after all

2) It crashes out and suffers terribly acting as an ever-lasting disincentive for anyone else thinking of following their lead.


Never understood how people were convinced the EU were willing to make leaving at all an attractive proposition. Even if it does damage the remaining 27 economically, it's likely to be considered a hit worth taking in the long run and in any even collectively they'll be impacted a lot less than we will, proportionally.
I agree. You can't allow leaving to be perceived as being beneficial.
 

Adisa

likes to take afvanadva wothowi doubt
Joined
Nov 28, 2014
Messages
50,440
Location
Birmingham
Which MP do you guys hate most?
Mine has to be Dorries. Every time I see her, I ask who voted for this muppet?
 

caid

Full Member
Joined
Feb 10, 2014
Messages
8,375
Location
Dublin
I agree. You can't allow leaving to be perceived as being beneficial.
Its allowed to be beneficial, honestly I think most EU countries would like it to be. We're linked regardless and your economy going down the toilet wont help anyone.
Your not allowed gain the benefits of membership without the costs, which is just obvious really.
 

Fully Fledged

Full Member
Joined
May 23, 2013
Messages
16,272
Location
Midlands UK
Its allowed to be beneficial, honestly I think most EU countries would like it to be. We're linked regardless and your economy going down the toilet wont help anyone.
Your not allowed gain the benefits of membership without the costs, which is just obvious really.
That's what I mean. They want free trade without free movement or answering to the European Courts on Human Rights.

I want free trade, free movement and the ECHR.
 

horsechoker

The Caf's Roy Keane.
Joined
Apr 16, 2015
Messages
52,763
Location
The stable
It's not a dictatorship. It's called common sense due to self-preservation.
I just meant how it sounded rather than what it is, in any case I don't think the EU is punishing the UK as such, it was just the circumstances and laws in place mean the UK has suffered/will suffer because of it. Furthermore, it wouldn't benefit the EU to ostracise the UK completely.
 

Oscie

New Member
Joined
Nov 28, 2016
Messages
3,680
Which MP do you guys hate most?
Mine has to be Dorries. Every time I see her, I ask who voted for this muppet?
Oh God, so many. Jacob Rees-Mogg, Kate Hoey, John Redwood, Peter Bone, Diane Abbot, Boris Johnson...

Not a huge fan of Caroline Flint, Richard Burgon or...
 
Last edited:

Adisa

likes to take afvanadva wothowi doubt
Joined
Nov 28, 2014
Messages
50,440
Location
Birmingham
Oh God, so many. Jacob Rees-Mogg, Kate Howey, John Redwood, Peter Bone, Boris Johnson...
I like Abbott. She's not the sharpest tool in the box but doesn't pretend to be and by all accounts, is an excellent MP.
The rest are cnuts. Redwood is a fecking condescending mf. Boris and Mogg are clowns.
 

Oscie

New Member
Joined
Nov 28, 2016
Messages
3,680
I like Abbott. She's not the sharpest tool in the box but doesn't pretend to be and by all accounts, is an excellent MP.
The rest are cnuts. Redwood is a fecking condescending mf. Boris and Mogg are clowns.
My problem with Abbott is partially superficial. The way she talks when answering a question as if everyone is hearing the English language for the very first time is super irritating.
 

Adisa

likes to take afvanadva wothowi doubt
Joined
Nov 28, 2014
Messages
50,440
Location
Birmingham
I just meant how it sounded rather than what it is, in any case I don't think the EU is punishing the UK as such, it was just the circumstances and laws in place mean the UK has suffered/will suffer because of it. Furthermore, it wouldn't benefit the EU to ostracise the UK completely.
It won't but it can't be seen to be given us special treatment. It actually can't legally give us special treatment. The UK has no choice but to accept what's on the table or leave. So actually, we'd be the ones ostracising the EU.
 

Oscie

New Member
Joined
Nov 28, 2016
Messages
3,680
If I left my book club but said I wanted to still continue meeting up each week, still have a say on what books were read each week but I didn't wouldn't be contributing towards the wine and the snacks any longer, but would be enjoying them - the rest wouldn't be acting like North Korea if they told me to piss off.
 

JPRouve

can't stop thinking about balls - NOT deflategate
Scout
Joined
Jan 31, 2014
Messages
66,246
Location
France
That's what I mean. They want free trade without free movement or answering to the European Courts on Human Rights.

I want free trade, free movement and the ECHR.
I have seen that several times and already addressed it but the ECHR isn't the EU, it's part of the Council of Europe, the institution above the EU that counts 47 countries including Russia.
 

Cheesy

Bread with dipping sauce
Scout
Joined
Oct 16, 2011
Messages
36,181
Tory MP's all getting extremely paranoid and potentially stabbing each other in the back about the one good thing that's come from Brexit so far.
 

matherto

ask me about our 50% off sale!
Joined
Nov 3, 2009
Messages
17,564
Location
St. Helens
I don't get this talk that if we don't have a definitive, cast-iron leave date that there's no incentive for the 27 to give us a good deal. What incentive is there for them to do that anyway?
Hopes and dreams.

I've never understood why Brexiteers thought the EU had any obligation whatsoever to make things even remotely easier for us by doing any sort of deal.

We're leaving them, they don't have to do anything at all.