SARS CoV-2 coronavirus / Covid-19 (No tin foil hat silliness please)

acnumber9

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The media are just being idiots, trying to grill on every minutia which often isn't relevant. Window cleaners in my area have been coming to clean street windows from outside all week. Obviously they aren't allowed inside the home just yet because Borris has generally only eased external, public spaces.

In events window cleaners were to only able to clean the external windows (I didn't even know window cleaners offer an internal option, thought that's up to the occupant), they just charge their price accordingly. A redundant shit question from the media that can be better used elsewhere.
The window cleaners themselves may not be relevant but his response to the question certainly is. To say that haven’t thought of it is ridiculous. What else have they not thought of and why?
 

Wibble

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I've seen a lot of people cite the Swedish model when they try to say the lockdowns aren't justified but surely this debunks that?

Sweden have decided that their economy is more important that the lives of their senior citizens. Britain has decided to leave an incompetent in charge.
 

VP89

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The window cleaners themselves may not be relevant but his response to the question certainly is. To say that haven’t thought of it is ridiculous. What else have they not thought of and why?
It's a bad answer when put on the spot, but it's clearly not an accurate one. The secretary of state won't be able to answer any and every specific question when quizzed on the spot but it's clear there would have been thorough guidance and thought put into the roadmap. As much as they can in such a short time, anyway. It's the public/media themselves who have been demanding a roadmap in the first place.
 

VP89

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No 10 has now contradicted this again saying its 1 person outside the household. Absolute shower.
So 1 person can only meet 1 other person from a different household outside :lol:

So many people have been broadly ignoring this for weeks.
 

decorativeed

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Agree I'm worried about this, especially as there isn't a union and even during lockdown they've said they're desperate to get people back
Well now would probably be a good time to organise and get your collegues to join one. Union membership has only been increasing throughout this, if my union is anything to go by.
 

Brwned

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This shouldn't really be here. It should be in the politics thread because these cnuts couldn't run a tap.
What he actually said was you can essentially meet up with an unlimited number of people as long as you socially distance. "When you go outside...you can meet up with other people". He didn't say you can only meet up with both parents, or that you had to rotate when you meet people, despite the interviewer asking him about specific limits. He didn't seem to understand the guidelines in any detail.
 

BootsyCollins

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Sweden have decided that their economy is more important that the lives of their senior citizens. Britain has decided to leave an incompetent in charge.
No they has not. We done a poor job shelding the elders, that we can all agree on, but to say we have chosen economy over the lives of our senior citizens is pretty out of order. The people who decide how we tackle this are not politicians or corporate businesses, but our public health agency.
 

Wibble

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No they has not. We done a poor job shelding the elders, that we can all agree on, but to say we have chosen economy over the lives of our senior citizens is pretty out of order. The people who decide how we tackle this are not politicians or corporate businesses, but our public health agency.
If you had chosen the lives of your senior citizens over the economy you would have locked down and not had such a huge death rate. If that was the scientific advice, uninfluenced by economic concerns, then you need better scientists.
 

massi83

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No they has not. We done a poor job shelding the elders, that we can all agree on, but to say we have chosen economy over the lives of our senior citizens is pretty out of order. The people who decide how we tackle this are not politicians or corporate businesses, but our public health agency.
You haven't had proportionaly more elderly deaths than other countries. The only way to protect elderly is to keep all infections down. It is just an excuse from pompous Tegnell.
 

Pogue Mahone

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https://www.theguardian.com/environ...e-with-virus-outbreaks?CMP=Share_iOSApp_Other

It really is amazing how so many elements of this outbreak feel like the environment striking back. First it hits transport (no flights, city centres pedestrianised) and now it’s looking like processed meat is in the firing line. Just waiting for some outbreaks in single use plastic factories and coal fired power stations.
 

DVG7

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Saturday saw the lowest number of new infections (667) and lowest number of deaths (26) in a single day in Germany since late March. Let's hope the mass gatherings at the weekend won't cause those to pick up again.
it’s almost certain that they will.
 

One Night Only

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No 10 has now contradicted this again saying its 1 person outside the household. Absolute shower.
Yeah but if the 2 parents meet their son/daughter then they're only meeting one person? :lol: could try it that way.

Don't see the difference meeting 1 or 5 people tbh aslong as social distancing is adhered to.
 

Pogue Mahone

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The one parent/two parent clarification is insane. Coming up with completely irrational guidance just to make it seem as though No 10 wasn’t as confused as everyone else by BJ’s vague wiffling. Fecking bonkers. And to think that the UK is relying on these clowns to deal with the incredibly complex and detail heavy extrication of the UK from the EU...
 

Ubik

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This is approaching May government levels of a shitshow.
 

BootsyCollins

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If you had chosen the lives of your senior citizens over the economy you would have locked down and not had such a huge death rate. If that was the scientific advice, uninfluenced by economic concerns, then you need better scientists.
I wont argue the bolded part because i have no idea how good they are. Maybe Sweden will fare way better when a second wave comes and other countries will not. Maybe there is no second wave or maybe we will live with this forever.
I still think its way to early to tell how anyone is doing.

But i will strongly argue against that Sweden put the economy over the lives of our senior citizens and that the proof is that we did not lock down. We do many things here to prevent this thing and many people are working their ass off to help. Its not like we are going around like everything is normal.
 
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BootsyCollins

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You haven't had proportionaly more elderly deaths than other countries. The only way to protect elderly is to keep all infections down. It is just an excuse from pompous Tegnell.
But its not the economy that is behind the reason we do how we do. Thats the only thing i argue.
If Tegnell and the rest are doing a good job or not, i have no idea. Not now atleast.
 

acnumber9

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How can they legitimately tell people they can only see one other person while at the same time telling non essential staff they can go and work with as many people as their workplace can fit?
 

Pogue Mahone

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I wont argue the bolded part because i have no idea how good they are. Maybe Sweden will fare way better when a second wave comes and other countries will not. Maybe there is no second wave or maybe we will live with this forever.
I still think its way to early to tell how anyone is doing.

But i will strongly argue that Sweden put the economy over the lives of our senior citizens and that the proof is that we did not lock down. We do many things here to prevent this thing and many people are working their ass off to help. Its not like we are going around like everything is normal.
I’ve been thinking about this a bit recently. What are the long term prospects for countries like NZ and Aus that stop spread completely? If they effectively banish the virus from their countries that’s great news in the short term but if a vaccine takes several years (which is a definite possibility) then countries that have had a constant trickle of cases will likely be able to get back to a relatively normal way of life while “virus free” countries are completely shut off from the rest of the world, under the constant threat of another lockdown.

If it turns out that a safe/effective vaccine is NEVER going to happen (which is also possible) then they’re absolutely fecked. What would their strategy be then?
 

horsechoker

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If it turns out that a safe/effective vaccine is NEVER going to happen (which is also possible) then they’re absolutely fecked. What would their strategy be then?
We had all have to go down the herd immunity route because I don't see another option if there's no vaccine.
 

RK

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Can't help but think the lack of clarity from the UK government is intentional, on some level at least. An attempt to please everyone and while shifting the blame?
 

GloryHunter07

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Which maybe never? So let's stay indoors forever. The media doesn't help reporting the death rate everyday. Around 50 million people die around the world every year from various different causes. If it got reported everyday how many people died of cancer, or car crashes or any other type of disease everyday, everybody would be in hysterics.
You cant catch cancer from hugging someone. Cancer doesn't grow exponentially.
 

Pogue Mahone

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We had all have to go down the herd immunity route because I don't see another option if there's no vaccine.
And that’s my point. Countries that have a constant trickle of cases will eventually achieve some level of herd immunity, with or without a vaccine. Countries that effectively banish the virus (e.g. NZ) will have a completely naive and vulnerable population until they’re all vaccinated. Which might never happen.
 

Skills

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I’ve been thinking about this a bit recently. What are the long term prospects for countries like NZ and Aus that stop spread completely? If they effectively banish the virus from their countries that’s great news in the short term but if a vaccine takes several years (which is a definite possibility) then countries that have had a constant trickle of cases will likely be able to get back to a relatively normal way of life while “virus free” countries are completely shut off from the rest of the world, under the constant threat of another lockdown.

If it turns out that a safe/effective vaccine is NEVER going to happen (which is also possible) then they’re absolutely fecked. What would their strategy be then?
Are they though? They've bought themselves time, while the rest of the world simulates itself as a case study for their benefit.

As more data comes in they'll know which measures give the most bang for their buck.
 

GloryHunter07

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Someone coined a phrase for this paradox. Can’t remember what it is. You take measures to avoid a catastrophe. The measures work. We avoid a catastrophe. People say “why did we take these measure? there wasn’t any catastrophe “
Same with the Bank of england response to Brexit. They took action to mitigate damage and people think that the warnings were overblown.
 

FireballXL5

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Can't help but think the lack of clarity from the UK government is intentional, on some level at least. An attempt to please everyone and while shifting the blame?
I think it's very well orchestrated. The aim is to do as little as possible for as cheaply as possible. It's the Tory credo.
 

do.ob

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I've seen a lot of people cite the Swedish model when they try to say the lockdowns aren't justified but surely this debunks that?

This chart tells a similar story:


Y: deaths per 100k
X: weeks passed since January 22nd



I’ve been thinking about this a bit recently. What are the long term prospects for countries like NZ and Aus that stop spread completely? If they effectively banish the virus from their countries that’s great news in the short term but if a vaccine takes several years (which is a definite possibility) then countries that have had a constant trickle of cases will likely be able to get back to a relatively normal way of life while “virus free” countries are completely shut off from the rest of the world, under the constant threat of another lockdown.

If it turns out that a safe/effective vaccine is NEVER going to happen (which is also possible) then they’re absolutely fecked. What would their strategy be then?
They bought themselves time to build testing/ICU/PPE/tracing infrastructure and having low case numbers gives them a better chance of containing further outbreaks.

On the other hand, do we even know how long/much antibodies from a previous Covid-19 infection protect you?
 
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horsechoker

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And that’s my point. Countries that have a constant trickle of cases will eventually achieve some level of herd immunity, with or without a vaccine. Countries that effectively banish the virus (e.g. NZ) will have a completely naive and vulnerable population until they’re all vaccinated. Which might never happen.
As Skills said, they've bough themselves time and protected their population from death. Moreover, when new cases do trickle in they have experience in managing the problem. Herd immunity is not given either, but its something that may have to be relied on places where they can't contain the spread. Herd immunity though will mean sacrificing people's lives.
 

dwd

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Anyone got a link for their clarification on seeing only one person outside your household please? I can't find anything.
 

One Night Only

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With the Sweden approach, once they start to slow down and deaths start to level/drop won't that then mean we can get an indication of %ages of deaths and how many we can expect to be infected in other countries?
 

Pagh Wraith

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I understand queuing up at a lot of places when they are reopening. But at the gym in the middle of the night?
 

DVG7

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I never said it wasn't necessary.... but if someone hugs their Mum I won't climb on my high horse and indulge in the po-faced indignation that others do.



Yeah, none of which come anywhere near compensating for personal interaction.



All of those of are useful but are sorry replacements for human to human interaction.
if we weren’t allowed all those interactions what would your word of choice be to describe the situation? Barbaric is a touch too much mate
 

Pogue Mahone

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Are they though? They've bought themselves time, while the rest of the world simulates itself as a case study for their benefit.

As more data comes in they'll know which measures give the most bang for their buck.
If and when they choose the measures they think work best they’ll still be behind every other country in the timescale of implementation. It’s not as though there are any huge surprises here. You either live with the virus, or vaccinate against it. If you’re going to live with it, the sooner that starts the better (so long as your healthcare system isn’t overwhelmed anyway)